Wednesday Mlb:

TORONTO-VIGILANTE

ad interim...
Forum Member
Dec 27, 2000
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"...Quo fas et gloria ducunt..."
well looks like i took a small loss last nite....

got fawked over by the pitt total AND a tough loss with montreal losing...not to mention capping the chi sox game SO badly.
Watch out for those white sox, fawk.....as sickening as this season has been for the AL central, it looks like the WHO-SOX are making their move.....but WTF, why the hell is MINNY playing so badly this season....???

SECTION A : TORONTO - VIGILANTE PICKS.

so i've decided to downgrade my units to halves for high juice plays....until i get a bit on a roll.

will update record later.

1) LA / philly UNDER 7 -115 ( 1/2 unit)
2) clev / oak UNDER 8.5 -111 ( 1/2 unit)
 

TORONTO-VIGILANTE

ad interim...
Forum Member
Dec 27, 2000
16,122
3
0
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"...Quo fas et gloria ducunt..."
W/L Streaks for Today
Complete Details
Team or Pitcher Streak

Arizona Lost 8...Away
Cleveland Lost 7...Away
Florida Won 7...Home
Oakland Won 6...Home
H Ramirez of atl Won 6...Home
Florida Won 5...All
D Graves of cin Lost 5...Home
Chicago-AL Won 4...Away
B Myers of phi Won 4...Home
S Ponson of bal Won 4...All
New York-NL Lost 4...Home
B Lawrence of sdg Lost 4...All
New York-NL Lost 4...All
Colorado Won 4...All
 

TORONTO-VIGILANTE

ad interim...
Forum Member
Dec 27, 2000
16,122
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"...Quo fas et gloria ducunt..."
OU Streaks for Today
Complete Details
Team or Pitcher Streak

Arizona Under 8...All
Tampa Bay Over 8...Away
San Francisco Under 7...All
K Wells of pit Under 7...Home
Los Angeles Under 6...Away
Tampa Bay Over 6...All
New York-AL Under 6...All
Los Angeles Under 5...All
Arizona Under 5...Away
Atlanta Over 5...All
Chicago-NL Under 4...All
Chicago-AL Over 4...All
New York-AL Under 4...Away
H Ramirez of atl Over 4...All
 

TORONTO-VIGILANTE

ad interim...
Forum Member
Dec 27, 2000
16,122
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"...Quo fas et gloria ducunt..."
SECTION A:

3) milw / mets OVER 8.5 +104 ( 1/2 unit)
Mke reilly as an ump this season is 11-2-1 o/u
his games have gone 9 straight overs.

4) ariz / florida UNDER 6.5 -105 ( 1/2 unit)
ump fletcher seems to like lefty/lefty match ups....and with his last 3 going OVER, i think this game'll be a close one as RJ is back in form, and arizona can't hit on the road.....
 

TORONTO-VIGILANTE

ad interim...
Forum Member
Dec 27, 2000
16,122
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"...Quo fas et gloria ducunt..."
SECTION A:

5) pitts / sd UNDER 8.5 -107 ( 1 unit)
should make up from last nite's debacle with pits scoring 6 runs in the bottom of the 6th to ruin my under 9....J'Wolfie as ump doesn't seem to be a streaky OVER ump.
We'll take our chances with the percentages and the lack of hitting by both teams in their respective home / away modes.
 

TORONTO-VIGILANTE

ad interim...
Forum Member
Dec 27, 2000
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"...Quo fas et gloria ducunt..."
SECTION B: ANTI TOP TEN % PICKS

the top ten % picks seem to be kicking us in the nuts as they have been opn a hot streak lately.

last nite they went:

7/29/03 10-4-0 71.43%
= +$2,665
if you had bet $500 bucks per wager.

over the last week:

7/28/03 6-4-0 60.00% +75
7/27/03 13-6-0 68.42% +2825
7/26/03 11-9-1 55.00% -450
7/25/03 10-8-0 55.56% +535
7/24/03 4-8-0 33.33% -2020
7/23/03 13-6-1 68.42% +2560
7/22/03 6-6-1 50.00% -335
 

TORONTO-VIGILANTE

ad interim...
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Dec 27, 2000
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"...Quo fas et gloria ducunt..."
FYI: just looked at some numbers from the ump at the SF / Cubbies game.

apparently this ump LOVES to ump SF games:

Vs. San Francisco Date Home - Road Home Starter Road Starter Line Result O/U
10/9/2002 StL 6 - SF 9 M.Morris K.Rueter -145/8.5 SF O
6/15/2002 SF 6 - Oak. 2 R.Ortiz A.Harang -140/8.5 SF U
4/6/2002 SF 4 - SD 1 K.Ainsworth K.Jarvis -140/9.5 SF U
9/24/2001 LA 1 - SF 2 J.Baldwin L.Hernandez -105/8.5 SF U
9/4/2001 SF 5 - Ari. 2 J.Schmidt B.Witt -165/9 SF U
4/2/2001 SF 3 - SD 2 L.Hernandez W.Williams -175/9.5 SF U
6/30/2000 SF 2 - LA 9 R.Ortiz K.Brown 165/9 LA O
9/16/1999 SF 6 - Fla. 5 K.Rueter V.Nunez -240/9 SF O
7/3/1999 LA 1 - SF 9 C.Park M.Gardner 105/9.5 SF O
5/19/1999 SF 8 - Ari. 3 K.Rueter An.Benes -130/9 SF O

results in games with SF. SF has won 9 of 10 since '99

who knows, this may change today.
 

TORONTO-VIGILANTE

ad interim...
Forum Member
Dec 27, 2000
16,122
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"...Quo fas et gloria ducunt..."
SECTION A:

7) A RARE three unit play for me, and i have to take a chance on this.0

New York Yankees -144 ( 3 units )

i'm sorry, but when i started busting out these ump stats i came across this for Bill Welke and the NY yanks:

Date Home - Road Home Starter Road Starter Line Result O/U
6/25/2003 TB 5 - NYY 8 R.Bell A.Pettitte 210/9.5 NYY O
4/17/2003 NYY 4 - Tor. 0 J.Weaver P.Walker -210/9 NYY U
7/30/2002 Tex. 6 - NYY 9 A.Myette D.Wells 200/11.5 NYY O
7/4/2002 NYY 7 - Cle. 1 M.Mussina C.Finley -220/9 NYY U
5/16/2002 NYY 13 - TB 0 D.Wells R.Rupe -280/9 NYY O
6/23/2001 TB 1 - NYY 2 J.Kennedy R.Clemens 250/9 NYY U
9/8/2000 Bos. 0 - NYY 4 T.Ohka R.Clemens 135/9.5 NYY U
8/24/2000 NYY 8 - Tex. 7 A.Pettitte M.Perisho -230/10.5 NYY O
9/4/1999 Ana. 6 - NYY 9 Ra.Ortiz H.Irabu 165/10.5 NYY O
6/26/1999 Bal. 4 - NYY 7 Ja.Johnson D.Cone 195/10 NYY O

In the last ten games with the yanks, Wilke is 10 - 0 goin back to 1999????

Draw your own conclusions....but i'll take the chance with the
-144. I think this is a chance i'm willing to take with this type of UMP.

besides, i can't get any worse this season....i've been to -47.00 units, i KNOW if i lose this bet I can get it back. ;) :D
 

TORONTO-VIGILANTE

ad interim...
Forum Member
Dec 27, 2000
16,122
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51
"...Quo fas et gloria ducunt..."
8) Philadelphia Phillies B. Myers +1.5 -141 ( 1/2 unit)
Welke, the HOMER ump is 18 - 3 this season when i comes to home teams....i wonder why no one's mentioned this before.....???

c'mon guys, this is a forum where you SHARE info and we ALL help each other.:nono:
 
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