Weds parlays

Terryray

Say Parlay
Forum Member
Dec 6, 2001
9,832
2,284
113
Kansas City area for who knows how long....
3:40 PM MLB [953] CHI CUBS -1.5 -160 ( K HENDRICKS -R / P CLEMENS -R )
3:35 PM MLB [962] TOTAL u8-115 (CLE INDIANS vrs OAK ATHLETICS) (BAUER/GRAVEMAN)
3:40 PM MLB [964] TOTAL u7.5 -120 (NY YANKEES vrs SEA MARINERS) (TANAKA/IWAKUMA)

1 unit bet pays 4.57 ....betdsi line .. Evening parlay later (looking at Bost or un, un KC, un STL, un TX, ov Balt...)

Bauer is better on the road, Grave is better at home, where most his starts go under, and under is 10-2 combined last 12 for these starters

Cubs -1.5 again..or -2.5 (Hendricks will dominate SD as always, and Clemens always gone after 5, exposing the poor SD pen)..bookies hating it a week back when Cubs were on another -1.5 win streak

Under NYY/Seattle - two Jap pitchers going against each other (were teammates for 5 years on the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles) will bring out the best, it's a big game back home media....and both have had plenty unders of late anyways.



MLB parlays: 13-141, -32.06 units (risk 1 unit each pick)... winner #1 posted here......winner #2 posted here....winner #3 and nice winner #4... and small reduced winner #5, winner #6 paid 5.07 units...winner #7...and here is winner #8...and then winner #9....after long dry spell, hit four teamer on July 4th.....and another long dry spell, hit five teamer on July 23rd....yet another long dry spell, hit four teamer on Aug 17...hit nice daytime five teamer on Aug 18...

Goood luck everyone!! :firing: :toast:
rogpen.gif
:0074


ripped, cut and pasted, otherwise written by others, from across the internets:

Gerrit Cole - 6.2 IP, 3 ER, 12 Hits, 3 BBs, 5 Ks [last start]. That's the King of Pretty Good alright. Well, this is actually pretty bad. 15 baserunners in 6.2 innings is really really detrimental to your WHIP. I expect him to be better against the Stros, though it's hard to be in King Cole's corner right about now.

Collin McHugh - 3.0 IP, 6 ER, 9 Hits, 1 BBs, 4 Ks. McHugh going up against the O's is a bad combination, though I did expect maybe a K or two more given McHugh's strikeout potential and the holes in the Baltimore bats. Fortunately for McHugh, he gets the Pirates + A's next and that could be a solid pair of starts.

Astros / Pirates Over 7.5

Pitt has some life right now and facing a RHP is a good thing for them...They rank in the top 10 Vs. RHP this year....McHugh will get the nod for the Astros here on the road....McHugh hasn't been sharp at all in his last 5 starts...He has allowed at least 3 runs or more in the last 5 games...Problem for him comes on the road...This is his 4th road start in a row and his 5th road start in his last 6...He has allowed an alarming number of HR's as well over that short stretch...8 HR's allowed and 40 hits over those 5 games..He isn't very sharp right now and getting runs off him looks rather good...Pitt will be looking to get this game after they sputtered the last few days...Cole gets the call and the Astros like the LHP...Cole hasn't been anything special this year and facing the Stros will be tough....Cole has allowed a large number of hits and runs in his last 3 games...27 hits allowed and 12ER...6 walks also in just 3 games..K's are below average and the Astros have enough bats to get 3 or 4 off of Cole...Bullpens might factor here, but my gut feeling is this one gets over early for us..This number might hit 8 rather quick...Jump on this 7.5 fast, I doubt it will be around long for this one.

The Milwaukee Brewers are 12-2 in their last 14 home games against a left handed starter...8-3 in Davies last 11 home starts....7-2 in their last 9 games against a left handed starter.

Cubs are 20-6 in their last 26 games against a right handed starter....4-0 in Hendrick?s last 4 starts with four days of rest....64-26 in their last 90 games against a team with a losing record.

The San Diego Padres are 1-6 in their last 7 games against a starter with a WHIP of less than 1.15....4-11 in their last 15 games against the NL Central.
Clemens has not pitched past the fifth inning in any of his starts meaning the Cubs will see plenty of the Padres weak bullpen. Hendricks has been incredible and he has a dazzling 1.26 career ERA in 28.2 innings pitched to the Padres,

Yankees are 2-6 in Tanakas last 8 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.

The Seattle Mariners are 11-3 in their last 14 games vs. a right-handed starter....9-1 in Iwakumas last 10 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance....4-1 in Iwakumas last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.

Last week's blip against the Cincinnati Reds aside, Jose Fernandez fills the skills requirement, with a dominant 13.0 K/9 and stingy 2.7 BB/9. The Kansas City Royals traveling to South Beach takes care of the matchup element. For the past month, the defending World Series champs are the weakest club with a righty on the hill, which puts the Miami Marlins right-hander in a great spot for a big bounce-back effort.

Rangers vs. Reds
Play: Under 8?

Setting the scene: The Reds pulled off the 3-0 victory on Tuesday, as Dan Straily would go on to continue his surprisingly strong season, getting the better of Rangers? veteran Derek Holland. We think runs will be at a premium tonight as well.

Yu Darvish: He?s 4-3 with a 2.75 ERA. He comes in off a gem vs. Oakland on Wednesday, holding the A?s to two runs and a walk while going on to strike out nine. In his last six starts he?s given up four walks compared to 48 strikeouts.

Tim Adleman: He?s 2-1 with a 2.96 ERA. He most recently held the Dodgers scoreless over five frames on Friday. The rookie has been pretty good in his limited time to this point, note that he?s now 2-0 with a 2.03 ERA at home.

The bottom line: Recent performance suggests that these two hurlers will battle it out into the latter frames, making the UNDER a very legitimate investment option.

Red Sox vs. Rays
Play: Rays +149

The Rays are 11-2 as a home dog off a 1 run home loss scoring 4 or less runs. Boston is 0-3 as a road favorite off a road dog win. In fact league wide road favorites with a total of 8 or less that scored 2 or less runs have lost 17 of 23 vs an opponent off a home favored loss that scored 2 or less runs. Tampa has Andriese going and he shut down Boston here 6 scoreless in his only home start vs Boston. The Sox counter with Porcello who has been much better at home than on the road. Take Tampa.

Let's sit down for a moment and talk about Rick Porcello who bolstered his excellent 2016 numbers with a great 7.0 IP, 1 ER, 4 Hits, 2 BBs, 8 Ks against the Tigers last night. I want to be a bigger fan of Porcello. I was actually the biggest fan of him in the preseason, with my #59 ranking as the highest for Porcello in the Fantasy Pros ECR, and now it's gotten to the point that I'm even being accused of disliking him, which is a bit funny to me. Of course I like Porcello, I just don't like him as much as other options because he has a sub 7.50 K/9, a 3.85 SIERA, a 31.1% hard contact rate, and just a 16.6% soft contact rate. If he had an 11-9 record right now, I imagine many people wouldn't be as nutty about him and we all know how finicky Wins are (I understand he's on the Sawx, but come on he's not pitching like a true 17-3 guy). I obviously want him on all my teams, but it's hard to believe he's a true Top 30 guy when the Ks aren't spectacular, batted ball profile isn't great and his ERA could easily be closer to 4.00 than 3.00 by the end of the year.


Giants +122

You have to go back to July 7 to find the last time southpaw Rich Hill threw more than five pitches in a big league game. Blisters have sidelined Hill until now when he makes his Dodgers debut.

It's not stretching things to believe Hill is going to be rusty. Perhaps even on a pitch count, which would put more pressure on an overworked Dodgers bullpen. Regardless, I'm not going to pass up taking this 'dog price with the Giants and Johnny Cueto.

The Giants and Cueto have been slumping since the All-Star break. Cueto broke out in his last start beating the Mets, 8-1, this past Friday giving up eight hits and no walks in seven innings. That was the 19th time in Cueto's past 25 starts San Francisco has won. The Giants also have won 11 of Cueto's last 13 road starts.

Now it's time for the Giants to get going. They had the best record at 57-33 entering All-Star break, but have gone 11-24 since then. We all know the Giants are a much better team than what they have shown lately.

There are many handicapping factors that point to the Giants winning today. They are:

Hill being priced a favorite in this division rivalry despite a huge randomness factor based on his more than a month of not pitching.

Cueto's outstanding track record, which includes the Giants going 3-0 the past three times he has been a road 'dog.

The Giants being 33-9 on the road and 19-7 in their last 26 games against a lefty starter.

Underrated Angel Pagan being back in the lineup from a groin strain. Pagan is riding a 19-game hitting streak.

Matt Boyd - 6.0 IP, 1 ER, 5 Hits, 2 BBs, 4 Ks. Boyd is actually a bit legit these days and I'd consider picking him up in 12 teamers...though he's getting a fair amount of luck during his last seven starts (just one start without a 4.00+ xFIP in all seven!). Then again, he gets the Twins + ChiSox + Royals next...

Coldest team: Angels (3-15 last 18)

This season couldn?t end fast enough for Los Angeles, who is three games ahead of Minnesota for the worst record in the American League. The Angels were routed by the Blue Jays on Tuesday, 7-2 as L.A. has scored two runs or less in four straight games. The highway has been a disastrous place for the Halos, who have lost 11 consecutive road games, as their last away victory came on July 26 at Kansas City. Matt Shoemaker is responsible for four of those road setbacks during this stretch, as the offense scored one run in three of those defeats.

Phillies vs. White Sox
Pick: Phillies

The White Sox opened their nine-game homestand by losing 9-0 to Oakland but have rebounded to win three in a row, after Tuesday?s 9-7 win over the Phillies. Philadelphia has now lost back-to-back games by the combined scores of 18-1 and has now lost FIVE of seven, while being outscored 50-20. The White Sox jumped out to a 19-8 start in the early going of the 2016 season but now sit 12 games out in the AL Central at 60-64, plus 8 1/2 games back in the wild card race (FIVE teams are ahead of them!). The 58-68 Phillies are going nowhere as well, 15 1/2 games back in the NL East, plus nine games out for the NL?s final wild card spot (FOUR teams are ahead of Philly).

However, while the White Sox are minus-$362 vs the moneyline, the Phillies have been competitive all season against the moneyline. Despite losing five of the last seven, Philly is plus-$563, which ranks 6th among MLB?s 30 teams. The starting pitchers tonight will be Jerad Eickhoff (8-12, 3.91 ERA) and James Shields (5-15, 5.98 ERA). I?ve noted often how ridiculous Shields? nickname of ?Big Game James? is and the 2016 just adds to the ?LOL? factor! The 34-year-old right-hander was acquired in a June 4 trade with the San Diego Padres, after going 2-7 (4.28 ERA) with the Padres. He?s 2-8 with a 7.62 ERA (team is 5-9) in 14 starts with Chicago, allowing six ERs or more in each of his last four starts. He?s allowed 33 hits (including nine HRs) in that span, as well as 27 ERs in just 14 innings (that?s a 17.26 ERA!). Combine all of his 2016 starts and he?s 7-18, minus-$1030 vs the moneyline. Could it get any worse?

In stark contrast, after beginning his second big league campaign with a 2-8 record through 11 starts (team was 3-8), Eickhoff has been MUCH better. He?s 8-4 over his last 14, with the Phillies going 8-5. No reason for Shields to get things sorted out here, making Eickhoff and the Phillies a ?tasty? pick.

Cardinals? right-hander Carlos Martinez has turned into one of the most reliable road pitchers this season by owning a 7-1 record and 2.36 ERA away from Busch Stadium. Pitching at home has been a different story for Martinez, as the Cardinals are 4-8 in his 12 starts by the Arch as St. Louis continues its series with New York tonight. Something has to give tonight as Jacob deGrom has struggled in the role of a road underdog for the Mets, losing all three starts this season, including his last time out at San Francisco.

Chicago Fire vs. LA Galaxy
Play: Under 2?

I like the look of under 2.5 goals in this game between La Galaxy and Chicago Fire.

Five of the last six games that LA Galaxy have played on the road in the MLS have ended under 2.5 goals, just once in that run have they featured in a game with at least three goals.

The last two Chicago home games have had more than 2.5 goals, however, prior to that over seven games only once was there more than 2.5 goals in Chicago, basically over the last nine home games 66% of them have been under 2.5 goals.

Another factor to consider is that Chicago are unbeaten in their last seven home games and despite their league position have proven to be a hard team to beat on their home patch.

LA are in good form, losing just once in their last ten MLS games and that was last weekend away to New York City.

So, we have a home side strong at home in recent weeks playing a team in good decent form, basically two teams capable of cancelling each other out based on recent home and away form respectively.

I do not see an open free flowing game and whoever scores first will probably attempt to shut up shop, especially Chicago who are playing a team that surprisingly tends to concede first against teams lower down in the league when they are away from home.

All things considered I am going under 2.5 goals in this one.
 
Bet on MyBookie
Top