Wednesday May 2nd

[EXTRAPOLATER]

Wednesday May 2nd 2007

April: lost 4 units; see yesterday's post for complete record, including system results
May: 4-3 +2.27
ml 4-0 +3.8
rl 0-0
totals 0-2 -1.33
parlays 0-1 -0.2
system sides went 2-0 yesterday, now 32-20 (value indicator any+10, +7at60+, +5at65+)

system sides

team win% (line)value indicator

Pitt 55% (-124)-1
Mil 68 (-134)+10 RL 55 (+164)+17
Mets 61 (-164)-2
Lad 60 (-120)+5
Atl 52 (-125)-4
cin 53 (+111)+5
Sd 59 (-172)-5
Sf 69 (-147)+9 RL 55 (+148)+14
Det 63 (-162)+1
Bost 74 (-185)+9 RL 62 (+111)+14
Clev 53 (-149)-7
min 64 (-126)+8 RL 50 (+131)+6
nyy 59 (-139)even
laa 54 (-124)-2
cws 55 (-101)+4

system totals

fla@Mets un9.5 67% (+105)+18
ariz@Lad un8.5 70 (-105)+18
balt@Det un9 74 (+110)+26
tor@Clev ov10 63 (-120)+8

Started off May on the right foot. System numbers went well, also, picking 11 of 14 winners.
Totals still need improvement, both from my system numbers (1-1 yesterday) and my own fancies.

No serious umpire help on the totals, for Wednesday, save for maybe Tschida going in Houston?he's always been a bit of an under-ump (Astros can't score, either, but I don't know if the starters can pull this one off?system calls for 59% over 8.5).

Will post my plays in a bit.

GL

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

holy cow, I need some sleep...

holy cow, I need some sleep...

PLAYS

system sides

Brewers -133 1.33/1
Giants -147 1.47/1
Bosox -185 3.7/2

(Twins are also a system side (+8 at 64%) but I'm just putting them on a parlay)

other sides

Lad -116 0.58/0.5

2-teamer
--Mets ml
--twins ml
+188
0.53/1

2-teamer
--Brewers ml
--nyy ml
+200
0.5/1

Hopefully parlays won't be my undoing again this month.
Let's get 'em today.

GL

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

value is a five-letter word

value is a five-letter word

:SIB
Can't pass up this combo?two best plays on the board.

2-teamer
--Giants ml
--Bosox ml
+159
1.26/2

Both of these teams are coming in off of losses, to the same opponent, which may seem cause for concern. I'm thinking that both clubs are looking like potential division winners early on and, as such, they probably want to end the losing ways quickly. Giants with their newly acquired ace on the hill (ace of a staff that is turning out to be pretty darn good), and against a struggling Francis?he doesn't have it this year?and Bosox, with superman on the hill. Both clubs at home.

For better than +150 I'll take a shot.

I think this parlay has AT LEAST a 50% chance of hitting.

69% (Giants) x 74% (Bosox) = 51%

2-teamer 51% (+159)+12

That's a kill!

:SIB