posted plays hit a low point a week ago with a 1-6 day, with a losing total and five losing sides by less than ten collective points. it's personally frustrating when i'm unable to post on a daily basis and manage to piece up posted plays that are now under .500. as a result, i'll probably be posting even less frequently, and limiting my posted plays to situational plays that i like. that way, i'll be able to write up the games, and expose my faulty thinking for all to see.
as most who follow my plays know, i'm partial to conference home dogs most of the time, but especially this time of year. usually i find many spots where a team that is a bettor's darling is given inflated value, and consquently the intangibles of the matchup are undervauled. i think i see three for tonight.
n iowa +1-: everyone's enamored right now with the shockers, but fact is n iowa has one of the largest home court advantages in college hoops. their homecourt is the uni-dome, which is basicly an indoor 16,000+ seat indoor football facility that is curtained off to hold around 10,000 for basketball. panthers rarely put more than three thousand or so in there, and the result is a feeling of playing in a big empty cavern. while one might normally think this detracts from the homecourt edge, visiting shooters are bothered by the lack of backround. the panthers, however, thrive shooting in the unique environment. on the road, n iowa shoots a miserable 39% from the field, 29% from the trey line. in the dome, they're filling it up at 47% fg, 38% on threes. n iowa is 11-3 this year in the dome, and have wins over iowa, creighton and sw mo. they are 9-3 su there vs wichita state, and have won the last six outright.
wisc gb +2-: ill-chi is the hoizon glamour girl this year, but wisc gb is on a run of their own. they're 10-1 in green bay, and this game tonight is to see who'll sit alone in second place in the horizon behind wisc-mil. this is the flames third road game in six days, their first taste of that situation this season, and in a big game to boot. also, 6-7 forward josh lawrence returns tonight for the phoenix, from a medical layout for recurring headaches. he's had practice time, and will give gb a four man frontcourt rotation again.
uab +3: no way the bearcats should be favored here. its cincy's fifth game in fifteen days, four on the road. they've failed to cover all five games, and lost three outright. huggins is exhausted to the point he had to let the team go ahead to winston-salem and trail behind a day later in a private jet. everyone seems to have forgotten his health issues, but it seems they are having an effect on this year's team. meanwhile, this is uab's year. they are 11-1 at home, and in the hunt for the c-usa crown. it's pretty clear they were looking ahead to this game saturday with the three point home win over ecu. think birmigham will be rocking tonight.
i'll play all three tonight with my money divided between the points and the moneylines. i got a feeling two of these three win outright.
as most who follow my plays know, i'm partial to conference home dogs most of the time, but especially this time of year. usually i find many spots where a team that is a bettor's darling is given inflated value, and consquently the intangibles of the matchup are undervauled. i think i see three for tonight.
n iowa +1-: everyone's enamored right now with the shockers, but fact is n iowa has one of the largest home court advantages in college hoops. their homecourt is the uni-dome, which is basicly an indoor 16,000+ seat indoor football facility that is curtained off to hold around 10,000 for basketball. panthers rarely put more than three thousand or so in there, and the result is a feeling of playing in a big empty cavern. while one might normally think this detracts from the homecourt edge, visiting shooters are bothered by the lack of backround. the panthers, however, thrive shooting in the unique environment. on the road, n iowa shoots a miserable 39% from the field, 29% from the trey line. in the dome, they're filling it up at 47% fg, 38% on threes. n iowa is 11-3 this year in the dome, and have wins over iowa, creighton and sw mo. they are 9-3 su there vs wichita state, and have won the last six outright.
wisc gb +2-: ill-chi is the hoizon glamour girl this year, but wisc gb is on a run of their own. they're 10-1 in green bay, and this game tonight is to see who'll sit alone in second place in the horizon behind wisc-mil. this is the flames third road game in six days, their first taste of that situation this season, and in a big game to boot. also, 6-7 forward josh lawrence returns tonight for the phoenix, from a medical layout for recurring headaches. he's had practice time, and will give gb a four man frontcourt rotation again.
uab +3: no way the bearcats should be favored here. its cincy's fifth game in fifteen days, four on the road. they've failed to cover all five games, and lost three outright. huggins is exhausted to the point he had to let the team go ahead to winston-salem and trail behind a day later in a private jet. everyone seems to have forgotten his health issues, but it seems they are having an effect on this year's team. meanwhile, this is uab's year. they are 11-1 at home, and in the hunt for the c-usa crown. it's pretty clear they were looking ahead to this game saturday with the three point home win over ecu. think birmigham will be rocking tonight.
i'll play all three tonight with my money divided between the points and the moneylines. i got a feeling two of these three win outright.
