update on underdogs

verbalkint

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Jan 2, 2001
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raleigh, n c
15 plays in 1 day is way too much risk to be deemed acceptable in any kind of kind of investment... even the most stable [ie random]. It can be shown 15 plays in one week or 75% of your bankroll is too much ]

2 plys in a day would be the limit in a conservative system. 3 trials in a very risky system. this means a risk of 10% or 15% of your total in 1 day.
 

Stag

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Jan 22, 2001
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just a typical day for the system.......7-7...+3.57 units

there was one rainout (K.C.)........... with a full card, dogs usually go 7-8

I hope this helps people......I think I am done here. Good luck to everyone no matter what you do. Beat the juice!!
 

verbalkint

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Jan 2, 2001
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raleigh, n c
too interpret the following the following quote
"just a typical day for the system.......7-7...+3.57 units "

conservative approach 1 trial = 5% of bank
a win of 17.88% in one day
at a play of $100 = $357

high risk/reward approach 1 trial = 10% of bank
a win of 35.7% for the day
ply of $200 win of $714


all this wilth minimal effort and no prediction of winners.
However please keep in mind, a split on underdogs is a great result but well within acceptable statistical parameters.

an example in plain english.
in a week you wager on 50 games [trials] all dogs preferably 134 or more. 90+% of the time you will win 21 or 23 or 20 or 22 trials.calculated by 50 times 42% = 21
21 wins at 135 = 28.14
minus 29 losses = loss of .96
22 wins at 135 = 29.7
minus 28
profit of 1.7
1.7 > .96
result positive expectation
 
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