For what it's worth (probably nothing) Jeff Kellogg is behind the plate in this game. Underdogs +175 or greater are 10-0 the past 4 seasons when he is behind the plate. 3-0 in 2000, 5-0 in 2002 and 2-0 this season.
I assume you got his info at covers. If you look they have every home dog at +175 or higher winning EVERY game for EVERY umpire for EVERY year.
I e-mailed them about this and other mistakes back in April, no response.
They have been screwed up on several things this year. Kellogg has only had five under-dogs win all season. However in todays game I couldn't find an adv behind the plate for either team. A very weak under play.