Tuesday's parlays

[Terryray]

932 Chicago Cubs -158 vs St. Louis Cardinals - T Lyons - J Arrieta -
934 Kansas City Royals -116 vs Tampa Bay Rays - M Moore - C Young -

1 unit bet wins 2.04 units....(5 Dimes lines)

evening parlay to be posted later today...

2015 parlay record, 1-5 -1.13 units.....on various mixed sports (mostly MLB).

First winner parlay, July 1, a daytime 4-teamer, with a push, that became a 3 teamer (paid 3.87)...

2014 parlay record: 12-71, +16.71 units.....on various mixed sports (mostly MLB)....(1 unit bet each parlay)

Goood luck everyone!! :toast:



ripped, cut and pasted, otherwise written by others, from across the internets:

STATS@STATS_MLB:
Jake Arrieta is 3-1 with a 1.48 ERA in 8 career matchups vs. #STLCards and 3-0 with a 0.56 ERA in his 5 at Wrigley Field

Jake Arrieta has thrown at least seven innings in each of his past three outings, fanning 21 while walking just two in 24 innings. Pitchers on a roll tend to stay on a roll, which portends well for this date against the St. Louis Cardinals. Keep in mind the bulk of the Redbirds' success revolves around staunch pitching and defense and not a particularly daunting offense. On this day, that advantage is at minimum mitigated with Tyler Lyons taking the Wrigley Field hill.

Chris Young isn't the most dominant pitcher but he throws strikes and tries to keep the opposition in the yard. The Tampa Bay Rays aren't at all daunting in the power department so Young is a go for a home tilt in Kauffman Stadium.


Matt Moore, LHP
The left-hander allowed four runs on six hits in 4 2/3 innings against the Indians in his return from Tommy John surgery. He is 0-2 with a 5.29 ERA in three career starts against the Royals.


Moore is slated to make his 2015 debut on Thursday as he returns from Tommy John surgery. The left-hander will have seen 451 days pass since his last start, April 7, 2014 in Kansas City.




The St. Louis Cardinals boast the best record (54-28) in MLB and look to add to it this afternoon at Wrigley Field. But doing so won?t be easy as the light hitting Cards face one of the top arms in the National League. Jake Arrieta has faced St. Louis three times this season as he held its lineup to a .208 batting average and five total earned runs. He also fanned seven in each of those three outings. Arrieta is having a career year with a 2.80 ERA, 2.72 xFIP, and sparkling 110-23 K-to-BB ratio. He should be good to go against a Cardinals lineup that grades out as NL-average.

St. Louis will counter with soft tossing lefty Tyler Lyons who they just called up from Triple-A Memphis. Lyons has a 5.09 ERA in 23 innings pitched at the big league level this year; a far cry from the 3.10 ERA he posted in Memphis. He?s a good matchup for the Cubs who sport the third highest OPS in the National League vs. lefties this year at .732. Chicago got to Lyons for four runs (three earned) in 4.1 IP back in early May. Pitching mismatch puts us on the home team at the moderate price.



Oakland -109 over N.Y. YANKEES

Sonny Gray has turned himself into a legit rotation anchor. It's evident in his elite dominant starts/disaster starts results: 87%/0%. Gray?s 14% line-drive rate is by far the lowest in the majors among qualified starters. Gray?s 3.13 xERA confirms that he's a frontline starter and one of the best in the game. Additionally, current Yankees have eight hits in 48 AB?s against Gray for a BA of .182. Of those eight hits, six went for singles so these Yankees have done very little damage against Gray. Gray?s win expectation is high but it?s not priced as such so getting him in this range is true value.

While Sonny Gray has the lowest line-drive rate among qualified starters, Nathan Eovaldi leads the league in a category too among qualified starters. The difference is that Eovaldi?s category is one you don?t want to lead the league in. Nathan Eovaldi?s WHIP of 1.54 is the highest in the game among MLB-qualified starting pitchers. We?ve indicated in the past that Eovaldi's breakout was on hold until he could harness his control and turn his fastball velocity into strikeouts. He's done neither with a strikeout rate that is barely above league average and a weak first-pitch strike rate of 57%.

Eovaldi has way more value pitching in a spacious park on the road. Leaving Marlins Park for Yankee Stadium is a net +67% for LH batter home runs. Overall, Eovaldi has allowed 110 hits in 87 innings for an oppBA of .307. Eovaldi will need to start getting more K?s and allowing less base-runners before we can jump on board. His managers have been waiting three years for that to happen and they?re still waiting.


LA Dodogers-1.5 -115

Chad Billingsly will take to the mound tonight..He has 4 starts this year and his numbers are rather bad..ERA is now at 7.71 and his WHIP is 1.86...In 21 innings pitched he a grand total of 8 strikeouts and 6 walks...He has also given up 33 hits in his 4 starts and 18ER..Dodger shad a breakout game last night as they scored 10 runs in a very exciting game..

Tonight Dodgers will put Brett Anderson on mound...Anderson has looked rather good in his last 3 starts..He won all 3 games and only allowed 3ER in 20 innings pitched..His strikeouts have gone up as he has 17 in his last 2 games..This is a pure fade of Philly pitcher Billingsly..Philly hasn't seen Anderson yet this season..Philly gave all they could last night and they still came up short..This is one of the worst pitching teams in the league..Billingsly might just be the worst guy on this roster..If the Dodgers can hit like they did last night, double digits in runs won't be a far reach.


Cleveland Indians -169

Cleveland will look to bounce back from a blowout home loss to Houston. That results sets them up here tonight as we are playing against road dogs in this range like Houston that have a total of 8 or less and are off road dog win by 5 or more runs, and had 10 or more hits, vs an opponent like the Indians that are off a home favored loss by 5+ runs and scored 4 or less runs but managed 10 or more hits in the loss. Cleveland has won 5 of 6 off a home loss by 5+ runs and 6 of 8 in the series this year.

The Astros have lost 28 of 40 as a road dog from +150 to 175. Kluber goes for Cleveland and he has a 2.29 era vs the Astros and has allowed 2 or less runs in all 3 of his starts against them. Kluber has better overall numbers that Velasquez does for Houston. Look for Cleveland to bounce back.

 

[Terryray]

910 Los Angeles Dodgers -1? -125 vs Phila Phillies - C Billingsley - B Anderson
928 Texas Rangers -135 vs Arizona Diamondbacks - R Ray - Y Gallardo
929 Los Angeles Angels -108 vs Colorado Rockies - A Heaney - C Bettis

1 unit bet wins 5.03 units....(5 Dimes lines)


901 Cincinnati Reds +131 vs Washington Nationals - J Cueto - M Scherzer
907 Atlanta Braves +165 vs Milwaukee Brewers - M Banuelos - L T Cravy
911 New York Mets +112 vs San Francisco Giants - B Colon - M Cain
913 Oakland Athletics -114 vs New York Yankees - S Gray - N Eovaldi
915 Houston Astros +173 vs Cleveland Indians - V Velasquez- C Kluber
921 Baltimore Orioles/Minnesota Twins* Under 7? -125 - K Gausman - K Gibson
923 Detroit Tigers +172 vs Seattle Mariners - K Ryan - T Walker
925 Miami Marlins/Boston Red Sox Over 9 +100 - D Haren - W Miley

1 unit bet wins 650.23 units....(5 Dimes lines)


Goood luck everyone!! Let's get 'em :firing:



ripped, cut and pasted, otherwise written by others, from across the internets:

Orioles @ Twins
Gausman is 0-0, 1.59 in his two starts- they both stayed under.

Gibson is 2-0, 1.23 in his last two starts; under is 3-0-1 in his last four.

Baltimore lost six of last eight games- five of their last six stayed under. Twins are 4-5 in their last nine; under is 5-0-1 in their last six games. Home side won six of last seven Oriole-Twin games (Twins 4-3).

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Atlanta

We have two second time starters opposing one another and if we?re sticking to playing value, then Atlanta?s rookie left-hander must be played over Milwaukee?s rookie righty. The Brewers called-up Tyler Cravy from Triple-A on June 2 and he responded by throwing a seven-inning, four-hit, one-run gem in St. Louis. That?s really nice but this park isn?t as forgiving as Busch Stadium. Cravy was a 17th round pick in 2009 (526th overall). He was called up to make a spot start because the Brewers were in a jam at that time.

He?s was juggled between the pen and rotation for the first three years of his minor-league career before sticking as a starter in 2013. Cravy doesn?t have an overpowering arsenal or a dynamic breaking ball. He?s a pitch to contact hitter that puts his defense to work. In 365 minor-league innings, Cravy has a groundball rate of just 42% and it took him nearly four years to get promoted from A-ball to Double-A. His ceiling has never been high. In fact, Cravy was the Brewers (not the majors) 24th ranked prospect after the 2014 season. As the chalk in this price range, Cravy is instant fade material.

Manuel Banuelos made his first start of the year on the same day that Tyler Cravy made his. Banuelos went up against Max Scherzer and surrendered just two hits in 5.2 innings while striking out 7 batters. He threw just 75 pitches and earned a no-decision in a game the Braves eventually lost, 2-1. He?s not opposing Max Scherzer today. The bad news for Banuelos entering 2014 was simple: He'd missed nearly all of the previous two seasons, first while rehabbing his elbow in an attempt to avoid Tommy John surgery, then rehabbing from actual T.J. surgery, which took place in October 2012.

Banuelos signed out of Mexico as a command-oriented lefthander but his stuff has been evolving ever since. He didn?t walk a single batter against the Nationals. Banuelos beats hitters with three plus pitches (scouts say he has five different pitches) when he's at his best, getting swings and misses in the strike zone like an ace. His fastball sits at 89-94 mph and touches 96. His curveball has some downer action and power, often parking at 79-80 mph, and he has good arm speed on his fading changeup. His best asset is his ability to change speeds with any of his offerings.

He?s especially tough on left-handed batters and it?s worth noting that the Brew Crew owns the league?s worst batting average (.212) against lefties. Of course this is one game in which anything can happen but we have to trust that we?re going with the best of it here with one-highly touted prospect taking back a tag against a non-prospect spotting one. Definite overlay.

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Cain has spotty control and was largely hittable throughout the affair, even allowing a long ball to Fernandez. Still, it is unclear how Cain?s performance will be throughout the remainder of the season, but the fact remains that he has not been truly dominant since 2012.

The right-hander will work at his pitcher-friendly home park against a Mets lineup that ranks 29th in the Majors with a .649 OPS against righties.

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Texas Rangers

Arizona failed for the 13th time this season to reach the .500 mark, when they lost 6-4 at home to Colorado on Sunday. That must wear on this team emotionally, as they now take the road to face the American League?s hottest starter. YTD numbers are solid for Arizona starter, Ray. But, he has faded of late with a 4.58 ERA in his previous 3 starts. We will rather side with the Texas Rangers in what we will term our Bounce Back Game of the Day, behind red-hot starter, Gallardo. The Rangers were on a 29-15 run before the bottom fell out. Tonight, they enter on a 4-11 slide, being outscored 33-8 in a trio of losses at LAA last weekend. They will also be looking to break a 0-6 slide on their home field, which has dropped them to 15-22 in Arlington, tied with Milwaukee and Cleveland with the fewest home wins in baseball.

Fueled by an All Star snub, tonight?s Rangers? starter, Gallardo, takes the mound with a string of 29 1/3 scoreless innings. In his last 8 starts, he has a 0.88 ERA. Though he allowed 3 earned runs in 5 IP of a recent 8-5 loss to the D?Backs, prior to that in 10 starts, Gallardo was 7-0 with a 1.86 ERA against the D?Backs. Lots to like about Gallardo, as he keys the Rangers to the Bounce Back Win of the Night!

Robbie Ray has pitched well in limited action this season for the Diamondbacks, posting a 2.55 ERA in seven starts. But teams are catching on to him of late as Ray is 0-3 with a 4.58 ERA in his last three starts. He did face Texas once last year, giving up seven earned runs and 13 base runners over 3 1/3 innings of a 2-9 loss.

Gallardo is 8-1 (+8.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season. The Diamondbacks are 17-42 in their last 59 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. The Rangers are 6-0 in their last six interleague home games. Texas is 4-0 in Gallardo's last four home starts.