Tuesdays Plays ..............

[Patrick McIrish]

2-3 Sunday for a modest + .30 unit profit. Hit my 2-unit play on Oakland and a nice +160 dog on Anaheim to give me the profit. Small but still a profit. Didn't play anything on Monday's smaller card. I will update my yearly record tomorrow.

Boston -185 over Anaheim

Lots of chalk but lots of reasons as well. Amongst other things I like is Pedro is better on the road than at home with an ERA well under 2. For Anaheim Ortiz is slumping, in his last 3 he sports a 9.42 ERA. Martinez on the other hand has a 0.79 ERA in his last 5 starts. Most of all I like PEDRO. 'Nuff said.


Tampa -115 over O's

Tampa surprisingly has played the O's well. They have won 5 of their last 6 meetings and that looks good against a team that is slumping anyway. O's have went 1-6 in their last 7 overall and lost their last 4 in a row. Kennedy is more than adequate and the Orioles have only beeen hitting .222 against lefthanders in their last 10. Though he got roughed up in his last outing against Yanks the team still brought home the "W". What else is there? Tonight he leads off for another victory.

Good luck men and may have a couple more to add.

 

[Patrick McIrish]

Adding.......

Adding.......

Going against some cappers I respect but:

Florida -105 over St Louis

First let's look at Tejera for the Marlins. To date he's 6-3 with a 3.90 ERA. At home he comes in with a 5-1 record and a strong 3.43 ERA. For the year the Cardinals only hit lefties at a .255 clip so that should help the Marlins a little here. What sells me is the guy for the Cardinals. Right now Benes is 0-3 with a 7.06 ERA. To be fair this will come down but it may take a while. For one thing he's only been back from injury 3 games. In that time he has started 2 games and came on in relief once and has not gone over 4.2 innings yet. At first I thought it may be a pitch count since he was out 3 months but none of his games this year has he gone over the 4.2 innings I mentioned above. Either way whether it was the pitch count or ineffectiveness this doesn't set up well for the Cards. While the bullpen has been good for most of the year they have been getting a lot of work recently and their ERA is a 6.00 in their last 10 games. Not good for bullpens. Matter of fact they haven't had but one pitcher make it over 6 innings in their last 10 games. Part of what makes horses like Schilling, Pedro, Johnson and Hallady effective is they are inning hogs. They eat up tons of innings. Not only do they earn their money for obvious things such as wins they are bullpen savers as well. If you are getting 7 innings or so on a regular basis it isn't too bad. Matter of fact that would be great even if close to that. Instead in those same 10 games the Cardinal starters have gone just at 5 innings a game on average. They had several 3 and 4 inning starts from their pitchers too in that limited time frame. Now none of this means much singularly but I like the lefty from the Marlins anyway. I like the fact the Cards are sending out a guy with a big ERA and a recent injury. I like the fact the bullpen for the Cards has been used a lot recently. I like the fact Benes averages under 4 innings a game in his 6 starts and I like the fact he has been putting a lot of men on base. He has given up 25 hits and walked 19 men in 21.2 innings. Is it a sure thing? Hell no but don't be suprised if the fat Irishman brings this one home. Good luck.

 

[Spock]

thanx for the write up. Appreciated

Good luck
Spock