Wednesday September 26th

EXTRAPOLATER

Registered User
Forum Member
Feb 22, 2001
8,050
137
63
Toronto
Wednesday September 26th 2007

yesterday: 7-10 -1.75
September: 161-163 +13.82
ml 65-61 -2.01
rl 7-7 +1.72
totals 48-32 +13.34
parlays & IFs 41-63 +0.77
system picks 1-2 yesterday (value indicator any+10, +7at60+, +5at65+)
system totals 0-2 yesterday; 51-30 in September (63%)

system sides

team win% (line)value indicator

ariz 60% (-117)+6
atl 58 (-121)+3
cubs 56 (-147)-4
Cin 55 (-131)-2
Mets 71 (-178)+6 RL 57 (+109)+9
Mil 78 (-189)+12 RL 64 (+105)+15
col 52 (+128)+8
sd 72 (-191)+6 RL 59 (-114)+5
Tex 57 (+113)+10
oak 53 (+162)+14 +1.5 67 (-124)+11
tor 70 (-197)+3 RL 56 (-125)even
Det 53 (+132)+9
(1)Clev 69 (-174)+5 RL 55 (+115)+8
(2)Seat 61 (-111)+8
nyy 65 (-240)-6 RL 51 (-154)-10
Cws 62 (Garland-Buckner) (-123)+6
Cws 51 (Garland-Greinke) (-130)-6

system totals

ariz@Pitt ov9 65% (-130)+8 --Randazzo is a slight OVER-ump
cubs@Fla ov10 65 (-125)+9 --ump Reilly is even
wash@Mets un10 67 (+105)+18 --Hirschbeck is a great UNDER-ump
sd@Sf un7.5 69 (+100)+19 --ump Foster is even
kc@Cws un8.5 71 (-110)+18 (Garland-Greinke) --ump Hernandez is even


Not exactly getting any breaks since Sunday. Guess I'm paying the price for clearing 25 units that day; given about a third of that back over the past 2 days on bases so I'm kind of thinking that I should be done with baseball, already?very frustrating past couple of days. I'm going to (try, try, try) be pickier on my selections, I'm hoping. I'll keep 'capping right through the playoffs as I'm so close to the end, now, but I can't handle another day like the past couple for the remainded of the regular season?fvck that. Monday is what an 0 for 4 and then Tuesday I'm looking great right through until about 10 to 10 when things totally fall apart. The joy of victory followed immediately by the agony of @$#^it all to hell. Crap I'm still steamed. I hope the Giants get moved to Tokyo. Amazing that the Pirates at least held on...thought that one was going to get away too. Should take the day off, but lots of high calls presenting themselves today so I don't know what to do; might try some parlay combo's or runlines, but I'll have to look a little deeper into the contests.

Whatever is a system pick is?I don't really care about them anymore, this month, as they're jinxed. Staying alive with other calls, apparently. Mets, Brewers, Jays and Padres look like the most probable winners, as the list claims; Humber is worth a shot in his first ML start as Bacsik is down into fade territory and the Mets should feast as he's a lefty. Brewers in a total mismatch?the cinch game of the day, from all appearances?runline looks totally safe, so I'll be (am) there; moneyline parlay, maybe, as it looks like a real safe call. Jays give Halladay his last start and I'd say that there's a good 50% chance that he completes the game, as he's been apt to do during the second half of the season; Victor coming off a solid performance but if any team in the bigs knows his weaknesses it should be the Jays as they let him go (thank Hendrix) after giving him an opportunity earlier this season; Jays bats looked very lively yesterday. Peavy will toss a great game; that's the safest call one could make for any of tomorrow's contests; he's facing the fairly tame Giants, who have been hitting for a few days now but will undoubtedly be grabbing a lot of pine in this one; Misch looked pretty good in the one that I saw him pitch, but he is a lefty which gives the Padres a bit of a break; I can't see the Padres losing this game but I'm not sure if I like the runline (not really).

I've got to look at totals further before I can do anything with them. Actually, I'm already on that San Fran game under?need some Peavy action somehow and I'm guessing that he'll keep things low.

Will post what's played.
My winning's been stayed.

GL
 
Last edited:

EXTRAPOLATER

Registered User
Forum Member
Feb 22, 2001
8,050
137
63
Toronto
Don't give me that do goody-good bullshit

Don't give me that do goody-good bullshit

PLAYS

Mets -178 3.56/2
Brewers -1.5 +105 1/1.05

sd@Sf un7.5 +100 1.5/1.5
Giants under3 -120 1.2/1

2-teamer
--Brewers ml
--padres ml
+133
1.2/1.6

2-teamer
--Brewers ml
--blue jays ml
+130
0.7/0.91

2-teamer
--padres ml
--blue jays ml
+130
0.7/0.91

12-team IF bet
1.braves 0.61/0.5
2.Rangers 0.5/0.53
3.Brewers -1.5 0.52/0.5
4.kc-Cws un8.5 0.66/0.6
5.padres -1.5 0.6/0.5
6.min-Det un8 0.55/0.5
7.Mets -1.5 0.57/0.57
8.d'backs 1/0.8
9.blue jays -1.5 0.91/0.7
10.cubs-Fla ov10 1/0.8
11.rockies 1/1.2
12.a's 1/1.55
0.61 to win max.8.75

11-team IF bet
1.padres -1.5 0.72/0.6
2.rockies over4 0.5/0.65
3.blue jays -1.5 0.65/0.5
4.braves 0.75/0.6
5.Mets -1.5 0.85/0.85
6.Brewers -1.5 0.84/0.8
7.Rangers 1/1.05
8.a's 1/1.55
9.ariz-Pitt ov9 1.3/1
10.chi-Fla ov10 1.5/1.2
11.kc-Cws un8.5 1.76/1.6
0.72 to win max.10.4


Mostly a player on the highest calls today. A few others I like but I've been getting burned so I'm going to take it easy and not shoot for the moon. Brewers look the best to me but I'd play it Villaneuva only must start as they could pull Thompson for Pineiro; looks good vs either starter. Next in line I like the Padres, the Mets, then the Blue Jays. Only other game that I've got immediate interest in (save for those IFs) is the Braves, who might make things interesting if the win a couple more in a row; Lohse is nothing special and Hudson might just keep the Philliesticks calm. I actually took the Rockies as my only series play, at +140, so I also wouldn't mind a victory by the Rox also; they look real good for tomorrow, anyway, with Morales vs Loaiza (I hope) or whomever. System totals went 0-1 then 0-2 so far this week?I am not impressed, so I'm taking it easy on the totals (got that SD-SF one early so I'll hope for a 2,3,4,5,6,7-0 Padres victory, or even 3,4,5,6-1, or 4,5-2, to cash the moneyline, runline, team total and game total. That would make up a bit for the insult from the gods over the past couple of days. Does me a lot more good if the Brewers and Blue Jays are victorious. And, while I'm at it?Go Mets!!!

Time for an hour or two of football before bed.
I think I'm going to have a super Sunday?again.

GL
 

EXTRAPOLATER

Registered User
Forum Member
Feb 22, 2001
8,050
137
63
Toronto
If the Yankees win tonight then I suggest playing the Devil Rays tomorrow.

Yanks clinch a playoff spot tonight with a win.
D'Rays with the edge tomorrow, regardless, but it will look very sweet if the Yanks don't need the game.


:weed:
 

EXTRAPOLATER

Registered User
Forum Member
Feb 22, 2001
8,050
137
63
Toronto
under looks okay in Tampa tomorrow, too, though Hughes doesn't really impress.

flippin' Brewers have stranded 7 runners through 3 innings so far, including leaving the bases loaded in the 1st and 2nd; looks like only a matter of time before they put up a crooked number. I hope.
 
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