favorite time of the year. Its like an early x-mas present that lasts a month past the holidays themselves: COLLEGE FOOTBALL...been looking at th card for a few weeks now, and reading alot of updates and threads on the forum and other sources of info. Usually play 5 games a week (15 palys for week 1, alotta small ones, 5 main plays) , alotta small plays, , with a few 2-4 Unit play every week unless I dont have a real good feeling for any game on the given week. Usually have a 4 unit play once or twice a week and a 10-20unit game once a year (lost my only 20 unit bet last year with Oregon +21 vs USC, worst beat ever. Ducks had a 14-0 lead with a few mins left in the first half, only to be killed in the 2nd half by USC and lose the spread by 13-14 (turned it off at tha point)...hopefully this year the tables turn. Was up about 30 units till the Oregon POY game, and that began a horrible skid in which I ended up about even for the year (lost about 3 units because of the juice)...learned a lesson about giving away money in one game, that it took me 20-30 games to accumulate...this year going to be much more careful, and most likely stck to a 5 unit play max if I really like a game...
ALL PLAYS @ BetJamaica unlless otherwise noted:
WEEK 1
1. CAL + 2 ---- 9 UNITS (UPGRADED TO MAX PLAY/10 Units on them including Teaser
Yup, starting out the year with a big play. Have been eying this game all summer long. Tedford's best defense since he got to Berkeley, and arguabley the best backfield tandem in the nation. Lynch will finish top 3 in Heisman voting barring any injury, and expect him to be lifting the trophy in NYC if they can finally get passed USC. Many have said that taking CAL on the road in Knoxville, with a inexperienced QB is foolish. But what peopl e are forgetting is what a QB with even the taddest bit of talent, can look like Marino in Tedford's offense. He did it with Harrington, he did it with Rodgers, and he did it with Ayoob. Longshore doesn't have to carry the team on his back, he just has to make some decent passes and AVOID TURNOVERS. Tenn's defense will have their hands full with Lynch and Forsett, taking alot of pressure of Longshore and giving him man to man coverag for his recievers as I find it hard to imagine Fulmer will settle for anything less than 7 in the box to try and shut down the best running back in the nation. Not only does Lynch have the strength of a Michael Bush, he has the moves of a Ronnie Brown. He is ridiculous, and backing him up is the closest thing the Pac-10 has to Reggie Bush in Justin Forsett. This is plain and simple 2 programs going in opposite directions, and although the loss of Mixon scared me a bit, it obviously didnt alter the linemakers minds as the line hasnt moved a bit. Not when you got DT Brandon Mebane, CB Daymeion Hughes and LB Desmond Bishop, who all are among the nations best at their respective positions, and if they played in a conference like the Big12 or SEC, they would all be hands down 1st Team All Americans. I can write all the info in the world for liking this play and for why im playing a unexperienced QB getting only 2 points @ one of the nations toughest venues, but this is a Tenn program that arguabley might be worst that last years squad. Fulmer is washed up, and Cal has the sour taste of USC in their minds from years past, and know that a win vs the Trojans wont mean squat if they start the season 0-1 vs a Tenn team that isnt 1/4th as good as it was just a few years ago. I wouldnt be suprised to see a key Vols player arrested in the 10 days until the game. However, ive said enough about this game, the Golden Bears will do the talking on the field on Sept 2nd, and Lynch will begin his Heisman campaign with a dominating game vs one of the nations top programs from years past, in one of the toughest venues in America. Have not felt this confident about a game in a long, long time. The fact that so many people love Tenn to win this one and show the world th PAC 10 "is inferior" and that coming into a SEC 107k+ crowd will show those "surfer boys" what a good ol' southern ass whooping is, and how tough it is to play in the SEC (hence why its "so hard to go undefeated" in the SEC), makes me love this even more. Its almost like people will not accept a newcomer (they stil don't even accept USC as being dominant in its 2 title years, saying "easy conference" was why they achieved what they achieved. Reminds me alot of when USC was loaded with talent, talent that had really made an impact the previous year with Palmer, but now their has been some changes at the major positions, and Auburn was a 7 point dog in Leinharts first game. We all know how USC broke out that game, and this was an Auburn team that was SOLID with Cadillac Williams/Ronnie Brown/Jason Campell all in their jr years. Now we have a VERY similar Cal team, with a similar 1/2 punch at RB (both all conference, and Lendale/Bush hadnt even made it close yet), and a young QB with pure talent and a rocket arm coming in and not being given a chance in a SEC venue...Like I said, Tenn is NOTHING close to what Auburn was that year, and hence the lower line, but Cal is just as solid as a team as that USC squad, and most of these Cal players are the guys who have scared the lights out of USC everytime theyve played the last few years. I can go on and on and on and on about this game, and I MAY BE WRONG, I may be VERY WRONG. But with all that I have read and capped, I truley feel this is the best game I will find in terms of value in the entire first month.
LOSS -2.2 UNITS2.) Miss St. +6 --- 2 UNITS (upgraded to 2)
Sure a Spurrier offense vs a lame MSU offense looks like a blowout on paper. But MSU has just enough playmakers to move the ball down the field for a couple scores. What makes me love this home dog is th Dawgs D. They are up their as one of the SEC's top defensive units and will be the difference in a very close, defensive game. Line opened up at 42 and has been pounded down to 38 by the sharps, showing me that Vegas sees a low scoring affair and I will take a TD in a game that very well could end 17-14. Would be a 2 unit play if I caught it at 7, but the ill take this ferocious Dawg D with 2 field goals.
TAILING SUPERBEAR ON THESE 3:
3.) Akron +16 --- 1 UNIT
4.) Florida St. +3.5 --- 2 UNITS
Miami is washed up. Wright had a solid soph season last year leading the league in TD's and 2nd highest rated passer in the ACC as well, but Florida St is coming in with the amazing speed at D as usual, but now has a potent offense to complient an NFL caliber defense. Weatherford throw for over 3000 yards last year and had 21 total TD's, and the fact that he got down and dirty and alos threw 18 int's makes me like him even more, as it takes errors and mistakes to make a great QB, because he learns from it and becomes an even better player. Booker is back as well and now has the starting job all to himself and he will definatley take advantage of the fact that he no longer has to split his time with Washington and
WIN +1 UNIT5.) Central Michigan +13.5 --- 1 UNIT
If you all don't remember Gman talking about this team 2 years ago, let me fill you in. CMU was able to lure Brian Kelly, the most succesful Div II coach in the nation, to come and develop one of the worst teams in th nation. Gman talked about the discipline and offensive mastermind Kelly was and how within a few years he would have CMU at the top of the MAC. Well the bold prediction has slowly looked to come true. CMU comes off its first winning season in 3+ years and will be one of the suprise team in the nation. Kelly's original recruiting class are now seasoned juniors and seniors and are ready to make the hiring of Kelly seem as brilliant as it was once anticipated. BC will be looking ahead to Clemson and def will rest its players if they get a sizeable first half lead. Def can see CMU keeping this game close the whole way through, especially with suprise recruit Ontario Sneed back with a solid season under his belt in with a frosh All-American ranking by Rivals.com. He will carry the load for a CMU team that lost alot of key players on both side of the ball, including Kent Smith at QB (8 school passing records), but Brian Brunner has shown signs of life throughout the spring and although nobody sees CMU winning more than 5 games this year, I think the impact of the Brian Kelly hiring will finally come avail this year. Def a live home dog.
ADDED FOLLOWING:
6.) BYU + 7 (bought 1/2 pt, -120) ---- 2 UNITS
All MWC QB in Beck and also in RB Curtis Brown. Improved defense compliments what will be one of the most explosive offenses in the NCAA. Bronco Mendenhall has rebuilt quite a powerhouse @ BYU and though they might be a year away from consecutive 9-10 win seasons, they definatley have rebuilt a much better squad than Stoops has in Tucson. Stoops is still a few key position players away from building a PAC-10 powerhouse, and inexperience at Running Back will put alot of pressure on Tuitama in his sophmore season. The most experienced RB on AZ's depth chart is Chris Hentry with 34 total carries in his career.
7.) USC -8 --- 1 UNIT
Alotta top PAC 10 cappers on this one, low line because of the departures of Leinhart/Bush/White, but are we forgetting the fact that Carroll had the top recruiting classes in consecutive seasons, a coupl years ago? USC wins by 24+
8.) Wake Forest -16 --- 1 UNIT
Syracuse is worst big confernce team in the nation, bar none, and Wake Forest is a program on the rise. When did we ever imagine WF being almost a 3td fav over a conference foe? The line is high for a reason, and based on what ive seen from Syracuse, I may even double up on this one. Barclay is gone, but Jr. Micah Andrews is as fit as a succesor as coach John Grobe could ask for. while only having half as many carries as Barclay last year (119), he had a higher ypc with 5.9 (compared to Barclay's 5.6 on 236 carries) and has the experience to make the best of his promotion to starter. With WF returning 4 veteran starters to its O-Line, and arguabley the best WF squad in the last decade, look for WF to com out firing in this game with a 27+ blowout, and on its way to a 5-0 start if it can get passed Ole Miss (who is noting to brag about)...they go at least 4-1 to start their first bowl bid campaign in years, and ill l friendly wager that prop anytime.
9.) Nevada +11.5 ---- 1 UNIT
LOSS -1.2 UNITS 10.) 7 Point Teaser (CanBet -120) --- 1 UNIT
1. Wash. St +21
2. Eastern Michigan +11.5
11.) Wash St +14 (CanBet) --- 1 UNIT
PUSH 12.)Buffalo -6 --- 1 UNIT
Already had this one in, forgot to post it...Buffalo has an impressive young kid at RB, though they lack team speed, theyve got the talent on both sides of th ball to beat a crap team like Temple...Vegas has a 1-win team favored by 6, on game day, they will show us why...gl
13.) 0.65 UNIT PARLAYto/win 1.79 UNITS (Canbet)
1. Utah St. +12.5
2. UTEP/SDSU UNDER 50.5 (AR182 cotail)
Was gonna play each game for a unit, but im well over my max of 10 plays for the week. so used some bonus money I got from CanBet that I had left over to parlay a couple of solid bets. First off going with a really strong capper I know (not from the forum) who has won a "play of the week" competition in a local tourney we have yearly here. He has Utah St. as his play of the week, and even has them as his upset special on the ML..so def worth a shot IMO, especially with a Wyoming team that has drastically gone to crap after a big bowl win over UCLA in '05...my other let of the parlay is a co-tail of the $ maker himself AR182...if I win some of my earlier Thurs games, gonna add another unit to this Under...but he got it at 52 and it has been pounded down to 50.5, so if the line stays decently close to what I got it at, I will be playing this for a unit. If it goes back up to 52, gonna throw 2 units on this one. For now its just a play in a small parlay...
14.) Ole' Miss -3 (-114) ---- 4 UNITS (local)
Ogregron offense this year is highlighted by 2 star TRANSFERS. Schaffer who left Tenn after he saw that he was to Ainge, what Zwick is to Troy Smith at Ohio St: the difference, however, is Schaeffer made the big move to transfer to a smaller SEC school where he knew he had the "big time recruit, who went to the wrong school at the wrong time" portfolio and knew at Ole Miss he most likely would get the starting nod, barring any unlikely breakout players at the position. His move payed off, as Schaeffer showed he was in fact a top notch player that he was recruited as, and ran the scout team last year for the Rebels with great success since the first day he put on a Ole Miss practice uniform. With th way things have panned out at both Tenn and Ole Miss, Schaeffer may have actually made a move that Tenn could regret, since Ainge has not come close to playing to the "next Peyton' hype that surrounded him. That wasnt the only key acquistion for Oger, he also brought in what many consider the best running back that nobody knows about in Benjarvus-Green Ellis, who has the tools and talent to be one of the conferences best backs. The tandem has made alot of noise in Rebel country, and add to the fact that the defense is led by the best LB in the SEC (a LB'ing cor that many consider as good as any in the conference, up their with Florida, and with a young but talent-infatuated DL led by one of th nations best DL coaches, this very well could be a big year for the Rebs. With Memphis, you have a team that made some noise last year, but that noise was a reflection of the overwhelming success of De'Angelo Williams, who is backing up DeShaun Foster in Carolina, and very well could get the starting nod by midseason...on the other hand, Memphis is left with a pretty well rounded squad, but no playmakers on either side of the ball, and a line that reflects the fact that Ole Miss as a unproven team, ill take the more talented squad with the better coach, at home.
15.) Nebraska -21 (-120) ---- 4 UNITS (Local)
16.) 6 Point Teaser --- 1.2 Units (+100/Canbet)
1. CAL +7.5
2. S.Carolina/Miss. St. UNDER 46 --- W
ALL PLAYS @ BetJamaica unlless otherwise noted:
WEEK 1
1. CAL + 2 ---- 9 UNITS (UPGRADED TO MAX PLAY/10 Units on them including Teaser
Yup, starting out the year with a big play. Have been eying this game all summer long. Tedford's best defense since he got to Berkeley, and arguabley the best backfield tandem in the nation. Lynch will finish top 3 in Heisman voting barring any injury, and expect him to be lifting the trophy in NYC if they can finally get passed USC. Many have said that taking CAL on the road in Knoxville, with a inexperienced QB is foolish. But what peopl e are forgetting is what a QB with even the taddest bit of talent, can look like Marino in Tedford's offense. He did it with Harrington, he did it with Rodgers, and he did it with Ayoob. Longshore doesn't have to carry the team on his back, he just has to make some decent passes and AVOID TURNOVERS. Tenn's defense will have their hands full with Lynch and Forsett, taking alot of pressure of Longshore and giving him man to man coverag for his recievers as I find it hard to imagine Fulmer will settle for anything less than 7 in the box to try and shut down the best running back in the nation. Not only does Lynch have the strength of a Michael Bush, he has the moves of a Ronnie Brown. He is ridiculous, and backing him up is the closest thing the Pac-10 has to Reggie Bush in Justin Forsett. This is plain and simple 2 programs going in opposite directions, and although the loss of Mixon scared me a bit, it obviously didnt alter the linemakers minds as the line hasnt moved a bit. Not when you got DT Brandon Mebane, CB Daymeion Hughes and LB Desmond Bishop, who all are among the nations best at their respective positions, and if they played in a conference like the Big12 or SEC, they would all be hands down 1st Team All Americans. I can write all the info in the world for liking this play and for why im playing a unexperienced QB getting only 2 points @ one of the nations toughest venues, but this is a Tenn program that arguabley might be worst that last years squad. Fulmer is washed up, and Cal has the sour taste of USC in their minds from years past, and know that a win vs the Trojans wont mean squat if they start the season 0-1 vs a Tenn team that isnt 1/4th as good as it was just a few years ago. I wouldnt be suprised to see a key Vols player arrested in the 10 days until the game. However, ive said enough about this game, the Golden Bears will do the talking on the field on Sept 2nd, and Lynch will begin his Heisman campaign with a dominating game vs one of the nations top programs from years past, in one of the toughest venues in America. Have not felt this confident about a game in a long, long time. The fact that so many people love Tenn to win this one and show the world th PAC 10 "is inferior" and that coming into a SEC 107k+ crowd will show those "surfer boys" what a good ol' southern ass whooping is, and how tough it is to play in the SEC (hence why its "so hard to go undefeated" in the SEC), makes me love this even more. Its almost like people will not accept a newcomer (they stil don't even accept USC as being dominant in its 2 title years, saying "easy conference" was why they achieved what they achieved. Reminds me alot of when USC was loaded with talent, talent that had really made an impact the previous year with Palmer, but now their has been some changes at the major positions, and Auburn was a 7 point dog in Leinharts first game. We all know how USC broke out that game, and this was an Auburn team that was SOLID with Cadillac Williams/Ronnie Brown/Jason Campell all in their jr years. Now we have a VERY similar Cal team, with a similar 1/2 punch at RB (both all conference, and Lendale/Bush hadnt even made it close yet), and a young QB with pure talent and a rocket arm coming in and not being given a chance in a SEC venue...Like I said, Tenn is NOTHING close to what Auburn was that year, and hence the lower line, but Cal is just as solid as a team as that USC squad, and most of these Cal players are the guys who have scared the lights out of USC everytime theyve played the last few years. I can go on and on and on and on about this game, and I MAY BE WRONG, I may be VERY WRONG. But with all that I have read and capped, I truley feel this is the best game I will find in terms of value in the entire first month.
LOSS -2.2 UNITS2.) Miss St. +6 --- 2 UNITS (upgraded to 2)
Sure a Spurrier offense vs a lame MSU offense looks like a blowout on paper. But MSU has just enough playmakers to move the ball down the field for a couple scores. What makes me love this home dog is th Dawgs D. They are up their as one of the SEC's top defensive units and will be the difference in a very close, defensive game. Line opened up at 42 and has been pounded down to 38 by the sharps, showing me that Vegas sees a low scoring affair and I will take a TD in a game that very well could end 17-14. Would be a 2 unit play if I caught it at 7, but the ill take this ferocious Dawg D with 2 field goals.
TAILING SUPERBEAR ON THESE 3:
3.) Akron +16 --- 1 UNIT
4.) Florida St. +3.5 --- 2 UNITS
Miami is washed up. Wright had a solid soph season last year leading the league in TD's and 2nd highest rated passer in the ACC as well, but Florida St is coming in with the amazing speed at D as usual, but now has a potent offense to complient an NFL caliber defense. Weatherford throw for over 3000 yards last year and had 21 total TD's, and the fact that he got down and dirty and alos threw 18 int's makes me like him even more, as it takes errors and mistakes to make a great QB, because he learns from it and becomes an even better player. Booker is back as well and now has the starting job all to himself and he will definatley take advantage of the fact that he no longer has to split his time with Washington and
WIN +1 UNIT5.) Central Michigan +13.5 --- 1 UNIT
If you all don't remember Gman talking about this team 2 years ago, let me fill you in. CMU was able to lure Brian Kelly, the most succesful Div II coach in the nation, to come and develop one of the worst teams in th nation. Gman talked about the discipline and offensive mastermind Kelly was and how within a few years he would have CMU at the top of the MAC. Well the bold prediction has slowly looked to come true. CMU comes off its first winning season in 3+ years and will be one of the suprise team in the nation. Kelly's original recruiting class are now seasoned juniors and seniors and are ready to make the hiring of Kelly seem as brilliant as it was once anticipated. BC will be looking ahead to Clemson and def will rest its players if they get a sizeable first half lead. Def can see CMU keeping this game close the whole way through, especially with suprise recruit Ontario Sneed back with a solid season under his belt in with a frosh All-American ranking by Rivals.com. He will carry the load for a CMU team that lost alot of key players on both side of the ball, including Kent Smith at QB (8 school passing records), but Brian Brunner has shown signs of life throughout the spring and although nobody sees CMU winning more than 5 games this year, I think the impact of the Brian Kelly hiring will finally come avail this year. Def a live home dog.
ADDED FOLLOWING:
6.) BYU + 7 (bought 1/2 pt, -120) ---- 2 UNITS
All MWC QB in Beck and also in RB Curtis Brown. Improved defense compliments what will be one of the most explosive offenses in the NCAA. Bronco Mendenhall has rebuilt quite a powerhouse @ BYU and though they might be a year away from consecutive 9-10 win seasons, they definatley have rebuilt a much better squad than Stoops has in Tucson. Stoops is still a few key position players away from building a PAC-10 powerhouse, and inexperience at Running Back will put alot of pressure on Tuitama in his sophmore season. The most experienced RB on AZ's depth chart is Chris Hentry with 34 total carries in his career.
7.) USC -8 --- 1 UNIT
Alotta top PAC 10 cappers on this one, low line because of the departures of Leinhart/Bush/White, but are we forgetting the fact that Carroll had the top recruiting classes in consecutive seasons, a coupl years ago? USC wins by 24+
8.) Wake Forest -16 --- 1 UNIT
Syracuse is worst big confernce team in the nation, bar none, and Wake Forest is a program on the rise. When did we ever imagine WF being almost a 3td fav over a conference foe? The line is high for a reason, and based on what ive seen from Syracuse, I may even double up on this one. Barclay is gone, but Jr. Micah Andrews is as fit as a succesor as coach John Grobe could ask for. while only having half as many carries as Barclay last year (119), he had a higher ypc with 5.9 (compared to Barclay's 5.6 on 236 carries) and has the experience to make the best of his promotion to starter. With WF returning 4 veteran starters to its O-Line, and arguabley the best WF squad in the last decade, look for WF to com out firing in this game with a 27+ blowout, and on its way to a 5-0 start if it can get passed Ole Miss (who is noting to brag about)...they go at least 4-1 to start their first bowl bid campaign in years, and ill l friendly wager that prop anytime.
9.) Nevada +11.5 ---- 1 UNIT
LOSS -1.2 UNITS 10.) 7 Point Teaser (CanBet -120) --- 1 UNIT
1. Wash. St +21
2. Eastern Michigan +11.5
11.) Wash St +14 (CanBet) --- 1 UNIT
PUSH 12.)Buffalo -6 --- 1 UNIT
Already had this one in, forgot to post it...Buffalo has an impressive young kid at RB, though they lack team speed, theyve got the talent on both sides of th ball to beat a crap team like Temple...Vegas has a 1-win team favored by 6, on game day, they will show us why...gl
13.) 0.65 UNIT PARLAYto/win 1.79 UNITS (Canbet)
1. Utah St. +12.5
2. UTEP/SDSU UNDER 50.5 (AR182 cotail)
Was gonna play each game for a unit, but im well over my max of 10 plays for the week. so used some bonus money I got from CanBet that I had left over to parlay a couple of solid bets. First off going with a really strong capper I know (not from the forum) who has won a "play of the week" competition in a local tourney we have yearly here. He has Utah St. as his play of the week, and even has them as his upset special on the ML..so def worth a shot IMO, especially with a Wyoming team that has drastically gone to crap after a big bowl win over UCLA in '05...my other let of the parlay is a co-tail of the $ maker himself AR182...if I win some of my earlier Thurs games, gonna add another unit to this Under...but he got it at 52 and it has been pounded down to 50.5, so if the line stays decently close to what I got it at, I will be playing this for a unit. If it goes back up to 52, gonna throw 2 units on this one. For now its just a play in a small parlay...
14.) Ole' Miss -3 (-114) ---- 4 UNITS (local)
Ogregron offense this year is highlighted by 2 star TRANSFERS. Schaffer who left Tenn after he saw that he was to Ainge, what Zwick is to Troy Smith at Ohio St: the difference, however, is Schaeffer made the big move to transfer to a smaller SEC school where he knew he had the "big time recruit, who went to the wrong school at the wrong time" portfolio and knew at Ole Miss he most likely would get the starting nod, barring any unlikely breakout players at the position. His move payed off, as Schaeffer showed he was in fact a top notch player that he was recruited as, and ran the scout team last year for the Rebels with great success since the first day he put on a Ole Miss practice uniform. With th way things have panned out at both Tenn and Ole Miss, Schaeffer may have actually made a move that Tenn could regret, since Ainge has not come close to playing to the "next Peyton' hype that surrounded him. That wasnt the only key acquistion for Oger, he also brought in what many consider the best running back that nobody knows about in Benjarvus-Green Ellis, who has the tools and talent to be one of the conferences best backs. The tandem has made alot of noise in Rebel country, and add to the fact that the defense is led by the best LB in the SEC (a LB'ing cor that many consider as good as any in the conference, up their with Florida, and with a young but talent-infatuated DL led by one of th nations best DL coaches, this very well could be a big year for the Rebs. With Memphis, you have a team that made some noise last year, but that noise was a reflection of the overwhelming success of De'Angelo Williams, who is backing up DeShaun Foster in Carolina, and very well could get the starting nod by midseason...on the other hand, Memphis is left with a pretty well rounded squad, but no playmakers on either side of the ball, and a line that reflects the fact that Ole Miss as a unproven team, ill take the more talented squad with the better coach, at home.
15.) Nebraska -21 (-120) ---- 4 UNITS (Local)
16.) 6 Point Teaser --- 1.2 Units (+100/Canbet)
1. CAL +7.5
2. S.Carolina/Miss. St. UNDER 46 --- W
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...spurrier at Miss St w/o Joe Lee and only <-7...got me again. :scared 
