twins and the playoffs...

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Twins prepare for playoffs
Jim Souhan
Star Tribune

Published Sep 29, 2002 TMOM29

Since the Twins clinched the American League Central title on Sept. 15, they have partied, slumped, rested, limped, winced, convalesced and pondered the question: "What do meaningless games mean?"

At times, they have treated their late-September games like spring training contests. After that approach yielded three ugly losses in Chicago over the previous weekend, manager Ron Gardenhire held a team meeting Tuesday, asking his players to play harder in the season's last week. Thursday, following a 12-inning game on Wednesday, he pulled all but one starter by the sixth inning.

Dealing with post-clinching games, in which winning means little but losing remains bothersome, has provided the Twins with challenges quite different from those of their past nine seasons.

Does winning meaningless games build momentum for the postseason, which begins for the Twins on Tuesday in Oakland? Or are they truly like spring training, when health and morale matter more than results?

"I hope that we would get on a roll," Gardenhire said. "You want to go out on a positive note, with guys swinging the bats well, but once you get to the first playoff game, everything changes.

"Then it's 'Game on.' Guys don't have to get motivated for that. They'll be ready. The only thing that happens is there could be a little more of a positive attitude on our players' minds if they're playing well. They could be saying, 'Yeah, I'm swinging good right now.' They could also say, 'Yeah, I'm not swinging that good right now, but who cares? I'm ready to go.' "

Twins third base coach Al Newman, who played on the Twins' championship teams in '87 and '91, gave a shorter answer. "None of this will matter," he said, "once we get to Tuesday."

In an attempt to quantify the effects of late-season games on a team's postseason chances, the Star Tribune reviewed how each World Series champion since the 1987 Twins fared in its final 10 regular-season games.

Not surprisingly, in a sport where even the best teams go through numerous winning and losing streaks in a season, the results vary by year and team.

This much is certain: Losing games down the stretch doesn't necessarily have a negative effect on a team's postseason chances.

Weak finish in '87

The '87 Twins lost their last five games, and their two best starters, Frank Viola and Bert Blyleven, each lost his last start of the season.

Those Twins upset the Detroit Tigers in the playoffs and beat the acclaimed St. Louis Cardinals in the World Series.

"When we won [the division title] in '87 it was as if we didn't have to win any more games," Newman said. "The only people who were concerned when we lost after we clinched were fans and writers, because they thought you had to go into the playoffs on a winning streak.

"We just wanted to prepare mentally. TK [former manager Tom Kelly] just kept saying, 'Don't do anything stupid.' We didn't want to get anybody hurt, and we wanted to make sure our key people were ready."

The 1991 Twins lost four of their last five then beat a good Blue Jays team and the first edition of the Atlanta National League dynasty to win another Series.

"Same program," Newman said. "You still play hard, but you're focusing on what you need to get done in your batting stance or your pitching mechanics to be a success in the playoffs.

"We may lose the game, but we may execute two quality hit-and-run plays, and that's preparing for the playoffs."

The 2000 Yankees lost their last seven games. The 1998 Yankees won their last six. The 1997 Marlins lost their last four. The 1989 A's won five of their last six. All won the World Series.

Tight races hurt

A review of teams since 1987 that, like the Twins, clinched a playoff spot with two weeks or more remaining in the regular season reveals another mixed grille.

In 2001, Seattle and Oakland clinched berths early. Seattle, despite winning a record 116 games, lost in the ALCS. Oakland lost in five games in the division series to the Yankees.

In 1999, Cleveland lost in the division series to Boston. In 1998, the Yankees won the World Series, San Diego lost the Series and Houston lost the division series.

In 1995, Cleveland and Atlanta both clinched early and faced each other in the Series, with Atlanta winning.

And in 1991, Pittsburgh clinched early, but lost the NLCS to Atlanta.

Perhaps more significant is that teams that win their division by a narrow margin seem less-prepared to make a postseason run, perhaps because their players are worn down and their pitching hasn't been set up for the playoffs.

Last year Arizona beat San Francisco by only two games and won the World Series. The last time a team had won its division by two games or fewer and still won the Series? When the '87 Twins allowed the Royals to close to within two games by the end of the season, then went on to win it all. But the Twins had clinched the division with a week left in the season, allowing Kelly to set up his rotation.

"If you could draw up a blueprint, you'd want to clinch as early as possible," Twins General Manager Terry Ryan said. "You want to get your people rested and set up and you don't want that mental drain of taking it down to the last day.

"This is the ideal scenario for us, as far as I can tell. We've had a few setbacks, but that could happen no matter what your situation is. If we were in the race, we'd probably be playing Jacque right now. But we don't have to."

Left fielder Jacque Jones, a key to the lineup and outfield defense all season, missed a week of games because of a sprained ankle. Gardenhire had the luxury of waiting until Jones looked completely healthy before putting him in the starting lineup Friday.

With the division clinched, the Twins staff also was able to set up the playoff rotation with 10 days remaining in the season and was able to concentrate on getting previously injured pitchers Brad Radke, Eric Milton and Joe Mays fit, instead of relying on them to win crucial games.

"About the only thing I wanted to see is us getting our regulars to 100 percent, and everybody getting their repetitions in," Ryan said. "To see Milton get stretched out, to see our rotation get set up, to get into a normal routine, that's what we want.

"I remember the Yankees really scuffling down the stretch a couple of years ago, and they won the Series. Of course, they're a more veteran outfit than we are, and I'm sure they have that veteran type confidence that we don't have because they've been through it. But I'm still not sure there's much correlation between how you play the last week and how you play in the playoffs."

The Twins' core players haven't had to prepare for playoffs before. "I think it was good for us to clinch early," catcher A.J. Pierzynski said. "We had some guys who were really beat up that nobody knew about, and they needed some time off.
 

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update

update

Twins keep Fiore, not Wells




MINNEAPOLIS (AP) -- The Minnesota Twins decided Sunday to keep right-hander Tony Fiore instead of Bob Wells in the bullpen for the postseason.


The Twins, in the playoffs for the first time since winning the World Series in 1991, will use 11 pitchers.

Fiore joins lefties Eddie Guardado, the AL saves leader, J.C. Romero and Johan Santana and righties LaTroy Hawkins, Mike Jackson and Kyle Lohse -- the No. 5 starter during the season.

Fiore was 10-3 with a 3.16 ERA in 91 innings, and he also gives batters a different look with his palm ball.

That leaves Wells, who posted a 5.90 ERA in 58 innings after missing six weeks with an elbow injury in June and July, the odd man out. Wells has been with the team since 1999 and is well-liked in the clubhouse.

``That was the toughest thing I've had to do all year,'' manager Ron Gardenhire said. ``Bob and I are very close. We've got a lot of respect for him. It's all about winning games, and you try to do what's right. Still, this doesn't seem right.''
 

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Starters: Pitching depth not as important in playoffs




Starting pitching depth allowed the Twins to survive injuries to their top three starters this season, but it is a factor that rarely comes into play in the best-of-five divisional series.

If they're going to advance to the American League Championship Series, the Twins will need more than depth -- they'll need excellence.

"The good thing is it seems like we're all getting on track in September," Brad Radke said. "It's not by choice that we waited this long, but it really couldn't happen at a better time."

Radke, Joe Mays and Eric Milton all spent time on the disabled list this season. Rick Reed avoided the DL but often pitched despite ailments ranging from a cut finger to the flu.

As the postseason approached, all four were healthy, if at different levels of readiness. With a shortened postseason rotation, Kyle Lohse and Johan Santana, two of their most important starters during the regular season, will not be in the postseason rotation.

Even when healthy, the Twins' rotation doesn't resemble last year's World Series champions, the Arizona Diamondbacks, who relied on two dominant aces -- Curt Schilling and Randy Johnson.

But, when healthy and effective, they could resemble the Yankee teams that have won four of the past six World Series. During that stretch, the Yankees have relied on pitchers such as David Cone, Andy Pettitte, Jimmy Key, David Wells and an aging Roger Clemens -- fine pitchers, but hardly as dominant as Schilling and Johnson.

"If you're not dominant, stuff-wise, and you don't know how to pitch, then you're in trouble," Twins pitching coach Rick Anderson said. "But we've got veterans here, guys who may not be dominant but know how to pitch. I think they get by with smarts instead of stuff sometimes.

"You watch Reed throw 88 and still throw his fastball 80 times in a game. You watch Radke throw 70 percent fastballs at 90 or 91. They basically pitch the way Schilling does -- it's just that he throws 95 miles per hour."

In 2000, the Yankees won the World Series with a rotation of Pettitte, Clemens, Orlando Hernandez and Denny Neagle. Only Pettitte won more than 13 games during that regular season.

In 1999, only Hernandez, of their postseason starters, won more than 14 games during the regular season. Their championship team in 1996 featured only one starter (Pettitte) who won more than 12 games during the regular season.

While they haven't been healthy enough to dominate this season, the Twins' rotation is capable of dominating any short series. Radke, Mays, Milton and Reed have all been All-Stars.

"You hope that Rick Reed's experience will pay off," said former Twins great Bert Blyleven. "Other than him, nobody in the rotation has postseason experience. They're all capable of winning a game for you. I think what will matter is, with all the injuries they've had, how sharp they are by the time their start comes around."

For Radke, long the staff ace, the chance to pitch in the playoffs seems long overdue. The Twins have not made the playoffs since winning the World Series in 1991.

"I think we're ready," he said.
 

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Twins put their faith in Radke
La Velle E. Neal III


Published Oct 1, 2002 PMAT01

OAKLAND, CALIF. -- Brad Radke and Tim Hudson are both staff aces who have won 20 games in a season.

But Hudson has been especially dominant lately and has postseason experience. Radke has battled a pulled groin muscle, spent the second half looking for his form and has never appeared in the playoffs.

When they face off in today's opening game of the American League Division Series between the Twins and Athletics, both pitchers will be asked to give their teams the early momentum.

"I know I'll be nervous," Radke said, "but hopefully after the first couple of pitches it will go away. But if I'm not nervous for this game I shouldn't be playing."

Radke (9-5, 4.72 ERA) twice pulled his right groin muscle during the season, and he did not pitch for the Twins between May 30 and Aug. 3. He went 5-3 with a 4.32 ERA after regaining his health, but failed to win at least 11 games in a season for the first time in his career. The tradeoff is that Radke said Monday he feels fresh because of the time he missed.

"I feel like it's July," Radke said. "My body doesn't feel worn that."

Said Twins manager Ron Gardenhire, "I have all the confidence in the world in Brad Radke when he's out there."

Oakland lefthander Barry Zito went 23-5 during the regular season. Lefthander Mark Mulder was 19-7. But Hudson (15-9, 2.98) will start for the A's in Game 1, a testament to the their belief they have three staff aces.

Hudson can dominate a game with an array of pitches. He went 8-0 with a 1.75 ERA over the last two months of the regular season.

He's also October tested, going 1-1 with a 2.84 ERA in three playoff appearances.

"The second half of the season, I was right on with what I wanted to do," he said. "I was able to make my pitches when I needed to. We have been there and we have handled things pretty well. I've been pretty level-headed out there."
 

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Series keys

Susan Slusser SF Gate Tuesday, October 1, 2002


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------



-- THE A'S WILL WIN IF. . .

1. Their starters go at least seven innings. That's their strength, not middle relief. The Three must come up Big.

.

2. They get production throughout their lineup. Don't heap all the work on Miguel Tejada and Eric Chavez.

.

3. They slide. Lesson No. 1 from last year's Game 3: When in doubt, hit the dirt. Fundamentals will be key.

.

-- THE TWINS WILL WIN IF. . .

1. They run, run, run. Distract those big-shot A's pitchers and use small- ball to score.

.

2. They chase down lots of balls. With Torii Hunter and Jacque Jones, the Twins have a big edge in outfield play.

.

3. They make good use of the ear-splitting noise and artificial turf in the Metrodome.
 

MACKOVIC

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Sep 19, 2002
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ATLANTA
OAKLAND/MIN

OAKLAND/MIN

IE2002,

THANK YOU FOR THE KIND WORDS & ALSO FOR GOOD INFO.
I'M GOING TO LAY THE WOOD & TAKE OAKLAND & LEANING TO THE OVER. MY BOOK HAS THEM @ -210/OU 8.
MAKING A 1 UNIT PLAY ON OAK $210. GOT A FEELING OAKS
BATS WILL BE HOT TODAY , HELPING STARTING PITCHER.
I THINK OAKLAND WILL TAKE THEM IN 4. HATE LAYING THE WOOD, BUT JUST DON'T THINK MIN WILL TAKE THEM.
GOOD LUCK,
MACKOVIC
 
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