wednesday baseball plays inside.......

gman2

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1 unit.....detroit (+131) over kansas city
1 unit.....minnesota (+182) over new york
1 unit.....boston (-130) over toronto

(add) 1 unit....chicago/expos under 6.5 (-115)
this one shouldnt go near the total. yesterday, montreal played bad news bears style baseball and the game still only had 7 runs. les expos were uncorking wild pitches, making stupid plays in the field, and zach day was brutal. a power pitcher like prior shouldnt have much trouble in the conditions. and vasquez is normally pinpoint with his accuracy. this one goes under.

detroit.....same reasons apply to this one as posted for tuesday obviously...just feel like theres absolutely no reason for affeldt to be laying road chalk- period..tigers should break out the champagne and get victory number one

minnesota....twins bats not much to speak of right now...yanks playing well...basically, just a value play..sometimes, we as baseball cappers try spewing tons of rhetoric about how the opposing pitcher sucks or something..its like we "convince ourselves the other team isnt good and has no chance"...mussina is as good as they come...hes throwing well...yanks are playing well...just feel like theres value with the twins and thats good enough for me

boston....i like fossum at this price....hes really the only red sox pitcher i ever find myself backing...pedro and lowe are always huge chalks, so i never back em...and the rest of the boston rotation throws meatballs...fossum is normally priced fairly...and i think he can get the job done...jays went from ice cold early in the season to red hot now...but still feel sox are a little better
 
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Bombs

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Gman,

Your comment above about baseball capping in your NYY/Minn commentary is right on. While there is some nuts and bolts pencil pushing work that can be done on bases games, it is just as easy to search for dogs that have value.

Believe it or not, I have found often that less handicapping has produced better results in the post-internet/statistics everywhere age. What I look for are dog teams that can win. Starting pitchers account for approximately 30-40% of my perspective on a game. Bullpens and hitting have become so much more important in today's baseball landscape.

The most important thing is looking for value dogs. Good luck!
 

gman2

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bombs:

so true about looking for "dogs that can win".
glad a fellow dog player sees it the same way. like you said, its not just "dart throwing at random dogs"- theres obviously some work behind it- but at the same time, its all about finding good value with teams capable of winning.

gl man
 

THE KOD

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Nov 16, 2001
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I like doggies too.


Just have to learn how to find them in baseball. I stink at baseball. Stink at NBA too so I cut down on my NBA plays dramatically and I still have my bankroll so I am happy.

Good luck and go dogs !

Scott King of Dogs
 

wcb4

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if you haven't played yet...

if you haven't played yet...

Cubs U6.5 @ +100 @SIA!!:eek:

I'm on it-


Good Luck
 
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