2-2 last night, now 114-98 overall. dogs go three of five, now a giddy 7-3 on dogs including sunday. see some nice looking totals tonight, though missed getting them in early and thus have lost some nice hooks. for tonight:
tex/atl under 9: lost the early hook here, but the combo of eddings behind the plate with maddux and smoltz throwing is a tough nut to crack. some issues with thomson, but for whatever reasons, he's got a career 2.70 era at turner field.
bal/hou over 9: would have loved to get the early 8-, but i'll still take the 9. cousins is just one of those umps that just about always warrants an over play. his microscopic strike zone and 10 bb/g jinduce pitchers to give in and groove pitches. as far as i'm concerned, hentgen is a can of gas at this point in his career, and sports a 9.00 era at minute maid park. miller has had his problems at minute maid this year. orioles are 20-8 over on the road and average 5.9 rpg against righties away. astros 5.4 rpg vs righties at home; wind out to left 7-14 mph. fwiw, i consider this tonight's strongest play.
cle/col over 12: rockies 2-8 under last 10 is causing this number to drop too much imo. rockies kill lefties in coors (9.1 rpg this year) and this is traber's first trip there. i think he'll be a candidate for shell shock tonight. reynolds behind the plate will help; steady helping wind right to left. and is it just me, or is it just a matter of time before darren oliver has a high altitude implosion?
det/sd over 7: i don't care how bad these two teams are, there is now way these two pitchers can support a total of 7, especially with reed behind the plate.
min/sf over 8-: wolf's small zone behind the plate will hurt both of these pitchers; steady wind out to left center.
have another dog card tonight - pit, pit, fla, det and min.
glta
tex/atl under 9: lost the early hook here, but the combo of eddings behind the plate with maddux and smoltz throwing is a tough nut to crack. some issues with thomson, but for whatever reasons, he's got a career 2.70 era at turner field.
bal/hou over 9: would have loved to get the early 8-, but i'll still take the 9. cousins is just one of those umps that just about always warrants an over play. his microscopic strike zone and 10 bb/g jinduce pitchers to give in and groove pitches. as far as i'm concerned, hentgen is a can of gas at this point in his career, and sports a 9.00 era at minute maid park. miller has had his problems at minute maid this year. orioles are 20-8 over on the road and average 5.9 rpg against righties away. astros 5.4 rpg vs righties at home; wind out to left 7-14 mph. fwiw, i consider this tonight's strongest play.
cle/col over 12: rockies 2-8 under last 10 is causing this number to drop too much imo. rockies kill lefties in coors (9.1 rpg this year) and this is traber's first trip there. i think he'll be a candidate for shell shock tonight. reynolds behind the plate will help; steady helping wind right to left. and is it just me, or is it just a matter of time before darren oliver has a high altitude implosion?
det/sd over 7: i don't care how bad these two teams are, there is now way these two pitchers can support a total of 7, especially with reed behind the plate.
min/sf over 8-: wolf's small zone behind the plate will hurt both of these pitchers; steady wind out to left center.
have another dog card tonight - pit, pit, fla, det and min.
glta
