Tuesday's NCAA free throws

203Hoosier

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Will update later, but want to get this one play in before the 7:00 tip:

5 units
Mizzou -135 (5dimes)

Strictly a system play here. Since I started wagering in 1993, the "unranked favorite over a ranked dog" angle (according to my personal records) is 68%.
It was up to 74% about a decade ago, but I think with the growth of the internet (and great forums like this) have caused the books to wise-up to guys like us who play this angle. They know we had a winner (and were on to them!), so they've adjusted the lines. That's why I play the moneyline here. Need to hit a higher percentage, of course, with the moneyline, but I've found it to be well worth it.

Be right back with the rest.
 

203Hoosier

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..and sometimes they'll keep the ranked team as a small favorite, because they know some of us would jump blindly on the unranked fave, but not if they were a small dog. (Just my theory)
I'll keep blindly playing this system, until it becomes a losing proposition. It has not done so yet, not in any single college hoops season. That's amazing. Hope it lasts, but you know what they say...


Anyway...
YTD
102-120
+118.51 units

Besides the Mizzou -135 pick for 5 units, here are my other plays which start later:

1 unit
Miami +245 (youwager)
...let's see if the UVA loss was a fluke and if they handle the #1 ranking well

Evansville +195 (5dimes)
...when I was a student at IU, some of the hottest girls on campus were from this city called Evansville (and a suburb called Newburgh). Maybe it was something in the water there or from the Ohio River. (Being from the Northeast, the only things I knew about Evansville were: 1-Don Mattingly's hometown, 2- the basketball team had a plane-crash in the 70s, and 3- the basketball team actually wore uniforms with sleeves on them.
It's a like a "mid-south" town, and almost every chick from E-Ville was a knockout. Who knew???!
(Like them tonight because I think Northern Iowa is overvalued this year because of their recent NCAA Tourney success. Purple Aces aren't too bad.
 

#cruncher

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..and sometimes they'll keep the ranked team as a small favorite, because they know some of us would jump blindly on the unranked fave, but not if they were a small dog. (Just my theory)
I'll keep blindly playing this system, until it becomes a losing proposition. It has not done so yet, not in any single college hoops season. That's amazing. Hope it lasts, but you know what they say...


Anyway...
YTD
102-120
+118.51 units

Besides the Mizzou -135 pick for 5 units, here are my other plays which start later:

1 unit
Miami +245 (youwager)
...let's see if the UVA loss was a fluke and if they handle the #1 ranking well

Evansville +195 (5dimes)
...when I was a student at IU, some of the hottest girls on campus were from this city called Evansville (and a suburb called Newburgh). Maybe it was something in the water there or from the Ohio River. (Being from the Northeast, the only things I knew about Evansville were: 1-Don Mattingly's hometown, 2- the basketball team had a plane-crash in the 70s, and 3- the basketball team actually wore uniforms with sleeves on them.
It's a like a "mid-south" town, and almost every chick from E-Ville was a knockout. Who knew???!
(Like them tonight because I think Northern Iowa is overvalued this year because of their recent NCAA Tourney success. Purple Aces aren't too bad.


'Something in the water', that's what they say about the racehorses raised in Kentucky; probably a of Kentucky girls partying in Evansville :)
 

203Hoosier

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Evansville is more Kentucky than it is Indiana...geographically and culturally. It's crazy! Southern Indiana (from Bloomington down) really feels like the "mid-south" more than the "midwest." Evansville might as well be in Missouri or Tennessee. LOL.
It was easy to score with Evansville girls, but it certainly wasn't easy for Evansville to score tonight against Northern Iowa! 47-41 final:facepalm:
Speaking of teams who can't score tonight, I took the other....Miami! 16 points at halftime at home.:sleep: (Granted, UVA's top-rated defense has a lot to do with that)
Glad the big system play with Mizzou hit.
 

203Hoosier

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I might be in the minority, but I love watching Virginia play. Defense travels.
Even though I went against UVA tonight, I love that in "today's day and age" kids buy into playing defense. One of these years, Virginia is going to finally go deep into the tournament. And it's also a credit to Coach Tony Bennett.
I would LOVE to have him as the coach of Indiana, but he would never go there, because his sister was the head coach at IU women's team, and she was fired. Archie Miller is also defensive-oriented, so I like that hire. DE-FENSE!
 
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