wednesday ncaa........

gman2

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* been coming out on the plus side the last few days but still feel like it should be better. hit the ill-chicago spread and moneyline, but gave a few bucks back on the iupui game. gotta give valpo credit for fighting back but that game was iupui's to lose...... and they found a way to choke. fu/ckers.

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georgetown (+7.5) over boston college

* why back a team that is on an eight game losing streak heading into the big east tourney? mainly because boston college is a garbage chalk. ive always considered them a live underdog but terrible favorite. theyve never been a good FT shooting team, but that was covered up by the reliability of troy bell when he was there. nobody on this years squad really scares me. smith is a nice player, but hes barely better from the field (54%) than he is from the free throw line (a pitiful 56%). im not saying the eagles are a bad team. but this line is gonna require a fairly convincing win on a neutral floor and i just dont see it happening. georgetown doesnt throw exactly throw five mutants on the floor. theyre no prize, but theyre more than capable of staying within 3-5 points the whole way and -- if they play a clean game -- i could see them stealing this one outright. ugly dog, but thats the way i like em.

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* already grabbed these plays for thursday. no sense in waiting for the lines to move against me

(strong play) oregon (-1) over california
toledo moneyline (+105) over buffalo
rice (-1.5) over hawaii
auburn moneyline (+125) over georgia

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played these conference tournament futures

* kent state to win the mid-american (+250)
still the class of the mac. fans travel very well and the gund is almost like a 2nd home for the flashes. their side of the bracket is weak and they can all but punch their ticket to the title game in my opinion. senior leadership must be accounted for as well. haut, jakeway, and edwards wont let the flashes exit without a fight.

* oregon to win the pac-10 (+1000)
love talented but underacieving teams in the conference tourneys. ducks have more than enough talent to compete with anyone in the conference. ducks are more than capable of stringing a few days of wins together. now that stanford has lost their aura of invincibility, these teams will go in there knowing theyre beatable. ducks should have won one of the games with stanford this year anyway

* "field" (anyone but boise,nevada,utep) to win wac (+160)
i feel like the wac is up for grabs and i get rice, fresno, hawaii, and louisiana tech. not exactly scrub teams. utep aint shit away from home. boise is nothing special. i consider this bet to be "the field vs. nevada"

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Innavation

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i agree with georgetown, like u said--bc doesn't shoot freethrows well at all, and turn the ball over way too much. I think georgtown's zone could give bc problems--i'm sure they will pack it in to take away bc big men. Under may be worth a look.
 

GFarrow8410

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Hey g-man wher'd you find odds to win the MAC? Might throw down a few bucks on Buffalo for shits and giggles ;) .
 

gman2

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thisisbad:

thanks for pointing out my error. the juxtaposition of auburn and bama seems natural. so not going against your boys. if i may quote mike price: "roolllllll tide". (doesnt have quite the same ring as it would in person with strippers present)

farrow:

olympic had em up earlier this evening. sometimes they take em down for the night and put em back up in the morning. they should be back up in the AM as there arent any mac games on wednesday to alter the lines. +250 isnt a huge payoff, but theyre still the class of the conference and their fans are the loudest at the gund every year....its a sea of gold in their section. almost like a home game for them. ohio u's fans travel surprisingly well, given the 4.5 hr trip from southeast ohio. strong alumni base in the cleveland area. too bad theyre pathetic this year and wont be there.
 
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thisisbad

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No biggie gman, i'm just hopin gTide pulls out at least one win, and would hate when a capper i respect goes against them is all.

Good luck to ya tomorrow!
 

gman2

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after getting jammed on some 2h scoring explosions, im a little reluctant to play the entire game under. but this game should be played in the low 50s (just feel better about the 1h under)

st.louis/southern mississippi under 53.5 for the 1st half

super low total, but its there for a reason. can see a 26-21 kind of game at halftime.


also, sun tzu- do you happen to have an opinion on this game below? you normally have these schools pegged right on:

http://covers.com/data/ncb/game/g6_main_19.aspx
 

Sun Tzu

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Always hate laying the chalk with Monmouth as you never really know which team will show up. But if you play it I think you have to go with them - I think this is their year.

LMFAO
 
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