wed
- Thread starter RAYMOND
- Start date
I show Minn and o and Phil. You might be interested what I put on AnaJ's thread about the Cle game. Good luck today.
colon era on the road at nite is 12.00
hentgen era home at nite is 6.00
angels vs rhp road at nite avg 6.3 runs per game
tor vs rhp home at nite avd 5 .1 runs per game.
skydome avg 10.1 runs per game at nite:tongue
over over 9 runs
hentgen era home at nite is 6.00
angels vs rhp road at nite avg 6.3 runs per game
tor vs rhp home at nite avd 5 .1 runs per game.
skydome avg 10.1 runs per game at nite:tongue
over over 9 runs
who hot
who hot
American
Record Money Runs Hits+ Bases Starters
Walks ERA
OAK 7-2 +430 4.0 11.4 17.7 3.00
BOS 7-2 +405 6.3 15.3 21.6 3.63
TB 5-4 +210 4.7 11.4 16.4 6.62
ANA 5-4 +150 3.7 11.8 15.8 4.20
TEX 5-4 +125 5.0 12.1 18.7 4.68
CHW 6-4 +75 7.3 15.0 21.8 4.92
DET 4-5 +60 3.3 12.0 16.0 3.25
NYY 5-4 -85 5.3 13.9 21.3 2.69
MIN 4-6 -125 4.4 12.0 17.3 6.86
BAL 3-6 -255 3.4 10.8 15.3 5.04
SEA 4-5 -255 4.6 13.0 16.8 4.18
KC 3-6 -260 3.1 9.8 15.0 4.74
TOR 3-6 -330 3.7 10.3 14.1 5.74
CLE 3-6 -390 5.0 13.1 17.8 4.34
National
Record Money Runs Hits+ Bases Starters
Walks ERA
CIN 9-1 +1020 5.4 12.2 17.4 2.80
NYM 6-3 +265 4.3 11.9 18.2 3.84
SF 5-3 +250 3.9 11.8 15.6 2.79
PIT 4-3 +185 4.7 12.4 19.7 3.73
CHC 5-4 +125 3.9 10.2 16.3 4.15
PHI 6-4 +50 6.6 15.0 22.2 4.56
MIL 4-4 -5 3.4 12.0 15.5 3.84
FLA 5-5 -25 4.8 11.8 16.5 5.12
ATL 5-5 -85 3.8 10.4 17.0 3.23
STL 4-4 -85 4.1 10.8 15.4 3.66
MON 4-5 -115 3.2 11.7 15.6 2.89
SD 4-5 -200 6.1 14.3 19.2 6.70
COL 3-7 -300 4.8 12.4 19.9 7.77
ARI 3-7 -470 2.7 9.9 15.3 7.00
HOU 4-6 -580 5.1 13.9 19.2 4.23
LA 2-7 -595 3.0 12.7 17.4 5.21
who hot
American
Record Money Runs Hits+ Bases Starters
Walks ERA
OAK 7-2 +430 4.0 11.4 17.7 3.00
BOS 7-2 +405 6.3 15.3 21.6 3.63
TB 5-4 +210 4.7 11.4 16.4 6.62
ANA 5-4 +150 3.7 11.8 15.8 4.20
TEX 5-4 +125 5.0 12.1 18.7 4.68
CHW 6-4 +75 7.3 15.0 21.8 4.92
DET 4-5 +60 3.3 12.0 16.0 3.25
NYY 5-4 -85 5.3 13.9 21.3 2.69
MIN 4-6 -125 4.4 12.0 17.3 6.86
BAL 3-6 -255 3.4 10.8 15.3 5.04
SEA 4-5 -255 4.6 13.0 16.8 4.18
KC 3-6 -260 3.1 9.8 15.0 4.74
TOR 3-6 -330 3.7 10.3 14.1 5.74
CLE 3-6 -390 5.0 13.1 17.8 4.34
National
Record Money Runs Hits+ Bases Starters
Walks ERA
CIN 9-1 +1020 5.4 12.2 17.4 2.80
NYM 6-3 +265 4.3 11.9 18.2 3.84
SF 5-3 +250 3.9 11.8 15.6 2.79
PIT 4-3 +185 4.7 12.4 19.7 3.73
CHC 5-4 +125 3.9 10.2 16.3 4.15
PHI 6-4 +50 6.6 15.0 22.2 4.56
MIL 4-4 -5 3.4 12.0 15.5 3.84
FLA 5-5 -25 4.8 11.8 16.5 5.12
ATL 5-5 -85 3.8 10.4 17.0 3.23
STL 4-4 -85 4.1 10.8 15.4 3.66
MON 4-5 -115 3.2 11.7 15.6 2.89
SD 4-5 -200 6.1 14.3 19.2 6.70
COL 3-7 -300 4.8 12.4 19.9 7.77
ARI 3-7 -470 2.7 9.9 15.3 7.00
HOU 4-6 -580 5.1 13.9 19.2 4.23
LA 2-7 -595 3.0 12.7 17.4 5.21
SERIES INFO A GUIDE ONLY
SERIES INFO A GUIDE ONLY
BEGINNING THURSDAY MAY 27
Atlanta at Philadelphia (4) 27th, 28th, 29th, 30th
After ruling the NL East for more than a decade, it?s safe to say the Braves? run is over. They?ve stumbled to a 20-22 beginning (-$170), their once dominant pitching is now unimpressive (4.02 ERA), and they come into Citizen?s Bank Park struggling offensively (4.0 runs per game last 10 days). The Phillies have moved into a dead heat with the Marlins atop the division, thanks in large part to one of baseball?s most effective mound corps (3.62 team ERA, 2nd best in the NL). Given Atlanta?s ineffectiveness against southpaws (only 3.5 RPG) we?ll go with Eric Milton (+$420) and Randy Wolf (3.16 ERA), both of whom are slated to see action. BEST BET: Milton/Wolf.
BEGINNING FRIDAY MAY 28
Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh (3) 28th, 29th, 30th
The Cubs have done a number on the last place Bucs in earlier meetings (4-1, +$180), but the Pirates have been looking sharp in recent days (6-4, +$320 last 10 days with 5.3 RPG) so there may be some promising opportunities available. The Cubs have been successful against lefthanders, but they haven?t generated many runs in those games (only 3.8 per game) and they?ll have their hands full when Oliver Perez is on the hill (+$335, 2.96 ERA). The Cubs are one of those teams that tends to be overpriced, so we?ll get excellent value on the home team. BEST BET: Ol. Perez.
Cincinnati at Montreal (3) 28th, 29th, 30th
The Reds have gotten hot again (8-2, +$850 last 10 days) while the Expos remain mired deep in the NL East basement (14-29, -$1235). The big problem for Montreal is an anemic offense, with a major league worst .227 team BA, averaging only 2.7 RPG. Cincinnati has amassed the biggest profits in baseball as Memorial Day approaches (+$1445 overall), but they still aren?t getting respect from the betting public. We?ll take them at what figures to be favorable prices and look to take at least 2 out of 3. BEST BET: Reds in all games.
N.Y. Mets at Florida (3) 28th, 29th, 30th
The Mets have been opening some eyes lately (7-3, +$755 last 10 days), battling back from another woeful start to a .500 record. But they are in the midst of a 12 game run against top contenders Philadelphia and Florida, leading up to some brutal inter-league matchups, so we?ll learn a lot about them over that stretch. The Marlins match up fairly evenly with New York (.3.97 ERA and 191 total runs vs. 3.97 ERA and 190 total runs for the Mets), so we?ll wait until game day and check the individual matchups. BEST BET: None.
San Diego at Milwaukee (3) 28th, 29th, 30th
A pair of last place teams from 2003 off to solid starts, though it?s unlikely Milwaukee will figure in the post season chase. The Padres on the other hand could be the team to beat in the NL West (24-20, +$145 so far), thanks to one of the better pitching staff?s in baseball (3.90 ERA, 4th best in the league). We?re going to be careful taking on the Brewers at Miller Park, but San Diego has a 4-1 road record vs. lefties (+$335 with 6.6 RPG) and we?ll get at least one shot (vs. Doug Davis) to use that angle. BEST BET: Padres vs. lefthanders.
St. Louis at Houston (3) 28th, 29th, 30th
The Cards have been playing well on the road (13-8, +$450) and the Astros have been struggling as of late (3-7, -$925 last 10 days) so this could be an ideal setting to jump on the visiting dog. We?ve said all year that Houston is wildly overpriced, and that is becoming painfully apparent, especially at home where a 12-11 record has translated into some big money losses (-$860). Avoid Woody Williams (-$575, 5.27 ERA), but the rest of St. Louis?s starters look good. BEST BET: Cardinals in all games except with Woody Williams.
Arizona at Los Angeles (3) 28th, 29th, 30th
The Dodgers got off to a terrific start but have faded badly in recent days (1-9, -$945 last 10) as the lack of run production that plagued them in 2003 has returned to haunt them again (2.6 RPG last 10). But we?re certainly not interested in using an inept Arizona team that is playing poorly (3-7, -$595 last 10 with 2.8 RPG and a 6.21 ERA among starters). If the Dodgers play well in Milwaukee we?ll consider using them in some spots, but right now we?re unwilling to commit to either side. BEST BET: None.
Colorado at San Francisco (3) 28th, 29th, 30th
The Giants have had a tough time in 2004 after winning 100 games last year, and their numbers against righthanders at home are appalling (3-13, -$1365). But the Rockies check in with an atrocious 6-15 road record (-$475), victims once again of the worst pitching staff in baseball (6.29 team ERA). Even considering the high altitude at Coors Field those numbers are terrible, so take a shot anytime the Giants send a righthander against a Colorado lefty (SF 6-1, +$490 vs. southpaws at Pac Bell, Rockies 10-22, -$895 vs. righties). Pass any other combination. BEST BET: Giant righthanders vs. lefthanders.
Texas at Toronto (3) 28th, 29th, 30th
The Blue Jays opened the season with seven straight losses in the Sky Dome, but have rebounded somewhat by winning eight of fourteen. The vastly improved Rangers (25-18, +$985) are a much better team on the road this year than they were a year ago (9-9, +$180) and have been particularly effective vs. righties (19-10 +$1115). The Blue Jays are averaging one RPG fewer against southpaws so take a strong look at Kenny Rogers (6-2, 3.38 ERA) who is 12-7 lifetime vs. Toronto with a 3.44 ERA. Take the hotter team at reasonable prices. BEST BET: Rogers./Rangers vs. righthanders.
Seattle at Boston (3) 28th, 29th, 30th
The Red Sox took five of seven (+$300) from the Mariners last year when Seattle was a stronger team. Boston is pounding right handed pitching (9-3, +$440) in Fenway Park in similar fashion as a year ago (42-17, +$1405) and the Mariners starting unit is 80% righthanded. Plus, the weak-hitting Mariners (second fewest home runs in MLB) have been totally ineffective (3-12, -$1075) on the road against righties. BEST BET: Red Sox when righty meets righty.
Oakland at Cleveland (3) 28th, 29th, 30th
The Athletics took six of nine from the Indians but, as heavy favorites, were only $20 in the black. That?s what happens when you can call on Barry Zito, Tim Hudson and Mark Mulder three of every five days and, after a slow start, they seem to be back on their collective games (Oakland is 8-0 in their last six starts). Zito has been solid lately (+$300 last three starts), so let?s go with him as our top play, as the Tribe is just 3-11 (-$835) against southpaws. BEST BET: Zito. PREFERRED: Lefthanders vs. the Indians.
Baltimore at Detroit (3) 28th, 29th, 30th
Both teams are hitting around .280 and have ERAs in the lower echelon of the AL. However, there have been some notable exceptions. The Tigers? Mike Maroth has a 2.55 ERA at home where he has yet to lose (+$410), has pitched well against the Orioles (1-1 with a 2.74 ERA in 23 innings) and has a 3.38 ERA and a 9.5 H/W ratio in his last two starts. The Orioles? Sydney Ponson is finally rounding into form (three earned runs in 17 innings in consecutive starts vs. Anaheim). BEST BET: Maroth. PREFERRED: Ponson.
N.Y. Yankees at Tampa Bay (3) 28th, 29th, 30th
These teams have played three series already in the first two months of the season. After a fast start (won five of their first nine games), things are back to normal in Tampa Bay (lost 24 of 35, -$880 overall) Shades of the ?03 Tigers. Can?t back the Rays in a single game here, but if you like the chalk, it?s going to cost you a fortune unless Jose Contreras has the ball. BEST BET: None.
Anaheim at Chicago White Sox (3) 28th, 29th, 30th
The White Sox have been playing solid baseball at home (13-8, +$250) but Anaheim is 14-8 on the road (+$670) averaging 6.4 RPG and is coming off a three-game sweep of previously hot Baltimore. Two of the Angels? starters, John Lackey and Kelvim Escobar look like definite plays against. Lackey has allowed 9 earned runs, 15 hits and 7 walks in 11.2 innings over his last two starts and Escobar is 1-8 with a 7.55 ERA lifetime vs. the Sox allowing 84 hits/walks in 47.1 innings. PREFERRED: White Sox vs. Lackey & Escobar.
Minnesota at Kansas City (3) 28th, 29th, 30th
The Twins have won five of six (+$415) from the slumping Royals, a reversal of last season?s form when KC took 11 of 19 (+$535). Kansas City?s pitching staff (5.10 ERA) continues to be a joke (5.58 ERA last 10 days) and five of the six Royals who have started a game has an ERA of at least 5.15. KC is 3-8 (-$550) at home vs. righties while the Twins are 7-3 (+$620) against them on the road, so there isn?t much doubt about which direction we?re headed in this series. BEST BET: Twins when righty meets righty
SERIES INFO A GUIDE ONLY
BEGINNING THURSDAY MAY 27
Atlanta at Philadelphia (4) 27th, 28th, 29th, 30th
After ruling the NL East for more than a decade, it?s safe to say the Braves? run is over. They?ve stumbled to a 20-22 beginning (-$170), their once dominant pitching is now unimpressive (4.02 ERA), and they come into Citizen?s Bank Park struggling offensively (4.0 runs per game last 10 days). The Phillies have moved into a dead heat with the Marlins atop the division, thanks in large part to one of baseball?s most effective mound corps (3.62 team ERA, 2nd best in the NL). Given Atlanta?s ineffectiveness against southpaws (only 3.5 RPG) we?ll go with Eric Milton (+$420) and Randy Wolf (3.16 ERA), both of whom are slated to see action. BEST BET: Milton/Wolf.
BEGINNING FRIDAY MAY 28
Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh (3) 28th, 29th, 30th
The Cubs have done a number on the last place Bucs in earlier meetings (4-1, +$180), but the Pirates have been looking sharp in recent days (6-4, +$320 last 10 days with 5.3 RPG) so there may be some promising opportunities available. The Cubs have been successful against lefthanders, but they haven?t generated many runs in those games (only 3.8 per game) and they?ll have their hands full when Oliver Perez is on the hill (+$335, 2.96 ERA). The Cubs are one of those teams that tends to be overpriced, so we?ll get excellent value on the home team. BEST BET: Ol. Perez.
Cincinnati at Montreal (3) 28th, 29th, 30th
The Reds have gotten hot again (8-2, +$850 last 10 days) while the Expos remain mired deep in the NL East basement (14-29, -$1235). The big problem for Montreal is an anemic offense, with a major league worst .227 team BA, averaging only 2.7 RPG. Cincinnati has amassed the biggest profits in baseball as Memorial Day approaches (+$1445 overall), but they still aren?t getting respect from the betting public. We?ll take them at what figures to be favorable prices and look to take at least 2 out of 3. BEST BET: Reds in all games.
N.Y. Mets at Florida (3) 28th, 29th, 30th
The Mets have been opening some eyes lately (7-3, +$755 last 10 days), battling back from another woeful start to a .500 record. But they are in the midst of a 12 game run against top contenders Philadelphia and Florida, leading up to some brutal inter-league matchups, so we?ll learn a lot about them over that stretch. The Marlins match up fairly evenly with New York (.3.97 ERA and 191 total runs vs. 3.97 ERA and 190 total runs for the Mets), so we?ll wait until game day and check the individual matchups. BEST BET: None.
San Diego at Milwaukee (3) 28th, 29th, 30th
A pair of last place teams from 2003 off to solid starts, though it?s unlikely Milwaukee will figure in the post season chase. The Padres on the other hand could be the team to beat in the NL West (24-20, +$145 so far), thanks to one of the better pitching staff?s in baseball (3.90 ERA, 4th best in the league). We?re going to be careful taking on the Brewers at Miller Park, but San Diego has a 4-1 road record vs. lefties (+$335 with 6.6 RPG) and we?ll get at least one shot (vs. Doug Davis) to use that angle. BEST BET: Padres vs. lefthanders.
St. Louis at Houston (3) 28th, 29th, 30th
The Cards have been playing well on the road (13-8, +$450) and the Astros have been struggling as of late (3-7, -$925 last 10 days) so this could be an ideal setting to jump on the visiting dog. We?ve said all year that Houston is wildly overpriced, and that is becoming painfully apparent, especially at home where a 12-11 record has translated into some big money losses (-$860). Avoid Woody Williams (-$575, 5.27 ERA), but the rest of St. Louis?s starters look good. BEST BET: Cardinals in all games except with Woody Williams.
Arizona at Los Angeles (3) 28th, 29th, 30th
The Dodgers got off to a terrific start but have faded badly in recent days (1-9, -$945 last 10) as the lack of run production that plagued them in 2003 has returned to haunt them again (2.6 RPG last 10). But we?re certainly not interested in using an inept Arizona team that is playing poorly (3-7, -$595 last 10 with 2.8 RPG and a 6.21 ERA among starters). If the Dodgers play well in Milwaukee we?ll consider using them in some spots, but right now we?re unwilling to commit to either side. BEST BET: None.
Colorado at San Francisco (3) 28th, 29th, 30th
The Giants have had a tough time in 2004 after winning 100 games last year, and their numbers against righthanders at home are appalling (3-13, -$1365). But the Rockies check in with an atrocious 6-15 road record (-$475), victims once again of the worst pitching staff in baseball (6.29 team ERA). Even considering the high altitude at Coors Field those numbers are terrible, so take a shot anytime the Giants send a righthander against a Colorado lefty (SF 6-1, +$490 vs. southpaws at Pac Bell, Rockies 10-22, -$895 vs. righties). Pass any other combination. BEST BET: Giant righthanders vs. lefthanders.
Texas at Toronto (3) 28th, 29th, 30th
The Blue Jays opened the season with seven straight losses in the Sky Dome, but have rebounded somewhat by winning eight of fourteen. The vastly improved Rangers (25-18, +$985) are a much better team on the road this year than they were a year ago (9-9, +$180) and have been particularly effective vs. righties (19-10 +$1115). The Blue Jays are averaging one RPG fewer against southpaws so take a strong look at Kenny Rogers (6-2, 3.38 ERA) who is 12-7 lifetime vs. Toronto with a 3.44 ERA. Take the hotter team at reasonable prices. BEST BET: Rogers./Rangers vs. righthanders.
Seattle at Boston (3) 28th, 29th, 30th
The Red Sox took five of seven (+$300) from the Mariners last year when Seattle was a stronger team. Boston is pounding right handed pitching (9-3, +$440) in Fenway Park in similar fashion as a year ago (42-17, +$1405) and the Mariners starting unit is 80% righthanded. Plus, the weak-hitting Mariners (second fewest home runs in MLB) have been totally ineffective (3-12, -$1075) on the road against righties. BEST BET: Red Sox when righty meets righty.
Oakland at Cleveland (3) 28th, 29th, 30th
The Athletics took six of nine from the Indians but, as heavy favorites, were only $20 in the black. That?s what happens when you can call on Barry Zito, Tim Hudson and Mark Mulder three of every five days and, after a slow start, they seem to be back on their collective games (Oakland is 8-0 in their last six starts). Zito has been solid lately (+$300 last three starts), so let?s go with him as our top play, as the Tribe is just 3-11 (-$835) against southpaws. BEST BET: Zito. PREFERRED: Lefthanders vs. the Indians.
Baltimore at Detroit (3) 28th, 29th, 30th
Both teams are hitting around .280 and have ERAs in the lower echelon of the AL. However, there have been some notable exceptions. The Tigers? Mike Maroth has a 2.55 ERA at home where he has yet to lose (+$410), has pitched well against the Orioles (1-1 with a 2.74 ERA in 23 innings) and has a 3.38 ERA and a 9.5 H/W ratio in his last two starts. The Orioles? Sydney Ponson is finally rounding into form (three earned runs in 17 innings in consecutive starts vs. Anaheim). BEST BET: Maroth. PREFERRED: Ponson.
N.Y. Yankees at Tampa Bay (3) 28th, 29th, 30th
These teams have played three series already in the first two months of the season. After a fast start (won five of their first nine games), things are back to normal in Tampa Bay (lost 24 of 35, -$880 overall) Shades of the ?03 Tigers. Can?t back the Rays in a single game here, but if you like the chalk, it?s going to cost you a fortune unless Jose Contreras has the ball. BEST BET: None.
Anaheim at Chicago White Sox (3) 28th, 29th, 30th
The White Sox have been playing solid baseball at home (13-8, +$250) but Anaheim is 14-8 on the road (+$670) averaging 6.4 RPG and is coming off a three-game sweep of previously hot Baltimore. Two of the Angels? starters, John Lackey and Kelvim Escobar look like definite plays against. Lackey has allowed 9 earned runs, 15 hits and 7 walks in 11.2 innings over his last two starts and Escobar is 1-8 with a 7.55 ERA lifetime vs. the Sox allowing 84 hits/walks in 47.1 innings. PREFERRED: White Sox vs. Lackey & Escobar.
Minnesota at Kansas City (3) 28th, 29th, 30th
The Twins have won five of six (+$415) from the slumping Royals, a reversal of last season?s form when KC took 11 of 19 (+$535). Kansas City?s pitching staff (5.10 ERA) continues to be a joke (5.58 ERA last 10 days) and five of the six Royals who have started a game has an ERA of at least 5.15. KC is 3-8 (-$550) at home vs. righties while the Twins are 7-3 (+$620) against them on the road, so there isn?t much doubt about which direction we?re headed in this series. BEST BET: Twins when righty meets righty
