UWGB's Rahmon Fletcher, Cordero Barkley healthy for Butler rematch

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Duo missed first meeting with knee injuries


Rahmon Fletcher and Cordero Barkley ? the University of Wisconsin-Green Bay's best player and best defender, respectively ? were stuck on the bench in sweat suits, and freshman Rian Pearson was forced to make his first career start the last time the Phoenix played Butler.

Predictably, it wasn't pretty for UWGB, which lost 72-49 at Hinkle Fieldhouse on New Year's Eve in an early-season battle for first place in the Horizon League.

When the top-two teams meet again tonight at the Resch Center in a nationally televised game on ESPNU (8 p.m.), at least this time the second-place Phoenix (15-7 overall, 7-3 Horizon League) will be able to throw its best players at the first-place Bulldogs (16-4, 9-0). Fletcher and Barkley have returned from the knee injuries that kept them out of the first Butler game, and Pearson, the athletic wing who is coming off the best week of his young career, might have worked his way back into the starting lineup.

"I think it's going to make a difference just as far as what we can do, how we can get into them," Fletcher said. "We won't have to worry about getting tired because we've got people on the bench this time."

Having Fletcher back at point guard should be critical for a Phoenix offense that shot just 35.4 percent, including 6-of-21 in the second half, in the loss in Indianapolis. Without Fletcher, his backcourt mates Bryquis Perine and Troy Cotton combined for just 11 points on 4-of-16 shooting. Together, the trio has averaged 43 points per game this season.

Even if Fletcher hasn't played his best basketball in the last three games, when he has battled turnover problems, he's still the Horizon League's leading scorer (17.7 ppg) in conference games and the key to UWGB's offense. Perine is the top assist man (4.7 per game) in league games, while Cotton is third in 3-pointers made (2.2 per game).

Butler coach Brad Stevens compared UWGB's guards to the Bulldogs' trio of Mike Green, A.J. Graves and Pete Campbell, a group that helped Butler to NCAA Tournament appearances in 2007 and 2008.

"We've played against a lot of guys that score at the rim and from the (3-point) arc," Stevens said. "But I don't know if we've played three guys who off the bounce can score that well from 15 to 18 feet, too. They can score in three different ways."

Having Barkley back in the rotation off the bench should help the Phoenix's defense. Without him in the first meeting, coach Tod Kowalczyk started out in a 2-3 zone but had to come out of it quickly after Gordon Hayward buried 3-pointers on Butler's first two possessions. The problem was, it didn't have anyone who could match Hayward straight up, either. The lanky, 6-foot-5 Barkley could be the perfect guy to cover the 6-9 Hayward, who leads Butler in scoring (16.1 ppg) and as a sophomore already is drawing NBA interest. In fact, several NBA scouts are expected to be at the Resch Center tonight.

"When you lose Cordero Barkley, you lose your versatility," Kowalczyk said. "We're certainly much more adaptable and more prepared to defend them. They're the hardest team to prepare for because they run a lot of things, and they're very well coached, and they thrive on getting people into scramble situations defensively, so we're going to need all of our guys to defend in order to play good team defense."

And then there's Pearson, who going into the first Butler game had averaged only 11.5 minutes and 3.7 points per game after missing the entire preseason and the first three regular-season games because of a knee injury. Since the first meeting with the Bulldogs, the 6-3 guard has emerged as the Phoenix's best newcomer. On the two-game road trip to Ohio last week, he averaged 12 points and 22 minutes per game, including a career-high 14-point performance against Cleveland State.

"I feel much more comfortable now than I did a month ago," Pearson said. "I was just adjusting to getting playing time and learning how to play against better players. Now that coach is playing me more, I feel like I'm better adjusted."

Pearson's athleticism could make him a viable option to guard Hayward or Butler's second-leading scorer, guard Shelvin Mack.

"Rian Pearson is an energy guy who can score in a variety of ways," Kowalczyk said. "He's also a guy that can defend different positions as well. He can guard a post guy and a perimeter guy. I think he's one of our better defenders."
 

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Probable starters

UWGB
F, Matt Smith (6-7, fr.) 3.5 ppg, 2.3 rpg
F, Randy Berry (6-9, sr.) 7.9 ppg, 7.7 rpg
G, Troy Cotton (6-1, sr.) 12.9 ppg, 3.1 rpg
G, Bryquis Perine (6-3, jr.) 13.7 ppg, 4.4 apg
G, Rahmon Fletcher (5-10, jr.) 16.4 ppg, 2.8 apg

Butler
F, Matt Howard (6-8, jr.) 10.8 ppg, 5.2 rpg
F, Willie Veasley (6-3, sr.) 9.6 ppg, 3.8 rpg
G, Gordon Hayward (6-9, so.) 16.1 ppg, 8.2 rpg
G, Shelvin Mack (6-3, so.) 15.3 ppg, 3.4 rpg
G, Ronald Nored (6-0, so.) 4.5 ppg, 3.3 apg
Tonight's UWGB men's basketball preview

Who: University of Wisconsin-Green Bay (15-7 overall, 7-3 Horizon League) vs. Butler (16-4, 9-0)

UWGB update: Freshman forward Matt Smith, who has started all 22 games this season, could be sidelined tonight because of a left shoulder injury he sustained in practice on Wednesday. Kowalczyk said Smith, who was limited in practice on Thursday, will be a game-time decision. Freshman Rian Pearson (4.8 ppg, 2.1 rpg) likely would start in his place. ? The Phoenix has won 16 straight Horizon League home games dating to the 2007-08 season. Its last home league loss came to Butler on Feb. 9, 2008 (62-57). ? Junior guard Rahmon Fletcher needs just 15 points to become the 24th player in Phoenix history to score 1,000 career points. ? Kowalczyk and his staff plan to wear sneakers tonight as part of the Coaches vs. Cancer awareness program across college basketball this weekend. Also, Kowalczyk and Stevens are scheduled to speak at a Coaches vs. Cancer breakfast this morning at 7:30 at the Resch Center.


Butler update: The Bulldogs' eight-game winning streak is their longest of the season and has them at No. 18 in the ESPN/USA Today coaches poll, but they are unranked in the Associated Press Top 25. ? Leading scorer Gordon Hayward has been especially good away from home, averaging 18.5 ppg in league road games and coming off a 25-point game Saturday at UIC. ? Shelvin Mack has led the Bulldogs in scoring (17.0 ppg) during the eight-game winning streak. ? After fouling out of seven of the first 12 games, Matt Howard has not fouled out of a game since Dec. 22 at UAB. Howard has not fouled out of any Horizon League games. He also leads the league in free throws made with 95.
 

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Butler, 9-0 in Horizon, isn't thinking about going unbeaten in conference play


Brad Stevens, the Butler basketball coach, shares the view of Indianapolis Colts president Bill Polian. Going undefeated is not a goal.

"It's just not a thought. It's never been a reasonable thought," Stevens said.
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His Bulldogs have lost, of course, just not in the Horizon League.

Therefore, it's reasonable to ask whether the Bulldogs can go 18-0. At 9-0, they are halfway there.

Their status will be imperiled in weekend games in the Badger State: tonight at Wisconsin-Green Bay and Sunday at Wisconsin-Milwaukee.

Butler lost at both places a year ago en route to a 15-3 record and third successive regular-season title. Green Bay has won 16 consecutive Horizon home games since a 62-57 loss to Butler on Feb. 9, 2008.

In the league's 31-year history, just three teams have gone unbeaten. One, Loyola, played just five games in the inaugural 1979-80 season.

In NCAA basketball over the past decade, no more than three teams in any season have gone through a league schedule unbeaten. Memphis saw a three-year run in Conference USA end this month. Gonzaga is trying to go unbeaten in the West Coast Conference for a fourth time in seven years.

The predicament for a mid-major program such as Butler is that 18-0 doesn't necessarily help in NCAA selection or seeding. Butler (16-4) will be judged on its pre-January record of 1-3 on neutral floors. Any league loss is a so-called bad one.

"Every bad loss is going to hurt them," said Jerry Palm of collegerpi.com. "You get enough of them, and you question whether they make it at all."

Palm projects Butler as a No. 8 NCAA tourney seed. ESPN's Joe Lunardi, the original bracketologist, has Butler as a No. 6.

"You pile a couple of conference losses together, and each loss is basically a seed or maybe two," Palm said. "There's a lot of pressure to win these games."

In an e-mail, Lunardi said an unbeaten league record isn't rewarded as much as an absence of bad losses enhances a team profile. CBS analyst Clark Kellogg said an unbeaten record probably won't influence seeding.That can be a source of frustration to the Bulldogs.

For instance, Sweet Sixteen teams in 2003 and '07 had multiple close calls in the league. In going 14-2 in 2003, the Bulldogs had six league wins by four or fewer points or in overtime. In '07, they played NCAA champion Florida "as tight as you can play," Stevens said, before losing 65-57.
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"We lost four league games and squeaked out almost every other one on the road with the exception of one," said Stevens, an assistant coach that year.

Butler squeaked out two this month, winning at Detroit 64-62 in overtime and at Loyola 48-47.

"League play is difficult," Stevens said. "If you turn around the two-point games right now, Detroit is 8-1 and we're 7-2. There's a small margin between being undefeated and being second place.

"Any talk of going undefeated is not only premature, but uninformed, in my opinion."

Opinions vary on Butler's chances of staying unbeaten in the league. Kenpom.com estimates it at 30 percent, based on cumulative probabilities for each game. Games with lowest probability are at Green Bay (82 percent), Milwaukee (79) and Cleveland State (81).

ESPN's Andy Katz wrote that Butler is "looking like it won't lose in the league." Lunardi estimated Butler's chances at 67 percent and Kellogg puts it at 40 percent.

Illinois-Chicago coach Jimmy Collins gave the Bulldogs better than a puncher's chance, saying they have a "jabber's chance." They don't need to throw one big punch, he said.

"Yeah, I think they can do it. Obviously, you've got to be a little lucky, too," Collins said. "But in terms of being good, they're good enough to do it."

_________________


Pregame MVP: Nored. He has consistently restrained elite guards, and his assist/turnover ratio (2.64) leads league. Nored will be assigned to defend Fletcher, who was injured and didn't play Dec. 31 in Butler's 72-49 victory. Fletcher (17.7 ppg) is Horizon's top scorer in league games.
? Prediction: Green Bay is formidable here, as evidenced by its Dec. 9 win over No. 20 Wisconsin. But of teams with more than three road games, only St. Mary's (6-0) and Syracuse (4-0) have better records than Butler (7-1).
 
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