Wednesday Plays...

Destructor D

Destructor
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Well this has been my worst day of the week the entire freaking season. I have been just crushed so please consider fading away if you want. Still going to post as tonight has been okay. Went 5-2 on big plays anyway... still have a couple late NBA pending, but up about a dime right now.

St. John's @ Pitt - Really impressed with how this St. John's team has improved as the season has progressed. Not impressed with Pitt as they have basically mailed in the season. Sure they'll give a solid effort on Senior Night, but I'll grab the double digits now rather than wait.

St. John's +10 for 4*

Ohio State @ Northwestern - Realize the Buckeyes will be focused, but still Sr. Night for Northwestern and this team still REALLY needs a signature win. Not sure they'll grab it tomorrow, but willing to take 8 points in what should be a great crowd for the Wildcats. Not going too big as Ohio State at times can just crush inferior teams.

Northwestern +8 (-120) for 3.5* - let's get that first ever tourney bid!

UNLV @ Colorado State - Rams have only lost one home game the entire season & UNLV has been horrid away from home. Colorado State has an excellent RPI and a win tomorrow might puts them in the tourney. They have already crushed San Diego State at home and beaten New Mexico so the trifecta would seal the deal! Love this play!

Colorado State +3.5 (-120) for 4*

Will have plenty more tomorrow and maybe tonight.

GLTA
 

Destructor D

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Marquette @ Cincy - Appears Marquette could have some more suspensions or players not starting... either way, I still like Cincy. Huge game for the Bearcats on Senior Night and trying to back more home teams than usual this week. Cincy just beat Louisville at home and I believe they'll knock off this red hot team as well.

Cincy -1.5 for 4*

Iowa @ Nebraska - Bo Sadler's job is on the line as his Huskers just continue to struggle. However, he has a great opportunity to win on Senior Night vs. an Iowa team with just 2 road wins this year. Iowa is young and they don't travel well as their 3-8 ATS road record indicates. Huskers should win!

Nebraska -1 for 3.5*

GLTA
 

Destructor D

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VMI @ Coastal Carolina - Don't know much about either team except VMI scores a ton of points. However, do know CC just won 81-64 last Saturday @ VMI & VMI just had to play 2 days ago and barely beat Radford in a low scoring game while CC is rested. Small play so I have some action on the early game! Also, tough to beat a team 3 teams, but personally feel this stat is overrated when one team is superior to the other team.

Coastal Carolina -6 for 2.5*

Maryland +19 @ North Carolina - Realize it's Sr. Night and Terps have been terrible on the road, but don't see UNC winning by 20+ with Duke on deck. You can say these kids won't look ahead, but trust me, they will. UNC will win by double digits, but wouldn't trust them to win by 20+...

Maryland +19 for 4*

Off to bed, GL to everyone!
 
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Destructor D

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I didn't tell the truth, a couple more before bed...

Bulls @ Spurs - I know it belongs in NBA forum, but likely only NBA game I'll play tomorrow. Spurs haven't been home forever and still a little banged up... Bulls did play tonight and didn't play well as they were looking ahead IMHO. Think Bulls bring their "A" game and win, but will grab the points now.

Bulls +3 (-120) for 4*

South Florida @ Louisville - Just don't like much about the Cards right now. They make poor decisions and while their PG Siva is one of the quickest guys ever, he makes a ton of poor decisions. USF plays great defense and will come ready IMHO. Very small play, but like going against the line move and backing the underrated Bulls.

South Florida +9 (-120) for 2.25*

Iowa State @ Misery - It's Sr. Night so Tigers will come ready with plenty of Seniors, but really like the Cyclones to keep this game close. Both teams are very similar in the fact they live and die with the 3 ball... MU played one of their better games of the year when they won @ Iowa State. Just see Hoiberg's club coming ready tomorrow and MU feeling a little sorry for themselves after their tough loss at KU. MU will win, but not by double digits (well hopefully anyway)!

Iowa State +10 for 4*

Upgraded Nebraska -1 to a 4* play - The huge donor who said Sadler must stay gave a huge vote of confidence to this team and Iowa just sucks when they leave Iowa City.

Penn State @ Purdue - Very tough to go against Purdue on Senior day and with a Nittany Lions team that has sucked on the road. However, PSU seems to be playing great right now and I don't see how Purdue isn't peeking ahead to their matchup with Indiana on Sunday. Just a hunch the Nittany Lions keep this closer than the experts think, but smaller play as Purdue could crush if Painter has them very focused. Outside of Frazier, not much you can really like about Penn State.

Penn State +12 for 3*

Likely will have a couple more tomorrow, but waiting to check a couple things. Final week of the regular season and plan to go out with a bang (hopefully in the black by a wide margin). Took a ton of dogs, so hope their barking tomorrow. Doesn't always work, but have a gut feeling dogs will be barking!

GLTA & GOOD NIGHT!:0074 Have an 8 AM meeting so it's really time for bed!
 
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Destructor D

Destructor
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Thanks Englishman & Rubiconed!

Oklahoma @ Texas - Longhorns have dominated this series and it's Senior Night against their bitter rival. Still, have a tough time laying double digits with this team against anyone. They were just very lucky to beat Texas Tech and I see OU coming ready to play tonight. Game in Norman was much closer than the final score indicates.

Oklahoma +10 for 4*

Tulsa @ UAB - Really like the way Tulsa has played down the stretch and believe they'll win this game. Small wager!

Tulsa ML +105 for 3*

GLTA
 
B

Billy in 4C

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pitt went to -11, any thoughts on why the line is this high in the first place, and moving in that direction, st johns is hot and pitt has fallen apart, seems fishy
 

PBRmeASAP

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DD...pretty certain those suspensions for the Marquette players for violating team rules were just for the one game vs. WV.

Also, Davante Gardner should be making a return for Marquette and see limited minutes. He was a big part of the offense. I hope that they bring him back slowly and he doesn't hurt the momentum the team has been on during his absence.

With that said, good luck on your plays!
 

PBRmeASAP

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pitt went to -11, any thoughts on why the line is this high in the first place, and moving in that direction, st johns is hot and pitt has fallen apart, seems fishy

Billy....I had a similar thought a few weeks ago when Pittsburgh played South Florida at home and were 8 point favorites...and USF outright won (why was Pitt giving a team that's 10-5 8 pts?!?!). I think you gotta just take the Johnnies + the points and not think about it.

This Pitt team has disappointed all year and there's no reason they just all of a sudden show up and play. SJU seems like they are playing hard and want to end the season on a high note...they have a nice set of young players and I think a strong finish will help them in the future.

Just my $0.02
 

Hashish

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Destructor, I really enjoy your write-ups. I like most of your plays, but I am just picking one a day these days. I like ISU to hang within the number @ Missery.

:mj23: :mj23: :mj23:
 
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