Tar Heels YTD: 12-7 +7.22 u
This is a very difficult game to cap IMO. The Tar Heels travel to College Park to try to avenge the 40 point beating last year they took at Maryland. I think this revenge factor is pretty big, I've read 2 articles already about that loss and how the players have been looking forward to this one. The loss of Jawad Williams is what really throws a wrench into everything. Without him, the Heels lose their 2nd rebounder and 3rd best scorer, and an outside threat and a body off the bench. With that said, it might not matter as much as some people think. Last year, Raymond Felton was a big scoring threat because he had to be. This year, however, Roy wanted him to concentrate on dishing the ball off. Recently, though, Roy told Ray that he was passing too much and needed to score more. The result...25 pts against GT last time out. Sean May is averaging 25 pts in his last 2 games. Jackie Manuel has been in double digits the last several game. I guess in all of this babble I'm trying to say that the Heels are alright without Jawad in there.
I just don't see that much for Maryland. Yes, I think they are a talented team. But they are young. And incosistent. Which is why they beat Florida on the road, but then lose to more inferior teams. So what do I think that Md has in their favor? Home court advantage. The Terps IMO have one of the stronger home court advantages in college basketball. It's just a tough place to play for visiting teams. I just don't think Maryland is going to have an answer for Sean May tonight inside.
I will also say this, about this game and about my picks in general. I try my best not to be a homer on my picks, because if I am it basically takes a lot of the credibility out of my picks (and the effectiveness). This year, I have indeed made plays against the heels, which have won. When I do think that part of my capping for a game includes a bit of "homerness", then I will say it. I think it makes my picks more valid to people on here that might think it's purely due to my allegiences. I'm not someone who blows smoke, I know that Carolina will lose it's fair share of games.
I just wanted to put this little sidenote in, because I think a small part of my pick tonight is due to my love for Carolina. I can honestly see this game going both ways. I see reasons to play Maryland, but I see more reasons to play the Heels. Like I said, Maryland just hasn't proven itself to me yet. Even without Jawad, the heels are hitting full stride as Raymond and Sean have been on fire. Throw in the fact that tonight is a big revenge game for these players, I think my play will be on the Heels.
Play:
UNC +2 2 units
Good luck fellas
This is a very difficult game to cap IMO. The Tar Heels travel to College Park to try to avenge the 40 point beating last year they took at Maryland. I think this revenge factor is pretty big, I've read 2 articles already about that loss and how the players have been looking forward to this one. The loss of Jawad Williams is what really throws a wrench into everything. Without him, the Heels lose their 2nd rebounder and 3rd best scorer, and an outside threat and a body off the bench. With that said, it might not matter as much as some people think. Last year, Raymond Felton was a big scoring threat because he had to be. This year, however, Roy wanted him to concentrate on dishing the ball off. Recently, though, Roy told Ray that he was passing too much and needed to score more. The result...25 pts against GT last time out. Sean May is averaging 25 pts in his last 2 games. Jackie Manuel has been in double digits the last several game. I guess in all of this babble I'm trying to say that the Heels are alright without Jawad in there.
I just don't see that much for Maryland. Yes, I think they are a talented team. But they are young. And incosistent. Which is why they beat Florida on the road, but then lose to more inferior teams. So what do I think that Md has in their favor? Home court advantage. The Terps IMO have one of the stronger home court advantages in college basketball. It's just a tough place to play for visiting teams. I just don't think Maryland is going to have an answer for Sean May tonight inside.
I will also say this, about this game and about my picks in general. I try my best not to be a homer on my picks, because if I am it basically takes a lot of the credibility out of my picks (and the effectiveness). This year, I have indeed made plays against the heels, which have won. When I do think that part of my capping for a game includes a bit of "homerness", then I will say it. I think it makes my picks more valid to people on here that might think it's purely due to my allegiences. I'm not someone who blows smoke, I know that Carolina will lose it's fair share of games.
I just wanted to put this little sidenote in, because I think a small part of my pick tonight is due to my love for Carolina. I can honestly see this game going both ways. I see reasons to play Maryland, but I see more reasons to play the Heels. Like I said, Maryland just hasn't proven itself to me yet. Even without Jawad, the heels are hitting full stride as Raymond and Sean have been on fire. Throw in the fact that tonight is a big revenge game for these players, I think my play will be on the Heels.
Play:
UNC +2 2 units
Good luck fellas
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