Weak 4 HSF/FBS & FCS (9/19-9/21)

[Riff-Raff]

HSF Degen Record....14-9 (+2.8 u) (always - 120)

Rather an inauspicious start to the degenerate high school football thread but things should be getting better and as more games get played the more we will know.

Thurs.

5 pm

Valor Christian -14
Pine Creek 53'

Hmmm, again Valor gets air time as the returning 5A State Champs are 3-0 thus far but have an interesting match-up this week. Last week was easy pickings as Eagles giving 28 points was comical and allowed my open parlays to get a nice W. Hopefully we get to add to it tomorrow night.

I'm feeling pretty confident in this pick too and wouldn't be shocked to see Pine Creek to pull off their first W over the 5A power. Pine Creek is no slouch and their HC Todd Miller is definitely saying all the right things to get his troops motivated. Last year saw Pine Creek drop out of the 4A State quarterfinals getting upended by Skyline 22-21 which noone saw coming. A test of a great program is the ability of the HC to go back to the drawing board, but he does so with a ton of returning talent. He admitted that he allowed some sloppiness last season which caught up to the Eagles (yes another Eagles team) in the State playoffs. Eagles have manhandled their early competition (3-0)but make no mistake, I'm not basing my pick on the early returns, but rather on the fact that Pine Creek has had this one circled since summer passing league.

Pine Creek Eagles carry their own impressive dynasty record going 164-33 overall and 90-7 in league. They have pretty much dominated their League running the table from 2013-2018 (with minor hiccup in 2011)they won 2011-2006. Captured three 4A Champ between 2013-2016. HC Todd Miller has 4 State Titles and is favored to win another this year. Program is bottom heavy with returning talent. Eagles are the current #1 ranked 4A Colorado Team and from what I can gather the players actually believe they are the best in the state. That obviously remains to be seen and I'm sure 6A powers like Cherry Creek and Pomona would disagree but they do return 17 starters and the possibly the best overall RB David Moore III, a 3 star talent. The Sr is only (5'8" 177lbs)which is the knock on him but he is only 600 yards shy of 6,000 career rush yards and is the first player in Pine Creek lore to have started all 4 years on the Varsity. Several Div 1 programs are starting to gain interest. He has compiled 58 TDs in 3 years and already has a State Championship Ring which his pals want too. Thus far he's rushed for 390 yards in 3 games w/5 TDs.

Returning QB Gavin Herberg is a 2 year starter and although he has only 15 completions this season, 9 of those were for scores. Lead WR Eddie Kyle returns and has already snatched 4 TDs. Sr Max Lofy doubles duty as WR/CB is heading to Wisconsin, and their TE Reese Rowan is returning from an injured 2018. Team has a kicker (Luke Wieland) that will be playing in College next year, but only had 3 FGs last season mainly because Eagles finish drives. With 17 returning starters and an OL that is monstrous, this could be the year.

Valor was giving way too many points last week and I think +14 is a gift too. No doubt Valor won't get walked over but I capped this game at a pick so feeling pretty comfortable with the extra points. Valor won last year 28-7.....P. C. will have to contend with Super Soph RB Gavin Sawchuck who has compiled 304 rush yards (avr 5.8 ypc). QB Cole Bott has been efficient in McCaffreys system, but I always wonder about the durability of a QB who stands 6'7" and weighs 185 lbs. His numbers are decent at 34 of 59 comp for 509 yards passing (57.6%). I will give McCaffrey credit as the numbers are fairly even averaging 178.7 ypg passing and 183 rush ypg.

It's hard not to like Valor with their 8 State Titles since starting a Varsity program in 2009. This game definitely comes down to RB G Sawchuck vs RB D Moore III. This match pits the #1 4A team against the #1 ranked 5A team. I like the confidence that Pine Creek exudes I think HC Todd Miller learned a valuable lesson about his team in 2018 and like he was quoted "we had lipstick on the pig"... So think he will have this Sr experienced squad ready to go and Valor travels to Colorado Springs this year.

3 unit play on Pine Creek +14

1 unit on the Under 53'*Think the ground game is going to be alive and well here.

 

[Riff-Raff]

Fri 5 pm

De Smet Jesuit 70
Christian Brothers -6'

Been a bit since national TV comes to the Missouri State High School Gridiron scene. De Smet has been a program on the move since their 1-9 season in 2017. It appears that the program has flipped the switch and are ready to step up to the next level which is indicative of the highest ranking the Spartans have been in years. De Smet comes in @ 3-0 (1-0 league Rec) and the contest against Christian Brothers represents the calling card. In 2018, Spartans finished 9-3 only losing to the eventual 5 State Champ, Vianney and Class 6 State Champ... Ahem, CBC. The returning talent for Spartans is overwhelming and has paid its due on the Varsity ly. All signs point to a new culture.

You wouldn't know it by the early returns but the big question mark was (is) the QB position as 4 players are fighting for the starting position, but two have emerged M Wheeler (6'1"160 lbs) came in last year to relieve departed Starter Nat Martens, who had been there 3 years but was given a ride to No Iowa..... Wheeler did help them win 2 games ly but only amassed 133 yards passing on 11 attempts w/1 TD... Thus far, he leads the corps on 23 of 34 for 377 yards w/3 TDs.... Nipping his heel is Sr QB AJ Fraser (6'5" 185 lbs) with 207 pass yards on 14 of 16 Att w/3 TDs (you have to like a 87.5% comp rate).. He comes from a transfer (get this) all the way from Orinda, CA where he had enough success to garner attention from Cornell U (hardly a QB college but..)... The best of the 4 might be another transfer Soph Seth Marcione (from Triad) at 6'2" 195 lbs, he is a big kid with mobility and good arm strength but will have to wait his turn. Jr QB C Holmes is a prototypical dual threat at (6'4" 175 lbs) he can play all over the field.... The cupboard is definitely full for the Spartans. OL returns 4 Starters and a 5th saw lot of action........it's RB by committee with 3 top RBs that combined for 2,151 yards w/11 TDs.... So far Jr RB Darez Snider (5'8" 175 lbs) has 258 yards on 31 carries....... 4 Star WR Jakaiilan Johnson has 6 catches for 170 yards.(he does double duty as a CB)... Defensive line will have an advantage in this game but the overall youth in the secondary will get tested.

Christian Brothers College comes in with a hefty National rank at #39. The returning State Champs have been the gold standard for Missouri High school Football. Cadets are well coached and disciplined. The program is the 2 Time defending State Champs in Class 6 (Large School) Cadets are led by Soph QB Ayden Robinson-Wayne, he has passed for 596 yards on 40 of 55 att (72.7%) w/5 TDs but his elusive dual threat potential is what will keep De Smets LB Corp honest as he has rushed for 459 yards on 34 att w/7 TDs (avr 13.5 ypc)...... Big play RB Jordan Clay is a nice complement and combo with 385 rush yards w/5 TDs. (avr 15.4 ypc)..... Also Sr RB Ray Lingard (5'6"150 lbs) rushed ly for 613 yards w/11 TDs as a Jr..... While De Smet has the overall advantage on the OL, the biggest kid on the field will be OL/DL Brady Feeney (6'5" 315 lbs)....most would expect a fat, slovenly lineman but this Indiana bound (verbal) actually lives in the weight room and gained 100 lbs between his Frosh and Soph year.... His dedication to the iron pumping combo with an improved diet and nutrition, has several D1 programs drooling. His initial plan was Rice but the 4.7 GPA phenom (was only Soph on the 2017 Class 6 State Championship) but has started all 4 years. Expect the ground game of the Cadets to run off his tail. Defensr will have growing pains but the programs winning mentality will give confidence to the young D.

This is the premier game for the Metro Catholic Class 6 and all eyes will be watching as the game sold out the first day tickets went on sale. CBC has won 37 consecutive conference games but this one might be the apple cart getting turned over. The Cadets have won 9 League Titles without a setback...... The last time De Smet Jesuit beat CBC was in 2012 stunner (56-35) playoffs, but CBC responded by winning the next 10 tilts by 35+ each game. This match pits the #1 vs #2 Large Schools and CBC is riding an 11 game win streak. ... While CBC certainly reloads with athletes each year, they did lose a lot of stellar talent and graduated the entire defense. Last year, CBC had their way with De Smet winning the league match 49-14 then doubling down in the playoffs winning 63-28. The tally is 10 straight games (13 of 14)in the rivalry.

It's a bit misleading to gauge the quality of comp De Smet has rolled through the first 3 games having won by a combined 134-14 sounds pretty dominant (consider the only 2 TDs that were scored were in the 4th quarter junk time and the clock was running..... Man for man De Smet appears to have an edge here however, the CBC QB is the best QB on the field.......... De Smet has been putting up big offensive numbers, as has CBC. Cadets are avr 55 ppg while allowing 27 to teams that aren't nearly as gifted as De Smet.........

My first instinct was to play the Under 70 when I first saw the number, however, this one has the look and feel of a good Ole fashion shoot out with the first team to 50 wins. I'm also going to try 2 units on De Smet, as I love a good rags to riches story and if they are going to finally best CBC, this is the year........

2 units on the Over 70

2 units on the Spartans +6'

Gl to All

 

[Riff-Raff]

8 units on the Over Houston/Tulane

 

[Musca]

Fri 5 pm

De Smet Jesuit 70
Christian Brothers -6'

Been a bit since national TV comes to the Missouri State High School Gridiron scene. De Smet has been a program on the move since their 1-9 season in 2017. It appears that the program has flipped the switch and are ready to step up to the next level which is indicative of the highest ranking the Spartans have been in years. De Smet comes in @ 3-0 (1-0 league Rec) and the contest against Christian Brothers represents the calling card. In 2018, Spartans finished 9-3 only losing to the eventual 5 State Champ, Vianney and Class 6 State Champ... Ahem, CBC. The returning talent for Spartans is overwhelming and has paid its due on the Varsity ly. All signs point to a new culture.

You wouldn't know it by the early returns but the big question mark was (is) the QB position as 4 players are fighting for the starting position, but two have emerged M Wheeler (6'1"160 lbs) came in last year to relieve departed Starter Nat Martens, who had been there 3 years but was given a ride to No Iowa..... Wheeler did help them win 2 games ly but only amassed 133 yards passing on 11 attempts w/1 TD... Thus far, he leads the corps on 23 of 34 for 377 yards w/3 TDs.... Nipping his heel is Sr QB AJ Fraser (6'5" 185 lbs) with 207 pass yards on 14 of 16 Att w/3 TDs (you have to like a 87.5% comp rate).. He comes from a transfer (get this) all the way from Orinda, CA where he had enough success to garner attention from Cornell U (hardly a QB college but..)... The best of the 4 might be another transfer Soph Seth Marcione (from Triad) at 6'2" 195 lbs, he is a big kid with mobility and good arm strength but will have to wait his turn. Jr QB C Holmes is a prototypical dual threat at (6'4" 175 lbs) he can play all over the field.... The cupboard is definitely full for the Spartans. OL returns 4 Starters and a 5th saw lot of action........it's RB by committee with 3 top RBs that combined for 2,151 yards w/11 TDs.... So far Jr RB Darez Snider (5'8" 175 lbs) has 258 yards on 31 carries....... 4 Star WR Jakaiilan Johnson has 6 catches for 170 yards.(he does double duty as a CB)... Defensive line will have an advantage in this game but the overall youth in the secondary will get tested.

Christian Brothers College comes in with a hefty National rank at #39. The returning State Champs have been the gold standard for Missouri High school Football. Cadets are well coached and disciplined. The program is the 2 Time defending State Champs in Class 6 (Large School) Cadets are led by Soph QB Ayden Robinson-Wayne, he has passed for 596 yards on 40 of 55 att (72.7%) w/5 TDs but his elusive dual threat potential is what will keep De Smets LB Corp honest as he has rushed for 459 yards on 34 att w/7 TDs (avr 13.5 ypc)...... Big play RB Jordan Clay is a nice complement and combo with 385 rush yards w/5 TDs. (avr 15.4 ypc)..... Also Sr RB Ray Lingard (5'6"150 lbs) rushed ly for 613 yards w/11 TDs as a Jr..... While De Smet has the overall advantage on the OL, the biggest kid on the field will be OL/DL Brady Feeney (6'5" 315 lbs)....most would expect a fat, slovenly lineman but this Indiana bound (verbal) actually lives in the weight room and gained 100 lbs between his Frosh and Soph year.... His dedication to the iron pumping combo with an improved diet and nutrition, has several D1 programs drooling. His initial plan was Rice but the 4.7 GPA phenom (was only Soph on the 2017 Class 6 State Championship) but has started all 4 years. Expect the ground game of the Cadets to run off his tail. Defensr will have growing pains but the programs winning mentality will give confidence to the young D.

This is the premier game for the Metro Catholic Class 6 and all eyes will be watching as the game sold out the first day tickets went on sale. CBC has won 37 consecutive conference games but this one might be the apple cart getting turned over. The Cadets have won 9 League Titles without a setback...... The last time De Smet Jesuit beat CBC was in 2012 stunner (56-35) playoffs, but CBC responded by winning the next 10 tilts by 35+ each game. This match pits the #1 vs #2 Large Schools and CBC is riding an 11 game win streak. ... While CBC certainly reloads with athletes each year, they did lose a lot of stellar talent and graduated the entire defense. Last year, CBC had their way with De Smet winning the league match 49-14 then doubling down in the playoffs winning 63-28. The tally is 10 straight games (13 of 14)in the rivalry.

It's a bit misleading to gauge the quality of comp De Smet has rolled through the first 3 games having won by a combined 134-14 sounds pretty dominant (consider the only 2 TDs that were scored were in the 4th quarter junk time and the clock was running..... Man for man De Smet appears to have an edge here however, the CBC QB is the best QB on the field.......... De Smet has been putting up big offensive numbers, as has CBC. Cadets are avr 55 ppg while allowing 27 to teams that aren't nearly as gifted as De Smet.........

My first instinct was to play the Under 70 when I first saw the number, however, this one has the look and feel of a good Ole fashion shoot out with the first team to 50 wins. I'm also going to try 2 units on De Smet, as I love a good rags to riches story and if they are going to finally best CBC, this is the year........

2 units on the Over 70

2 units on the Spartans +6'

Gl to All

Ballsy to go against CBC. Desmet is good but CBC is a dynasty. I definitely like this over.

Check out the Colquitt vs Warner Robbins game. Colquitt has top team in State on deck.

 

[hawkeye]

gl--Pine Creek is good for a smaller school

 

[Riff-Raff]

Ballsy to go against CBC. Desmet is good but CBC is a dynasty. I definitely like this over.

Check out the Colquitt vs Warner Robbins game. Colquitt has top team in State on deck.

Definitely impressed with the CBC Era.... I agree that it is usually smart to go with the programs that have been there and done that, and until someone Knocks CBC off their pedestal it is status quo, but if any team is ripe for plucking it's CBC as although teams of this ilk just reload with talent, but De Smet has more returning starters and as you well know this is their Super Bowl..... It's why I included that "hiccup" back in 2012 as a reference as it sounds like it was the last time De Smet had the talent to compete. This one could be in a similar vein and the fact that CBC isnt putting out a great product on D may cost them here.

A part of my research is spending time in various State HSF forums as I find that parents and alum obviously know their athletes best, and while CBC has some support, I'm hearing that De Smet is the real deal this year. Should be a good one.... Back to capping FCS..

OH yeah, I think 70 is about 10 points shy of where this could end up, the wildcard is De Smet Defense, but CBC will get theirs. Gl

 

[Musca]

Riff- You know I defer to you when it comes to the kids. WE hit that Pine Creek pretty hard though. It closed at 7. The 7 was covered until that score in the final minute. VC is a moose of a team and they just wear you down. PC had chances in the 1st half to push the score out even further but missed a FG and an inopportune penalty. C'est la vie. Nice call on side and total.


CBC is a moose of a program and have spanked DeSmet 10 straight or some shit... I really expect it to be high scoring but I feel like the DeSmet margin for error is tighter than CBC's.

Colquitt vs Warner Robbins- That thing is going to be awesome. WR has a ton of kids returning and the kid QB (Sop) has looked phenomenol. Collquitt has the insane loss last week to Valdosta now get WR with Grayson the top team in the state on deck. SHould be a doozy. Sorry for the challenging read there.

FCS stuff-
Dayton vs Duquesne Under 58.5- This line has already dropped down to 57.5. Weather may be a factor but more I expect Duquesne has no desire to get into a shootout here. They would rather play a nice methodical ground game.

Long Island +4; This d2 moving up is not afraid. They went out to SDSU and played a hell of a defensive game holding SDSU to only 324 yards. This one is going to be tight.

Wofford -17; They get right vs a shitty Big South Team.

Campbell -6.5; Davidson comes back to earth this week. The Big South Camels will slow this Davidson rush game. They will win by DD>

ETSU +4.5; Kids rebound vs a weaker OVC team. Look for a physical matchup.

Not in love with anything but these are the ones I like more.

 

[lowell]

Thanks for the Pine Creek winner.
Just saw the line is now 7.5 in todays Christian Brothers game

 

[Riff-Raff]

Apologies for running late and still looking at a couple of things..... Unfortunately no write ups as sometimes life gets in the way.

Played:

2 units on Under 46 Opelika/Central

2 units on the Over 51 Colquitt Co/Warner Robins.

 

[Riff-Raff]

Riff- You know I defer to you when it comes to the kids. WE hit that Pine Creek pretty hard though. It closed at 7. The 7 was covered until that score in the final minute. VC is a moose of a team and they just wear you down. PC had chances in the 1st half to push the score out even further but missed a FG and an inopportune penalty. C'est la vie. Nice call on side and total.


CBC is a moose of a program and have spanked DeSmet 10 straight or some shit... I really expect it to be high scoring but I feel like the DeSmet margin for error is tighter than CBC's.

Colquitt vs Warner Robbins- That thing is going to be awesome. WR has a ton of kids returning and the kid QB (Sop) has looked phenomenol. Collquitt has the insane loss last week to Valdosta now get WR with Grayson the top team in the state on deck. SHould be a doozy. Sorry for the challenging read there.

FCS stuff-
Dayton vs Duquesne Under 58.5- This line has already dropped down to 57.5. Weather may be a factor but more I expect Duquesne has no desire to get into a shootout here. They would rather play a nice methodical ground game.

Long Island +4; This d2 moving up is not afraid. They went out to SDSU and played a hell of a defensive game holding SDSU to only 324 yards. This one is going to be tight.

Wofford -17; They get right vs a shitty Big South Team.

Campbell -6.5; Davidson comes back to earth this week. The Big South Camels will slow this Davidson rush game. They will win by DD>

ETSU +4.5; Kids rebound vs a weaker OVC team. Look for a physical matchup.

Not in love with anything but these are the ones I like more.

No problem my friend, just glad your back on the forum...

**I really like the Over in the Colquitt/WR game...... Of course Demons will have to adjust to not having one of the Fromm (I think the last one was Dylan) boys passing, but the kid who replaced Dylan is pretty good too.... Jalen Addle has 40 passes for 613 yards w/8 TDs to 3 INT but he's a great dual threat QB that has already rushed for 141 yards & 1 TD on 30 carries......Devils have 8 Off Starters returned and the kid your talking about WR Marcayll Jones had over 2,000 yards receiving ly and already has caught 14 passes (he's going to Memphis)...

The other reason why I love the Over is that Colquitt lost 4 Starters on Defense last week to that game against Valdosta...... Starting LBs and S are out so expect Jones to run wild in the secondary..... *I'm positive that the line hasn't been adjusted to the injuries as most HSF lines don't reflect these kind of things......

I would recommend taking the points too but we have to be realistic and Colquitt manhandled them last year (41-14) however Colquitt lost 36 Seniors from last years State Final run and only return 2 Def Starters and 3 Off Starters. You will see a ton of RB Daijun Edward's tonight as he is due to break the all time rushing record and TDs for the Packers.

My only concern in backing Warner Robins is that the 3-0 record might be a tad misleading because the 3 teams they beat have a combined record of 1-11...yikes.

Gl

 

[Riff-Raff]

Adding:

Knoxville Catholic +21' over Callie

*I could be off base and Tennessee HSF isn't really my forte but that's a lot of points to be giving the #6 Team in the State. While I love the Mascot of Callie (Blue Tornado) and think they probably win this game, from what I can gather, expectations are this one could very well be a great game. Blue Tornado has a great QB, but Knoxville Fighting Irish have some kids that can play to with a few FBS Scholarships on the roster. Callie is the #1 ranked team in Tennessee, and has pretty much rolled over opponents holding to avr less than 10 points a game...... Knoxville won State in 2017 and did suffer a loss 2 weeks ago to a very good Ensworth (33-28)........think this one will be much closer than a 3 TD spread.

 

[Musca]

No problem my friend, just glad your back on the forum...

**I really like the Over in the Colquitt/WR game...... Of course Demons will have to adjust to not having one of the Fromm (I think the last one was Dylan) boys passing, but the kid who replaced Dylan is pretty good too.... Jalen Addle has 40 passes for 613 yards w/8 TDs to 3 INT but he's a great dual threat QB that has already rushed for 141 yards & 1 TD on 30 carries......Devils have 8 Off Starters returned and the kid your talking about WR Marcayll Jones had over 2,000 yards receiving ly and already has caught 14 passes (he's going to Memphis)...

The other reason why I love the Over is that Colquitt lost 4 Starters on Defense last week to that game against Valdosta...... Starting LBs and S are out so expect Jones to run wild in the secondary..... *I'm positive that the line hasn't been adjusted to the injuries as most HSF lines don't reflect these kind of things......

I would recommend taking the points too but we have to be realistic and Colquitt manhandled them last year (41-14) however Colquitt lost 36 Seniors from last years State Final run and only return 2 Def Starters and 3 Off Starters. You will see a ton of RB Daijun Edward's tonight as he is due to break the all time rushing record and TDs for the Packers.

My only concern in backing Warner Robins is that the 3-0 record might be a tad misleading because the 3 teams they beat have a combined record of 1-11...yikes.

Gl

Colquitt did manhandle them last year and they sacked the Fromm kid 8 times. Colquitt is a walking mash unit and with a HUGE game on deck vs #1 team in Georgia this is interesting game. We played WR as we are the ones that moved the line from 19.5 down to 16.5. I like the over just concerned Colquitt goes conservative. I played the over also though.

You will see we also moved that DeSmet total

I think McCallie spanks Knoxville Catholic also.

 

[Musca]

The best game of the night may be that last one though... Pinnacle vs Eastside Catholic. That EC team has some amazing athleticism on the defensive side of the ball. This game is just a step below watching college kids. Top talent on both teams and EC probably has 10 high major d1 scholarship kids including 2 kids who are top 10 in the 2021 class on the defensive side. Pinnacle is no joke.... I would love to have seen a total in the 60 range as I think 65 is probably just about right.

GImme the local kids Eastside Catholic -3

 

[Riff-Raff]

FBS:

FryDay:

Air Force +8.5.........10 u

Air Force/Boise Over 53.....8 u

 

[Riff-Raff]

The best game of the night may be that last one though... Pinnacle vs Eastside Catholic. That EC team has some amazing athleticism on the defensive side of the ball. This game is just a step below watching college kids. Top talent on both teams and EC probably has 10 high major d1 scholarship kids including 2 kids who are top 10 in the 2021 class on the defensive side. Pinnacle is no joke.... I would love to have seen a total in the 60 range as I think 65 is probably just about right.

GImme the local kids Eastside Catholic -3

I looked pretty closely at that game..........Nice to see Eastside getting smart and scheduling out of state opponents. However, I can't really draw any conclusions from their 47-20 win over Grant. Been many moons since Grant was good, and it's considered a inner city school in Sac, all of its talent has been moving to greener pasture like Folsom or even DeLaSalle.

Eastside needs more profile games like this one, and scheduling Pinnacle is a great move. Both teams have major D1 talent, and that OL from Pinnacle Tosh Baker is 6'8" 275 lbs (he actually lost weight but now has even better footwork (going to Notre Dame)..... Pinnacle QB JD Johnson is 6'4" 215 lbs (going to Michigan) and their top RB (didn't play last year as a Jr because of injury) is a 4 Star RB that was headed to UCLA (until last seasons injury).

Eastside Catholic returns their Starting QB, RB, WR, and OL..... They are on a 15 game win streak and have been the best Wash team for quite a few years... In fact, it was a few years ago that nobody would play them because they had all the talent (accused of recruiting)*??No way, a Catholic Private School recruits?.... Anyway, teams in their league just forfeited every game which gave Eastside the defacto State Championship by only suiting up for like 4-5 games...... Must have been fun to practice all those weeks and have noone to play lol.....

I have no clue here, Pinnacle could win this game but going to Washington is a tall order. Out of state teams that travel into Wash are usually walking out with a big L...... Just ask DeLaSalle about that. I'm not getting hooked into this one,...... Gl to you, gotta go back to work for Tom.

 

[Musca]

Do bit jbiw giw ti di natg

 

[Riff-Raff]

Do bit jbiw giw ti di natg

:s2::s4:

 

[Riff-Raff]

Would have been nice to have known that Warner Robins starting QB wasn't playing....... Opelika had a stellar D... Bet was over in the 4th quarter... :mj15:

 

[Riff-Raff]

FBS Plays For Sat...

10 Unit Specials

Wisconsin -3

Boston C/Rutgers Under 57'

No Carolina -2'

Illinois/Nebraska Over 62

TCU -8'

9 Unit Plays

Florida St/Louisville Over 61

CMU +30

Alabama/So Miss Over 61'

Texas A&M -4

Kentucky +6


8 Unit

So Carolina +9'

Notre Dame +14

ULM +18

Texas/Oklahoma St Over 72'

Miami (OH) /Ohio St Over 56.5

MSU/Northwestern Over 36.5

Gl to All

 

[Riff-Raff]

FCS:

10 Unit

Maine/Colgate Over 46....*I ate crow in Week 1 thinking Colgate would continue their Defensive dominance but that theory was tossed early and for some reason the book is still hanging numbers that reflect last year's team. Colgate isn't playing a good brand of D and Maine should exploit. Think this is safe.

Mercer +10 & Over 68.......*Yes, I know how good Furman is but Mercer is no slouch and I like this QB Riddle who leads the SOCon with 11 TD passes. Bears should be 3-0 but the Riddler threw 2 pick 6 to Austin Peay, so that was that. Furman has 2 losses to FBS teams but I haven't been terribly impressed with VTech and that 4 point loss to Georgia St is kinda a head scratcher. 68 points is a lot but these are the best Offenses in the SOCon and 2 of the better ones in the FCS (Bears avr 42.7 ppg and Paladins 35)...Mercer is running an evolved pistol/spread Off and Furmans QB Grainger is a dual threat with already 613 pass yards/97 rush (4th in total Off)... History between these two last couple of years has been close and I think this easily surpasses the number.

JMU/Chattanooga Over 42 *Love this Over as JMU could do this by themselves. JMU is outgaining opponents 456-269 total yards pg. Dukes QB DiNucci has passed for 617 yards w/6 TDs... Mocs have started rough which reflects the low number but they have a very dangerous QB to WR combo that is going to have a good day soon (hopefully tomorrow).

Duquesne/Dayton Under 58'......*Musca likes it and so do I... My number is 10 light and this seems generous.

Long Island/Sacred Heart Under 51' *Musca is on Long Island and I will be following his play but my stronger bet is the Under here as Long Island has a great run D and only allowed 12.9 ppg ly with most of the Defense top tacklers returning. Pioneers finished tied for 1st in the NEC and allowed 22.1 ppg... SH replaces starting QB but returns 10 Defensive Starters. Long Islands first year in the FCS will be interesting but Sharks Off replaces QB, RB and Top 3 WR so this should stay Under.

Wofford/Gardner-Webb Under 47.....*Not sure where Wofford Offense has been only avr 13.5 ppg and 292 Total yards pg... Gardner-Webb numbers are a little off as their 2 losses were to 2 FBS teams. G-W has a great run game behind RB Jaylin Cagle and I expect them to run a bunch in this one. Wofford hasn't had any deep threats but Terriers play good D.

Norfolk St +27'...*This is simply way too many points and Norfolk could very well win this, They return 9 Off Starters and QB Juwan Carter is a 3rd year starter (passed for 2,302 yards ly w/13 TDs but had 13 INT) hopefully his mechanics have improved. 4 of 5 OL return as does 2 of 3 top RBs...... Wrs are a work in progress but I like this offense to stay close.

So Dakota -4...... *Coyotes have had a rough start but this game can get them going in the right direction and I have no confidence in No Colorado..... Coyotes QB Austin Simmons passed for 3,124 yards last year and rushed for another 332. Has 9 of his top pass catchers back and new D Coordinator was brought in to fix a 34.2 ppg leak. Not sure that's been fixed yet after surrendering 54 points last week to Houston Baptist, but the Offense works as they put up 53.....I have no clue why No Colorado has kept this HC there (34-74 overall) (26-62 league) but the 9th year Coach is still putting out a defective product and although QB Jacob Knipp has Pro Scouts excited as the #1 ranked QB to go pro the knock has always been his durability and last week guess what happened at Sac St? He got hurt again so who knows what this weeks offense will look like but if Sac St can beat you by 50 then I expect So Dakota to cover the easy number.


DA Rest....

Lafayette/Albany Over 58.....7 u

UC Davis/No Dakota Over 59.....7 u

UC Davis +25'........5 u

Kennesaw St/Missouri St Over 54......5 u

Tennessee Tech +17'.....6 u

Colombia -5..........8 u *Lions were 6-4 last season with 25 injuries... HC Bagnoli is the active winningest Coach at all levels Lions have 9 players returning that garnered All-Conf Honors last year (**Before you laugh and say well it's the IVY.... I think IVY could be one of the most competitive FCS Conf this year, and there's talent everywhere. Lions return 16 Starters so expect them to end up even better than their 8-2 finish in 2017.

Dartmouth/Jacksonville Under 55'...6 u.. *Always a little tricky to predict exactly how Ivy teams will look in their first game but Dartmouth D was ranked 2nd in the FCS last year only allowing 12 ppg and Big Green return most of their starters on D. Dolphins don't play great D however this is the first game for Dartmouth so I expect the Offense to be groggy after a lot of skill players from 2018 are gone.


Monmouth +23'...& Monmouth /Montana Over 63... 5 u *Monmouth isn't used to playing in front of 24,000+ and that could spell disaster, however, Hawks have won last 8 of 10 and have a career 6,000 yard passer and a scary two headed monster at RB.... They finished as the #2 team in the Big South (behind Kennesaw) and Montana has UC Davis up next so possible look ahead but at any rate, I think this over is about 8 light and Hawks have the athletes to stay in range.

Alabama A&M/Samford Over 74...5 u *Don't fear the big number... There won't be much Defense on display.

Austin Peay/ETSU Over 52'.....6 u

Citadel -17........6 u

Yale -12........7 u *Injury bug kept Yale from full potential last year but returns nearly every position and is the unaminous pick to win the IVY

Arkansas Pine-Bluff/Tennessee St Over 72'......5 u *Another game not going to see much D

See how these go... Gl