Some tough lines today, but predictable, nothing is ever easy!!
Nova -1 1/2 (Cats at home, tough travel spot today with snow in the Atlantic/DC area, Cats home court valuable, yeah they beat SYR, L'ville, G'town on large streak here and wrap up BE reg season record with a win, just think that focus and home cookin will outplay Otto Porter and defensive minded G'town here, Nova by 6)
Syracuse -18 1/2 (Cuse will not call of the running and gunning and bury DePaul by 30, as Cuse gets ready for Big East tourney play - 12-0 ATS trend when playing at home on Senior night and after losing 3 straight games, all factor here as Jim's team will be focused and pissed here, no mercy, Syracuse 84 DePaul 54)
North Carolina pk (Line drop which is predictable, heck Maryland beat Duke by 2 at home, they should be all over UNC then right? Wrong, better athletes and shooters from the perimeter for the Heels vs a club with a slow big man who will get in trouble on the defensive end, Heels trend and ATS wise, have been $ vs Terps and no look ahead spot for UNC, Reggie Bullock and Strickland should have very good games here and determining factor will be making their FT's, UNC by 8 0n the rd, 82-74)
Iowa St -2 1/2 (Cyclones at home, revenge spot, seniors at home, home cookin, etc., Okie St good athletes, but 1-3 as an away doggie, Cyclones better overall shooters and back court imho, ISU wins by 9)
Houston -13 1/2 (Cougars at home vs Rice, Rice has all the trends vs UH, this is a new year and Rice on the road not exactly money, just feel Cougars will run away down the stretch by 16 or more here)
N C St -14 (revenge spot, Senior Night for Wolfpack, Lorenzo Brown finally getting into healthy game shape, Wood and Howell have stellar nights vs younger Wake club who don't play too well on the road and now go into PNC with Wolfpack remembering that road loss after being up by 15 early in the 1st half vs the Deacons, N C St by 20)
Miami -13 (Canes wearing down some of late? Nope, just adjusting to the back and forth ACC schedule, at home here vs Jackets, bigger, more physical club with better backcourt gets it done by 20)
Nebraska +8 (Huskers 9-1 off a L vs Conf opponent this year, home court vs Gopher squad who's coughed it up the last two on the rd at Iowa for instance and Tubby's squad as I mentioned in other threads a wk or so ago, fade down the stretch. Huskers go for SU win here, 67-61)
St Louie -4 (Billikens or bust here, X has some injuries and have a great win at home vs Memphis by 2, St Louie has played a very tough road schedule and are 6-2 on the road and plus 6 MOV, 7-0 vs a winning team when they have 15 or more wins, 11-3 vs the Conference and 16-3 as a fav, St Louis also better defensively, getting turnovers that turn into pts and better hairdos - St L by 7 or more here)
Cal -5 1/2 (Rivalry bay area match - Palo Alto comes to Berk, Bears playing very well of late and might be a sweet 16 team in NCAA, Stanford Jeckyl/Hyde team, home court should help, Cal by 8 or more)
San Diego St -12 1/2 (Flyboys beat Aztecs at home now go into long travel spot to San Diego to face a club that plays well in revenge roles, Flyboys 1-7 in March gms last 3 yrs ATS, Aztecs 3-1 this year off a SU loss ATS, and 39-21 ATS vs a team with a winning record, Flyboys have a winning record and are deadly for their tourney - Aztecs though should pull away by 15)
SEMO -3 1/2 (1 pt line drop, SEM has been hot their last 3 games and are 5-1 SU vs EILL last 6, this one played in Nashville, OVC tourney opener, SEM focused on making some noise here and should win by 7 or more)
Long Island -4 1/2 (LIU 5-1 SU vs Q, should be a high scoring affair, LIU kid from Silver Spring MD may end up in the NBA, LIU by 8)
Mt St Marys +3 1/2
Lipscomb +14 1/2 (bought the 1/2, Mercer 7-1 SU vs Lipscomb, but this tourney is crazy, dog covered all 4 yesterday, Lipscomb will be focused here vs one of top league leaders, Mercer let down)
Portland +1 1/2 (LMU lost last 5, Portland playing well of late, Neutral Court, LMU winning 27% SU, Portland 48% SU, I'll take the small dog on Neutral court) Portland 67 LMU 64
Fla Gulf Coast -4 1/2 (bought the hook down, FCG needs to win out to get into the NCAA, they beat Miami F for the biggest win of the year, out of the gate and now face the Osprey's on Neutral turf, FCG handle NF at NF easily and will not look past this game. They must advance to get to the Dance and have Mercer as their only hurdle after this game, FCG wins by 10)
Lehigh -14 (McCollum for Lehigh has been out virtually the 2nd half of the year for Lehigh, Lehigh ave margin of victory vs Colgate at home is 20 ppg, Colgate has won and covered one time vs Lehigh in last 6 attempts, Lehigh's chances of getting into the dance relies heavily on winning the Patriot, there biggest tests would be Bucknell and Lafayette, Lehigh here with Knutson and Greiner both posting up dd in scoring and top 2 rebounders, plus home court should lead to a 16-20 pt win at home in a rough place to play, plus Lehigh wants revenge for 5 pt loss at Colgate. Burnatowski is leading scorer for Colgate and he's a one man scoring machine. Colgate last 6 losses in 8 games have been by an ave of 17 pts, Lehigh should prevail 69 - 53)
GL!
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Nova -1 1/2 (Cats at home, tough travel spot today with snow in the Atlantic/DC area, Cats home court valuable, yeah they beat SYR, L'ville, G'town on large streak here and wrap up BE reg season record with a win, just think that focus and home cookin will outplay Otto Porter and defensive minded G'town here, Nova by 6)
Syracuse -18 1/2 (Cuse will not call of the running and gunning and bury DePaul by 30, as Cuse gets ready for Big East tourney play - 12-0 ATS trend when playing at home on Senior night and after losing 3 straight games, all factor here as Jim's team will be focused and pissed here, no mercy, Syracuse 84 DePaul 54)
North Carolina pk (Line drop which is predictable, heck Maryland beat Duke by 2 at home, they should be all over UNC then right? Wrong, better athletes and shooters from the perimeter for the Heels vs a club with a slow big man who will get in trouble on the defensive end, Heels trend and ATS wise, have been $ vs Terps and no look ahead spot for UNC, Reggie Bullock and Strickland should have very good games here and determining factor will be making their FT's, UNC by 8 0n the rd, 82-74)
Iowa St -2 1/2 (Cyclones at home, revenge spot, seniors at home, home cookin, etc., Okie St good athletes, but 1-3 as an away doggie, Cyclones better overall shooters and back court imho, ISU wins by 9)
Houston -13 1/2 (Cougars at home vs Rice, Rice has all the trends vs UH, this is a new year and Rice on the road not exactly money, just feel Cougars will run away down the stretch by 16 or more here)
N C St -14 (revenge spot, Senior Night for Wolfpack, Lorenzo Brown finally getting into healthy game shape, Wood and Howell have stellar nights vs younger Wake club who don't play too well on the road and now go into PNC with Wolfpack remembering that road loss after being up by 15 early in the 1st half vs the Deacons, N C St by 20)
Miami -13 (Canes wearing down some of late? Nope, just adjusting to the back and forth ACC schedule, at home here vs Jackets, bigger, more physical club with better backcourt gets it done by 20)
Nebraska +8 (Huskers 9-1 off a L vs Conf opponent this year, home court vs Gopher squad who's coughed it up the last two on the rd at Iowa for instance and Tubby's squad as I mentioned in other threads a wk or so ago, fade down the stretch. Huskers go for SU win here, 67-61)
St Louie -4 (Billikens or bust here, X has some injuries and have a great win at home vs Memphis by 2, St Louie has played a very tough road schedule and are 6-2 on the road and plus 6 MOV, 7-0 vs a winning team when they have 15 or more wins, 11-3 vs the Conference and 16-3 as a fav, St Louis also better defensively, getting turnovers that turn into pts and better hairdos - St L by 7 or more here)
Cal -5 1/2 (Rivalry bay area match - Palo Alto comes to Berk, Bears playing very well of late and might be a sweet 16 team in NCAA, Stanford Jeckyl/Hyde team, home court should help, Cal by 8 or more)
San Diego St -12 1/2 (Flyboys beat Aztecs at home now go into long travel spot to San Diego to face a club that plays well in revenge roles, Flyboys 1-7 in March gms last 3 yrs ATS, Aztecs 3-1 this year off a SU loss ATS, and 39-21 ATS vs a team with a winning record, Flyboys have a winning record and are deadly for their tourney - Aztecs though should pull away by 15)
SEMO -3 1/2 (1 pt line drop, SEM has been hot their last 3 games and are 5-1 SU vs EILL last 6, this one played in Nashville, OVC tourney opener, SEM focused on making some noise here and should win by 7 or more)
Long Island -4 1/2 (LIU 5-1 SU vs Q, should be a high scoring affair, LIU kid from Silver Spring MD may end up in the NBA, LIU by 8)
Mt St Marys +3 1/2
Lipscomb +14 1/2 (bought the 1/2, Mercer 7-1 SU vs Lipscomb, but this tourney is crazy, dog covered all 4 yesterday, Lipscomb will be focused here vs one of top league leaders, Mercer let down)
Portland +1 1/2 (LMU lost last 5, Portland playing well of late, Neutral Court, LMU winning 27% SU, Portland 48% SU, I'll take the small dog on Neutral court) Portland 67 LMU 64
Fla Gulf Coast -4 1/2 (bought the hook down, FCG needs to win out to get into the NCAA, they beat Miami F for the biggest win of the year, out of the gate and now face the Osprey's on Neutral turf, FCG handle NF at NF easily and will not look past this game. They must advance to get to the Dance and have Mercer as their only hurdle after this game, FCG wins by 10)
Lehigh -14 (McCollum for Lehigh has been out virtually the 2nd half of the year for Lehigh, Lehigh ave margin of victory vs Colgate at home is 20 ppg, Colgate has won and covered one time vs Lehigh in last 6 attempts, Lehigh's chances of getting into the dance relies heavily on winning the Patriot, there biggest tests would be Bucknell and Lafayette, Lehigh here with Knutson and Greiner both posting up dd in scoring and top 2 rebounders, plus home court should lead to a 16-20 pt win at home in a rough place to play, plus Lehigh wants revenge for 5 pt loss at Colgate. Burnatowski is leading scorer for Colgate and he's a one man scoring machine. Colgate last 6 losses in 8 games have been by an ave of 17 pts, Lehigh should prevail 69 - 53)
GL!
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