You know, something that is really ticking me off lately and its gonna come to an end now:
I've been taking some home dogs lately that will fight hard the first half only to take it up the ass the second and completely blow any chance at a cover. Take A&M tonight, NC State against Duke a few nights ago, etc. That's why I took Florida State +4 first half over Wake and I'm glad I did cause that overtime would have driven me over the edge with these capable home dogs.
So lets take Miami vs. Duke on Wednesday. . . everyone knows Duke has had their share of troubles when visiting the Florida schools. Normally the public is all over Duke yet I see Miami at a 70% clip (will probably drop but not much). I have this feeling that Miami comes out and plays inspired basketball in the first half. . . maybe even wins the first outright. But Duke will own the second half and I expect them to cover.
Seems like most of the home dogs that I have won the past few years come out strong the first half and just hold on the second. Rarely have road favorites covered the first half against me only for my home dog to come back and get the cover. So maybe you've figured out my play:
Miami +4.5 (hoping to get 5) over Duke first half. Then I'll check out the stats at the half and see if Duke is a good bet for the second half. If I lose the first half then a definite no play for the second.
More to come. . . this is only an average wager. There will be a few big bets
I've been taking some home dogs lately that will fight hard the first half only to take it up the ass the second and completely blow any chance at a cover. Take A&M tonight, NC State against Duke a few nights ago, etc. That's why I took Florida State +4 first half over Wake and I'm glad I did cause that overtime would have driven me over the edge with these capable home dogs.
So lets take Miami vs. Duke on Wednesday. . . everyone knows Duke has had their share of troubles when visiting the Florida schools. Normally the public is all over Duke yet I see Miami at a 70% clip (will probably drop but not much). I have this feeling that Miami comes out and plays inspired basketball in the first half. . . maybe even wins the first outright. But Duke will own the second half and I expect them to cover.
Seems like most of the home dogs that I have won the past few years come out strong the first half and just hold on the second. Rarely have road favorites covered the first half against me only for my home dog to come back and get the cover. So maybe you've figured out my play:
Miami +4.5 (hoping to get 5) over Duke first half. Then I'll check out the stats at the half and see if Duke is a good bet for the second half. If I lose the first half then a definite no play for the second.
More to come. . . this is only an average wager. There will be a few big bets