VMI / UT Chat 4:30 Start!

[Scoop Mackenzie]

I love it when you get an early game like this to get the ole jump start on the night or of course drop this one and start the early chasing

but wait could it be?? This early in the day?? Yes siree it sure does look like the Stinky Line O the Day!!

Narrowly beating out Pitt -2, ECU -1, and Houston -1 good ole UT Chatt gets the call because it sure is stinky :yup

Just take a look at the numbers why O why would UT Chatt not be favored by at least a healthy 8-10 in this game?

Ugly Numbers

VMI has tons of them starting with the record 6-16 and in the last 13 games they have just won once and in those 12 losses just two of them were by less than 5 points! When they lose they are beat up on! but wait El Stinko gets worse:

Got these from the fox:
VMI is 1-6 after 3 or more consecutive losses this season. (6-15 over the last 3 seasons.)
VMI is 2-10 after a conference game this season. (12-34 over the last 3 seasons.)
VMI is 1-6 after scoring 60 points or less this season. (6-12 over the last 3 seasons.)
VMI is 5-16 in all games this season. (22-53 over the last 3 seasons.)
VMI is 1-11 in conference games this season. (11-35 over the last 3 seasons.)
VMI is 0-5 in February games this season. (7-14 over the last 3 seasons.)
VMI is 3-6 in home games this season. (15-17 over the last 3 seasons.)
VMI is 2-9 off a loss against a conference rival this season. (5-17 over the last 3 seasons.)
VMI is 1-3 on Tuesday nights this season. (1-5 over the last 3 seasons.)
VMI is 1-5 versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season. (4-10 over the last 3 seasons.)
VMI is 1-2 versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game this season. (3-10 over the last 3 seasons.)
VMI is 0-4 versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=45% this season. (4-7 over the last 3 seasons.)
VMI is 2-9 when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (6-34 over the last 3 seasons.)



UT has won four out of five and is better than VMI statistically in every single category and according to the line is dropping from an opening of 5.5 to what is now 4.5 !!!!

Also VMI has just come off a tough 3 point loss (one of the 2 in the last twelve within 5) and you can just tell by thier coach that they are a bad team.
VMI HEAD COACH BART BELLAIRS - "We talked about not leaving our man, and we went ahead and left our guy open. We played hard again, but came up short - that's been the story of the season. We shot 2 of 13 from the 3-point arc and that's been a big negative for us, too. We just got to keep working and our guys haven't given up. We had a chance to win the ballgame and just didn't. On the last possession, we wanted Levar Joseph to come off the pump fake and try to draw the foul. He was the one player for us that had been hitting the three this season and had hit one just seconds earlier. We really don't have a go to guy except for Levar in that situation, and we'll keep working on it and we're lacking some confidence now in that part of our game."

So if this one by some miracle does get close VMI is sure to choke again.

So can someone please tell me why this line is so low??? VMI at home? Maybe, but this one sure is stinky and I'm all ears for anyone to tell me why is ould back VMI :bigear:

For those of you with enough courage to tune into this gem you can get a link here: http://www.gomocs.com

I am not playing this game and if I do strangely enough it will be on VMI because this one looks to good to be true. Of course if i do we all know what will happen ! :nutkick



s c O O p

Of course I will look for a halftime play if any!

 

[superbook]

VMI had the leading scorer in the nation last year, Jason Conley, who decided to transfer halfway thru this season.

 

[gman2]

obviously the loss of conley has hurt vmi, but it looks like skipworth is stepping up for them and filling that role. one thing that i do think it worth noting is that vmi has played some really close, down-to-the-wire games at home the last few months. packing 2,000 into a gym is hardly a homecourt edge, especially when youve got 1 conference win, but i actually think vmi will win this game. theyve been close to getting a handful of wins at home lately

 

[IX_Bender]

1. The home loss to Wofford has some ppl wondering

2. Travel, weather, delayed games on the road

3. UTC is not the same team that started 12-3

4. UTC is 4-4 recently, including 2 wins over Citadel (doesnt count)

5. 6 of the last 8 opponents have shot better than 50% vs. UTC

6. The other 2 were both Citadel (again, doesnt count)



Road favs that don't play defense are not good long term bets.
If Morgan has half the game he did last outing and Champion continues to shoulder the load, this game will be an easy win for the Mocs.

Or one can assume Morgan's recent success was an aberration, against a team without a true center, coupled with VMI's ability to exploit that very same weakness themselves. Then you have a situation where the Keydets come out with a positive rebounding margin alongside a UTC squad that decides to play lackluster defense from a DefFG% standpoint. You have a home dog winning outright.


Tough game. I do think that the Mocs have a bit more on the line so to speak and if they show up even with a bit of intensity on defense they should handle this game by 8 or more points.


All this, and I made it through without using an emoticon.

 

[superbook]

Lots of good info here guys.

Sounds like it's better to PASS unless you need the action like me.

- Jon

 

[Theboundbook]

Straight 165/150 Pending


MCBB Tenn Chattanooga (Mocs) PS -4? -110 Pending

 

[walleyek]

I've been capping sports a while now, and I still fail to understand why some people get psyched out by a certain line. I've never bought into the whole "trap number" farce. If you fade a so-called trap merely for its own sake, all you're doing is second-guessing yourself and as a sports gambler that'll drive us crazy. (Perfect example today with lowly VMI -- Nice play on Chatt, Theboundbook)