YTD: 42-30 +8.69
UCONN -3 (2x).....same song and dance with Rutgers, just a different year. Here in Jersey we hear how every spring Rutgers has made vast improvements, will make a bowl this year, and by early November they are disappointed. They came out of the gate strong, beating Michigan State at home, then let New Hampshire come into their building and beat them a week later. Since they've won three games (Kent, Vandy and Temple) and have lost four straight coming into this matchup.
As for UConn, last year they went 9-3 as an independent and were left out by the bowls, this game looms large for them. Will any bowl committee want UConn if they are 6-5 and the 5th place team from a weak Big East conference? I not sure where'd they would end up in that case, and I'm sure they don't want to take that risk. They'll be much more attractive to someone at 7-4.
In regards to the statistical matchups, the edge goes to the Huskies. Rutgers ranks 99th in defense and have tons of trouble against accurate QBs. Orlovsky should be able to pick them apart. Also, Uconn is 9th nationally against the pass and the Rutgers relies heavily on their pass attack. Like these mismatches with a short number, actually considered making this a three unit play but the fact that Rutgers did find a way to beat Syracuse in their last game of the year last year is holding me back. While I don't see that happening here, I'd be foolish to just overlook that factor.
Best of luck to all and enjoy the day.
UCONN -3 (2x).....same song and dance with Rutgers, just a different year. Here in Jersey we hear how every spring Rutgers has made vast improvements, will make a bowl this year, and by early November they are disappointed. They came out of the gate strong, beating Michigan State at home, then let New Hampshire come into their building and beat them a week later. Since they've won three games (Kent, Vandy and Temple) and have lost four straight coming into this matchup.
As for UConn, last year they went 9-3 as an independent and were left out by the bowls, this game looms large for them. Will any bowl committee want UConn if they are 6-5 and the 5th place team from a weak Big East conference? I not sure where'd they would end up in that case, and I'm sure they don't want to take that risk. They'll be much more attractive to someone at 7-4.
In regards to the statistical matchups, the edge goes to the Huskies. Rutgers ranks 99th in defense and have tons of trouble against accurate QBs. Orlovsky should be able to pick them apart. Also, Uconn is 9th nationally against the pass and the Rutgers relies heavily on their pass attack. Like these mismatches with a short number, actually considered making this a three unit play but the fact that Rutgers did find a way to beat Syracuse in their last game of the year last year is holding me back. While I don't see that happening here, I'd be foolish to just overlook that factor.
Best of luck to all and enjoy the day.
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