Hi guys.
No side action tonight, but I do like both totals and we will most likely be on the opposite side of the consensus here with both of these.
<B>4* Clemson Under(56)</B> The line is inflated here due to the recent series history between these two clubs, but both of these clubs have solid defenses and the big question for me is just how good is NCSt's offense really? I mean yes, they are averaging over 400 yards per game, but is that really impressive when considering the defenses they have faced? They have yet to face a single good defense all season and have faced some VERY bad ones. New Mexico, E.Tenn.St, UMASS, Navy, Wake Forest, Texas Tech, North Carolina, and Duke. Show me a good or even decent defense among that group. They allow over 400 yards per game combined on the season!! Clemson's defense allows only 316 yards per game(66 YARDS BELOW OPPONENTS OFFENSIVE AVERAGE) and have faced much stiffer competition than the Wolfpack including Georgia, Florida St, a hot and improving Virginia team, Georgia Tech(with Hollings), and a nice offense and QB in Louisiana Tech. Only two of Clemson's games have reached or surpassed this number total wise and those were both due to defensive TD's/Kick returns in the FSU game and the Georgia game which saw just over 400 yards of total offense combined between the two teams. NCST Has had only 3 of their 8 games reach or surpass 56 and those were against Navy, UMASS, and TTech who doesn't even attempt to play defense. This should be a very competitive game and you may want to wait a little while as this number may climb as the day goes on, but until I see NCST do something against a solid defense, I will side with the low here and buck the recent series history.
<B>3* Colorado St Under(60)</B> Once again going to buck what I feel will be sentiment toward the over here as gametime temperatures expected to be in the low 30's and BYU is struggling on offense of late failing to score 20 points in 3 of their last 4 and it took a huge second half(28 points) against a very poor Utah St team to keep that from being 4 out of 4 and from losing the last 5 games. Colorado St will keep the ball on the ground most of the night trying to exploit the BYU rush defense which is allowing nearly 200 yards per game this season. The question becomes also why is this total set this low with two teams that average 400 yards of offense and the same on defense? I think that one is that the BYU passing game may be affected by the chilly temps, Colorado St's defense is not as bad as it appears as they have given up a lot of yardage late in games with big leads such as in the Louisville game, and BYU is one of the most consistently bet "over" teams, when in fact they are 25-10 to the UNDER against winning teams since 1992 and 29-15 under vs Conference opponents since 1992. We will play against the grain in this one as well.
Good luck all......Bookie
No side action tonight, but I do like both totals and we will most likely be on the opposite side of the consensus here with both of these.
<B>4* Clemson Under(56)</B> The line is inflated here due to the recent series history between these two clubs, but both of these clubs have solid defenses and the big question for me is just how good is NCSt's offense really? I mean yes, they are averaging over 400 yards per game, but is that really impressive when considering the defenses they have faced? They have yet to face a single good defense all season and have faced some VERY bad ones. New Mexico, E.Tenn.St, UMASS, Navy, Wake Forest, Texas Tech, North Carolina, and Duke. Show me a good or even decent defense among that group. They allow over 400 yards per game combined on the season!! Clemson's defense allows only 316 yards per game(66 YARDS BELOW OPPONENTS OFFENSIVE AVERAGE) and have faced much stiffer competition than the Wolfpack including Georgia, Florida St, a hot and improving Virginia team, Georgia Tech(with Hollings), and a nice offense and QB in Louisiana Tech. Only two of Clemson's games have reached or surpassed this number total wise and those were both due to defensive TD's/Kick returns in the FSU game and the Georgia game which saw just over 400 yards of total offense combined between the two teams. NCST Has had only 3 of their 8 games reach or surpass 56 and those were against Navy, UMASS, and TTech who doesn't even attempt to play defense. This should be a very competitive game and you may want to wait a little while as this number may climb as the day goes on, but until I see NCST do something against a solid defense, I will side with the low here and buck the recent series history.
<B>3* Colorado St Under(60)</B> Once again going to buck what I feel will be sentiment toward the over here as gametime temperatures expected to be in the low 30's and BYU is struggling on offense of late failing to score 20 points in 3 of their last 4 and it took a huge second half(28 points) against a very poor Utah St team to keep that from being 4 out of 4 and from losing the last 5 games. Colorado St will keep the ball on the ground most of the night trying to exploit the BYU rush defense which is allowing nearly 200 yards per game this season. The question becomes also why is this total set this low with two teams that average 400 yards of offense and the same on defense? I think that one is that the BYU passing game may be affected by the chilly temps, Colorado St's defense is not as bad as it appears as they have given up a lot of yardage late in games with big leads such as in the Louisville game, and BYU is one of the most consistently bet "over" teams, when in fact they are 25-10 to the UNDER against winning teams since 1992 and 29-15 under vs Conference opponents since 1992. We will play against the grain in this one as well.
Good luck all......Bookie
