Wed Wonders - stats & plays

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Seattle at TEXAS

SEA is 20-5 when ABBOTT starts, and are tremendous on the road vs RH starters. To make matters worse, they are 11-4 vs TEX. MEALS as HP UMP doesn't help, as HOME DOGS are 3-9 with him, and his O/U stands at 9-20, with games at 10 or more 1-6. I'm taking the better team and UNDER here, and am hoping the mid-day sun makes it harder to hit today.

SEA -160 & Under 11
 

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My UNDER is done, but hopefully SEA hangs on to win. If anyone is confused by my TWO different posts, this thread is my normal analysis and capping, and NEW DOGS is a system I've been following since JULY, but I do not wager on them. THIS is what I bet for the most part...
 

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Atlanta at FLORIDA

This game looks like a pass... Florida let one get away yesterday, and I don't know how that's gonna effect them today. The UNDER looks tempting, but going UNDER 8 with BURNETT pitching, who's capable of walking in runs, or throwing a no hitter, is scary. I'm gonna pass on this one completely, but would lean to FLA and UNDER.

NY Mets at MONTREAL

ARMAS is now going for MONTREAL, and he pitches tough vs the METS. Rusch has enjoyed success vs MONT too, but not nearly as effective. MONT hits lefties well in general, and after being shut out last nite, I look for them to rebound tonite. Gonna take the HOME DOG here and UNDER and look for another stellar performance from ARMAS and an EXPOS 3-1 win.

MONT +110 & UNDER 8.5

Cincy at PHILA

Passing this game... PHIL should win, and that's the way I'd go if I played it, but with their offense struggling, not sure I can back em at this price... HP UMP LAYNE favors ht 18-11, PHIL 12-9 in Game 2 after a L, while CIN is 10-15 after a W.

Chicago at PITT

I see a lot of cappers on PITT, and my DOG system has them too. That's the only way to play this game in my opinion, but I'm passing on it. Strong trends to the OVER but the UMP tends to run UNDER. Pass for me...
 

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Tough break for NYY bettors... PETTITE leaving in the first inning. I was gonna play the UNDER, may not matter, but I'd rather NOT be on it about now...

St. Louis at HOUSTON

STL definitely looks to be the side here... huge pitching advantage, and lineups are similar, although HOU may have best of it hitting wise. I think KILE makes a big enough pitching diff to offset though. STL should get plenty off of VILLONE.

STL -120

Det at KANSAS CITY

DET is on a four game win streak and have a lefty facing KC.... hmmmm CRAWFORD behind the plate, and when he's back there, HT goes 8-16 although small home favs are 3-1, he definitely is NOT a homey ump. BIGGEST play here is UNDER, as many strong trends point under along with HP UMP's 7-15 O/U mark including 0-7 when line is 9.5 or 10. Give me the DOG and a DOULBE on the UNDER barkeep!

DET +115 & Under 9.5 **DOUBLE**
 

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Minnesota at CHI WS

For whatever reason, WS can't seem to beat the TWINS. Tonite we get a pitching advantage and a HP UMP that doesn't show favor to the home team, as Home Dogs +130 or less are just 3-6 with Fichter behind the plate. I see a few strong cappers backing MINNY and I can't argue.... They are playing much better lately with return of Guzman and should win here again!

Minn -116
 

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sorry... should read ARIZ -1.5 +120 & OVER 9 -115
biggrin.gif
 

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San Fran at L.A. DODGERS

Well, as everyone SHOULD know, S. Green is sitting out tonite's game due to the JEWISH holiday, so LA's biggest bat is out of the lineup. They send out old worn down Terry Mulholland, who may give them six, if he's not knocked out long before that, so the LA BP will be used for 3 or 4 innings, which bodes well for SAN FRAN. Add to that, J. SCHMIDT is going for SF, and it's looking solid for the GIANTS. SF has won six of seven starts by Schmidt, who's getting a chance to play for a team when it counts down the stretch for the first time, since leaving PITT. Add to all this, LA's been struggling til last nite to put up any runs, averaging about 2 a game prior to that, and the only thing worse that could happen is if the UMP didn't like em! Well, lets see... HP UMP Wendelstedt has favored the ROAD TEAM 20-12 so far this year, and 8 or the last 9. The only game the HOME TEAM won, was HOU -250 at home when they played PITT, 3-0. In fact, LA has lost the last FIVE games when HUNTER W. is behind the plate. SF meanwhile is 6-2 in the last 8 games with him back there. Unless LA somehow musters up some testicles, something they've lacked for sometime now, I can't see them stepping up tonite and taking care of business without GREEN. The hitting, fielding, pitching, Ump, and confidence all side with SF.... no other way to play it.

SAN FRAN -155

Anaheim at OAKLAND

Gotta pass on this one... should be a good low scoring game, but OAK went NUTS for 8 in one inning last nite to burn me, so I don't want to risk it. I gotta enough action riding, don't need a play to watch this one!
Lean to ANA +1.5 and Under.
 
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