UTEP/Northwestern

[Smitty]

anyone else think it's nuts that UTEP is favored at NW? sure, NW is in for a long year. and they may very well lose this game. but UTEP opened the season by losing at Jacksonville St. UTEP was also favored by 1.5 in that game. seems insane to me that the Miners are actually favored here.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

A 1-11 team should be favored is that what you're asking? UTEP out yarded J'ville in game 1 at J'ville , NW couldn't catch a cold vs Rutgers. A small line like this throws out smoke signals. NW with all their inner turmoil, law suits, etc., didn't get any transfer portal players, UTEP did, the HC interim basis mind you has never been a HC except in little league football and there is really no home field advantage at NW except maybe the weather there. NW has 12 yards rushing vs Rutgers last week for heavens' sake!! UTEP has played 2 teams which are basically new to the FBS, J'ville St & Incarnate Word!! NW sucks! GL on whatever you play Smitty!! Best of luck on the season!! :cheers:

 

[Smitty]

while i certainly agree with your points that NW is absolutely awful, it's still crazy that UTEP is favored in this game. even a terrible big 10 team (which obviously applies here) would normally be a solid home fav against UTEP.

the lines these days are basically set by the computers, give or take a few adjustments. espn shows nw with an 80% chance to win. sagarin shows NW should be roughly a 10-pt fav. of course those are not the same computers the linesmakers use, but they're normally pretty close. and this line is WAY off.

if NW was favored by, say, 4 - 5, i'd be all over UTEP. and, like i said, they very well could win. hard to say how bad the mindset is now for the NW players.

i guess the point i'm making... is this line adjusted SO much that the value on UTEP is gone? i certainly can't bet on NW, but a bet on UTEP at this line might not make sense.

the line really jumped out at me, so figured i'd get a discussion going.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

You’re eggzackly on point Smitty!!

 

[Trucker Gambler]

Here is TG thoughts, I watched the Rutgers/NW game and it was not easy I did have Rutgers but with that said I dont think I have seen a Big10 team this bad, I believed they would lose every game this season without knowing their schedule, now UTEP comes to town, another disaster waiting to explode. I would have ZERO interest going to this game if they paid me so betting it would make no sense even as degenerate of a player as I am LMAO, my question is how can their be a favorite and the total should be less than 20. This may very well be the only win for the year if NW gets it. Anyway good luck but I would PASS.

Here is what gets me in college football is these schedules Clemson gets Duke to open and then plays a high school junior varsity team next, I live in Syracuse and we have 4 teams my grandsons 10u team can beat and that means 2 more games and we are bowl eligible. Our city is nuts over this team after the 63-0 win over Colgate, come on why do they do this. Oregon 81-7 last week its just wrong. Sorry wrong thread for this but just venting.