if we leave iraq... iran will be entering from the other direction...& i heard an economist say if this happens oil prices will skyrocket......
I'm not sure I agree with your premise on this AR. First of all, as Kosar points out repeatedly, now that we instigated regime change in Iraq, Iran is already there - at least as far as population makeup and the new "government" (whatever the Hell that means).
Secondy, what would Iran have to gain by attempting to take over Iraq on a grand scale, like attack them, move on the country, occupy it and take it over? I think that is what you and Freeze might me alluding to. By invading Iraq, what would Iran really have to gain? Oil? I think they have quite a bit already, don't they? They need to go through a war to get some more oil, by taking over multinational oil companies (mostly US and British companies) in the process? Or maybe they want the land for some reason? Why? What would the reason be for invading Iraq?
What do they risk by invading Iraq? Essentially the sovereignity of their country, at least, and losing their country period, at most. They are going to attack another middle eastern country that has a strong muslim population? How does this forward their cause? This would somehow galvanize muslim support worldwide? How? I can see it if they invade while the US is patrolling, killing Zionists and Americans, but if we were gone? I don't see it.
You don't think that after all we have gone through over the past few years, and evidently will for at least two more, that the US would respond militarily and finish the job that (at least) the current administration has been positioning for? Do you think they don't understand that? You don't think that the US, Britain and Israel (among others) would make sure this kind of thing never happened again? It would galvanize a lot of support from sideline countries, and give this administration complete vindication for putting an end to Iran as we all know it. Essentially, I think, this WOULD be WW3, and I don't think the Grand Poobahs in 'ol Iran want to go out that way.
I've heard reports that they are telling the new guy to shut his trap. He's spotlighting things that they prefer to keep quiet. So, this mouthing off and posturing may be even taken care of internally. Could happen.
Finally, what did you - or the administration - think would happen when we eventually won this war in Iraq? We would stay there forever? Or would we ever leave out of fear of Iran? It just makes no sense to me. This argument, anyway.