Wednesday May 30th

[EXTRAPOLATER]

Wednesday May 30th 2007

yesterday: 9-6 +12.81
May: 171-138 +41.32
ml 98-61 +27.51
rl 9-11 -1.79
totals 45-38 +4.78
parlays 19-28 +10.82
system picks now 77-42 overall; 47-22 in May (value indicator any+10, +7at60+, +5at65+)

system sides

team win% (line)value indicator

atl 59% (-123)+3
sd 72 (-130)+15 RL 58 (+125)+13
ariz 51 (+107)+2
lad 65 (-147)+5 RL 50 (+114)+3
Mets 64 (-145)+4
Hou 51 (-110)-2
fla 58 (+146)+17 +1.5 72 (-155)+11
Col 63 (-147)+3
cws 51 (+100)+1
Oak 66 (-210)-2 RL 51 (-101)even
Bost 61 (-180)-4
nyy 56 (-127)even
Tb 60 (+102)+10 +1.5 74 (-156)+13
balt 55 (-128)-2
Laa 57 (-113)+3

system totals

sf@Mets un8 71% (-105)+19 --ump Davidson is even
stl@Col ov10.5 72 (-110)+19 --ump Nauert is even
tex@Oak un8.5 73 (-125)+17 --Muchinski is a good under-ump
balt@Kc un9 64 (-125)+8 --ump Foster is even


Yesterday was greatly appreciated; thank-you BB Betting Gods!
Nailed 2 more 70+; they now sit at 22-3 for May (88% winners). Also hit a key 67.
Overall it looks like an 8-7 for system sides (if A's lose), but the important ones hit.
System sides at 234-160 for May (59.4% winners?would like to get it back to 60%).
System totals a poor 0-2 yesterday; now 53-40 for May (57% winners).

I already grabbed the Padres, Marlins and D'Rays for today's card.
I'm still thinking about some others, but want to chillax for the rest of May, now that I've surpassed 40 units profit; would like to keep it over +30 for sure.

Be back to post my plays in a bit.
GL

 

[GFan9991]

I am really glad to see that San Diego is an over 70% play for you. 22-3 on those. Thats a very impressive record. This gives me more confidence to go big on the Padres. Lets hope their bats wake up. Thanks for the info every day Extrap

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

It's an incredible record...I don't expect quite as good results in June; that would be too much to ask for.

Other numbers are performing pretty well, too.
(e.g high 60's)

Maybe I'll post the updated stats once I've updated them for today's games; doin' that shortly.

As for the Padres; they look great for this one.
My only concern would be them not hitting a lefty yesterday, but there's a huge difference in quality between Gorzelanny and today's starter Maholm.

Padres OPS vs L at .772 (they're only .681 vs R).

Pirates OPS vs R at .690.

Young has been stellar lately, and is a perfect 2-0 (in 2) vs Pirates with a 1.08 era.
He threw 8 innings of 2-hit shutout ball vs them in his only start at PNC Park (was just last year).

Maholm 1-3, 5.28 era at home. Never faced the Padres.
Opponent's hitting .303 vs him this year (after .295 for his full season last year).

Had this game at 74%

Dropped it to 72% after their poor showing yesterday.

I still think it's a solid play.
I'm on it big.

Hopefully the Padres sticks will wake up here.
Should.

 

[MoeshY-13-]

Gl on your plays today X! already on the Padres myself

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

updated system statistics

updated system statistics

As promised:

RESULTS (W-L)

???.?full?..April??..May??.June??July???August?..Sept?..October
Total?..203-165..203-165...234-160
51??...17-15?.17-15??13-11
52??...13-13?.13-13??15-10
53??...16-16?.16-16??15-10
54??...14-8?...14-8??..14-16
55??...9-12??9-12??.14-13
56??...17-4??17-4??.11-12
57??...8-6??...8-6??..19-11
58??...8-11??.8-11??9-5
59??...11-11..11-11?...13-8
60??...12-9??12-9??.10-12
61??...10-8??10-8??.15-7
62??...10-8??10-8??.9-9
63??...13-9??13-9??.12-6
64??...7-10??7-10??.11-5
65??...10-4??10-4??.9-9
66??...9-5??...9-5??..9-5
67??...6-2??...6-2??..7-5
68??...5-4??...5-4??..4-1
69??...1-2??...1-2??..3-2
70??...2-2??...2-2??..3-1
71??...1-2??...1-2??..5-0
72??...1-1??...1-1??..3-1
73??...1-1??...1-1??..4-0
74??...2-1??...2-1??..3-0
75??...0-1??...0-1??..1-1
76??...0-0??...0-0??..1-0
77
78??...0-0??...0-0??..1-0
79
80??...0-0--------0-0??..1-0
totals?..45-53?..45-53??53-40
(posted system totals)

MADJACK'S POSTINGS
overall W-L122-111..122-111..
overall +/-?-4.21??-4.21?.
ml W-L?.80-45??.80-45?..
ml +/-??+12.54?.+12.54?..
rl W-L??.9-10??..9-10?..
rl +/-??..-1.8???.-1.8?..
totals W-L...25-22?..25-22?..
totals +/-?.-5.2??...-5.2?..
parlays W-L..8-34??8-34?..
parlays +/-?-9.75?...-9.75?..
system picks..30-20?..30-20?..


That's up to date.
Just a few numbers I'd like to see improvement on (60, 62, and 65, for example), but overall the numbers are close to predicted results.
Doing better in a lot of places (e.g 70+).

Picks are coming.
Gonna try a bunch, it looks like.
Why not...playing with the man's money, right now.

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

Notice that 70+ were actually only 7-8 in April.

That's a season total of 29-11.
72.5% winners.

That is about what I should hope for overall.
Most 70s will be of the lower variety (70,71,72), so an overall hit of 72-74% means the numbers are fairly accurate overall.

That's the best I can hope for.



:SIB

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

don't give me that do goody-good bullshit

don't give me that do goody-good bullshit

PLAYS

system picks

padres -130 6.5/5
dodgers -147 1.47/1
marlins +146 2/2.92
D'Rays +102 2/2.04

other picks

braves -121 1.21/1
d'backs +106 0.73/0.77
Mets -139 1.39/1
Rockies -150 1.2/0.8
white sox +100 1/1
A's -1.5 +102 0.8/0.82
Angels -115 1.15/1

--no totals today (KC under and Laa under were the closest)

I'm hoping that the BB Betting Gods don't take out their revenge on me, after yersterday.
I've got 11 sides today. Had 10 yesterday and went 6-4, hitting all the big ones.

Got a bunch of mid-60s for tomorrow, with the Angels and Jays (Halladay back) as the two highest current numbers.

See you tomorrow?today (I need some sleep badly).
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

padre$!

dodger$!

D'RAY$!

marlin$?


System picks could be perfect again, today.

Lookin' to go 4-0!

:00hour :00hour :00hour :00hour

:weed:

:SIB

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

marlin$!

:00hour

A 4-0 sweep!

System totals looking to go 4-0, too!
(they'd been cold for a few days...I didn't play any today:com: )

Will have Thursday's up soon.

:SIB