Two lines that stink really bad
- Thread starter Salty
- Start date
Iowa will win outright IMO. Wisky off Michigan and Ohio St gotta be emotionally gassed. This is just a bad spot for them. Waiting to see if a better line appears
I agree with it being a tough spot. And its a healthy rivalry on top of it. Games are always close. Sounds like Beigel will be back this week. Players/coaches all seem to be saying the right things about being focused on this weeks game. I'm interested to hear what Hawk and Redsfann have to say from their end....
Feel the same as you guys. I could have gotten Wisconsin -3.0 Sunday, but held off hoping it would drop to 2.5, but knew in my heart it probably wouldn't drop, then sure enough it goes to 3.5. But I was worried about Badgers being flat also. Leaning Badgers but don't want to lay more than 3.0 and preferably lay 2.5 or less. I may just pass.
I don't get the Navy line at all. Memphis just struggled at Tulane who doesn't come close to running the option the way Navy does. Navy has had plenty time to stop celebrating the Houston win and focus since they had last week off. The Houston win was not a fluke, they beat them in all phases of the game. Maybe it's a sucker line but I am biting big with Navy on the ML.
Nothing fishy about any of the lines mentioned. I pulled the Sagarin rating detail for the teams discussed. Do the math and you will get the starting point for the lines. The rank is the Sagarin rank, not one of the polls.
Two lines that stink really bad
Bucky dominates both lines of scrimmage and has an easy time with the Hawks Saturday is how I see it.
But since my hatred for the coaching staff clouds my judgment, I'm probably not the guy who's opinion you want on this game. :mj07:
I'm 10-4 in the NCAA pick two contest here at Jacks with one of those losses coming when I thought the Goofers would beat Iowa a couple of weeks ago....:facepalm:
Don't overlook the fact that Purdue would struggle at the I-AA level this season so don't think Iowa dominating that game means they are suddenly in the same class as a Wisconsin who has gone toe to toe with the elites of college football and held their own.
Who has Iowa beaten this season and who have they lost to?
Yes, it's a huge rivalry game and they are playing for Floyd the pig and you can't discount that, but talent and coaching wise Bucky holds a significant advantage and I feel it's enough for them to get out of Iowa city with the win and cover on Saturday.
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Bucky dominates both lines of scrimmage and has an easy time with the Hawks Saturday is how I see it.
But since my hatred for the coaching staff clouds my judgment, I'm probably not the guy who's opinion you want on this game. :mj07:
I'm 10-4 in the NCAA pick two contest here at Jacks with one of those losses coming when I thought the Goofers would beat Iowa a couple of weeks ago....:facepalm:
Don't overlook the fact that Purdue would struggle at the I-AA level this season so don't think Iowa dominating that game means they are suddenly in the same class as a Wisconsin who has gone toe to toe with the elites of college football and held their own.
Who has Iowa beaten this season and who have they lost to?
Yes, it's a huge rivalry game and they are playing for Floyd the pig and you can't discount that, but talent and coaching wise Bucky holds a significant advantage and I feel it's enough for them to get out of Iowa city with the win and cover on Saturday.
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"Salty says lines stink in these 3 games.....imo...."
1) Arkansas at auburn = Arkansas +8 now +10 - My thoughts however, Hogs off big home win last wk vs Rebs and Auburn for some reason has had a match lit under their ass this year and are playing relatively well, even at home of all places, no kidding, this series is always back and forth and both teams have QBs who set the tone for the game, Line opened at 8 steamed down to 7 1/2 quickly then rose to 10 1/2 back down to 10, sharps haven't really pounced on this one yet or have they? I have Auburn winning by 9, power numbers Auburn should have opened at home according to Sag ratings by 9 pts including home field advantage, Hogs won LY at home 54-46, now handicap the coaches and you will get the SU winner here, but ATS? since the line is right where mine would be I pass.
2) Wisconsin at Iowa = Wisconsin -3.5 - Line opened at -3 Wisky, Sag rating and home field for Iowa would still have UW as a 4 pt fav, but line opened lower, my power ratings have Wisky being favored by 3, but Iowa winning by 2. Iowa is 5-1 L6 vs Wisky and Hawkeyes won away LY 10-6. This one will come down to who has the ball last and who doesn't turnover the ball early in the game, as stated by you fine cappers, Wisky is off Michigan and Ohio St, one of the games going OT LW, now going into Iowa City, even with Ferrett face coaching the Hawkeyes, you do have a QB that returned for Iowa who had them undefeated for most of LY until the Michigan State game, Beathard is the difference along with a special teams play, Iowa by 2 pts!!
Also
Memphis at navy = Navy +2.5 - Yeah, Vegas had to put a number on this tilt, Memphis hasn't played like LY at all, granted they lost their HC and one of the best QBs in the country LY in Lynch, Memphis does just enough to win, Navy did beat a hyped up Houston team and LY Navy w/Reynolds beat Memphis 45-20 @ Memphis and coaching wise, I will take Navy anytime as a home dog or dog, Navy won @ Memphis and I expect them to win at home, Sag ratings would have had Memphis as a 3 pt fav, line opened Memphis -1 1/2, My numbers have Memphis winning by 13 albeit, Memphis has played a softer schedule, my power numbers had Navy being favored at home by 2 1/2, this is a coin toss type of game and I took Navy.
GL on what ya'll play!!
:0008
1) Arkansas at auburn = Arkansas +8 now +10 - My thoughts however, Hogs off big home win last wk vs Rebs and Auburn for some reason has had a match lit under their ass this year and are playing relatively well, even at home of all places, no kidding, this series is always back and forth and both teams have QBs who set the tone for the game, Line opened at 8 steamed down to 7 1/2 quickly then rose to 10 1/2 back down to 10, sharps haven't really pounced on this one yet or have they? I have Auburn winning by 9, power numbers Auburn should have opened at home according to Sag ratings by 9 pts including home field advantage, Hogs won LY at home 54-46, now handicap the coaches and you will get the SU winner here, but ATS? since the line is right where mine would be I pass.
2) Wisconsin at Iowa = Wisconsin -3.5 - Line opened at -3 Wisky, Sag rating and home field for Iowa would still have UW as a 4 pt fav, but line opened lower, my power ratings have Wisky being favored by 3, but Iowa winning by 2. Iowa is 5-1 L6 vs Wisky and Hawkeyes won away LY 10-6. This one will come down to who has the ball last and who doesn't turnover the ball early in the game, as stated by you fine cappers, Wisky is off Michigan and Ohio St, one of the games going OT LW, now going into Iowa City, even with Ferrett face coaching the Hawkeyes, you do have a QB that returned for Iowa who had them undefeated for most of LY until the Michigan State game, Beathard is the difference along with a special teams play, Iowa by 2 pts!!
Also
Memphis at navy = Navy +2.5 - Yeah, Vegas had to put a number on this tilt, Memphis hasn't played like LY at all, granted they lost their HC and one of the best QBs in the country LY in Lynch, Memphis does just enough to win, Navy did beat a hyped up Houston team and LY Navy w/Reynolds beat Memphis 45-20 @ Memphis and coaching wise, I will take Navy anytime as a home dog or dog, Navy won @ Memphis and I expect them to win at home, Sag ratings would have had Memphis as a 3 pt fav, line opened Memphis -1 1/2, My numbers have Memphis winning by 13 albeit, Memphis has played a softer schedule, my power numbers had Navy being favored at home by 2 1/2, this is a coin toss type of game and I took Navy.
GL on what ya'll play!!
:0008
