Wednesday (1 huge)

J

Jord20

Sharp
Forum Member
Jun 27, 2002
47,319
8,655
113
Chicago, IL
Going over the card right now, but I unleashed on this one already. It is going to seem like some "chase" because of my last night's loss, but this one actually comes up as a play based on many factors... I love it.

Magic -8 BIGGGGG
Magic -4.5 FH Bigg

I will play all the quarters as well. This line is high for a reason. Orlando coming off an embarrassing home loss. Phoenix collapsed against the Heat last night. I watched the game. Phoenix is simply a mediocre team. Miami literally slept walk through that game and still won. It should be a little let down tonight.

Orlando POUNDS them tonight!!

Be back later with the rest...
 
Heatspix

Heatspix

PigskinPHD.
Forum Member
Sep 6, 2011
1,867
23
0
Somewhere Southern
The thing that concerns me on this line is the matchups. Based on the way I do my key matchup projections and set my lines, I just think the line should be in the 5.5-7 range. I have it broken down to show key projected stats and minutes played. Howard has notoriously struggled against overly aggressive defenders and offensive board rats and I think the trend continues against Gortat, landing Dwight with three early fouls and sitting the bench for a lot of time during the second and third quarters.

Key Matchups and Projections:

Gortat - 17pts, 11 rebounds, 37min
Howard - 23pts, 10 rebounds, 31min

Nash - 16 pts, 11 assists, 36min
Nelson - 9 pts, 5 assists, 32min

Dudley - 21 pts, 6 rebounds, 29min
Richardson - 11pts, 3 rebounds, 26min


All in all, I love the Hill/Dudley option that the Suns have. I don't see the Magic guard play being any better than the Suns. Take Howard out the game for a bit with foul trouble and I think we've got a nail biter. If he stays clean, the Magic roll.

Magic 95
Suns 92

Of course, I've been wrong a ton lately.

Good Luck!
 
J

Jord20

Sharp
Forum Member
Jun 27, 2002
47,319
8,655
113
Chicago, IL
Good luck Heat. I appreciate the insight. :0074 Keep up the good work.

I don't really cap like that, for better or worse.

At any rate... Go MAGIC!!!!

I don't want to sweat this one
 
T

talos

Registered User
Forum Member
Mar 21, 2009
263
6
0
Pretty big disagreement here but If you check the refs in this game I hope you have not eaten recently. GL
 
P

Pigskin59

Registered User
Forum Member
Mar 1, 2012
1,913
13
0
AL
Dang jord u and inna have to call me direct when u guys get a freakin lock like this!! Great job!
 
J

Jord20

Sharp
Forum Member
Jun 27, 2002
47,319
8,655
113
Chicago, IL
OK, yeah, so that was nice.

it went pretty much exactly as I thought. I got all 3 quarters and laid off the 4th because I figured it would be a rout and Phoenix isn't really the type of team to throw it in. that late flurry cost me the 2nd half, but that was smalll potatoes compared to the BIGGGGG and bigggg i hit with game and half.

Let's keep getting after them
 
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