Turkey Day

[Toledo Prophet]

Hey all! Happy Thanksgiving!!

YTD: 6-7

Tread lighty w/ my plays as I am on a three game losing streak. :nono:

Detroit +4 1 unit.......bought a 1/2 point......Detroit is 11-2 ATS as a home dog vs the Packers, 8-2 ATS overall at home vs GB the last ten times they's played in Detroit........as bad as Detrot has been in recent seasons, they dont often fail to cover the cover three times in a row. They are 14-5 ATS off back to back SUATS losses, although admittedly just 3-4 in that role in the '05 & '06 seasons.....still, I think this is a different Detroit team that the last couple outfits......they have confidence and they need this win a lot more than GB does as far as the playoffs go......

The Lions are 5-2 ATS in their seven stabs as a home dog.....think this game is tight the whole way, decided by a FG either way.

 

[Toledo Prophet]

Added a teaser for the 2nd Game

7-pt teaser......NY Jets +21 1/2 Over 40 1/2

If I like the Jets so much, why not take +14 1/2? Well, Dallas can be explosive, and have been a dominant 2nd Half team.....I like the Jets now with Clemons, feel the can pass on Dallas early....but the Cowboys seem to break every game wide open in the 2nd Half......did the teaser because there will be a lot of points and that Dallas will win from anywhere between 10-17 points.....if the score is 31-14 in the fourth, then I dont have to spend Thanksgiving dinner hoping for the back door cover or a late score to hit the over :shrug:

Anyway, thats my play for the 2nd game.....since I never seem to make the right call in any game involving the Colts, I am staying away from the last game of the night.....besides, I like college football better, and I plan on recovering from dinner by watching USC-ASU.

Good luck to everyone......have a happy and safe Thanksgiving :toast: