Week 1 Card(Aug 28th - 30th)

Irish

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South Carolina (-12.5) over NC St
Week one is always fun considering all the talk you hear verse what you see. The gamecocks are looking put the peices together this season and make a push. 6-6 is not what the boosters were thinking when the Ol Ball Coach came into town. Hell any guy that gets a free membership to Augusta should not be around the 500 mark. QB problems have been the issue over the past few seasons. I never like to play my money on a guy named SMELLEY but he looks to have the edge as the starter after Garcia was suspended in the off season. No Cory Boyd will be a little problem but they have a few guys that should step in and take the load. Mike Davis is the senior and should have the best understanding of the system but freshman Baker and Morris have talent and it will be hard not to give them some playing time. The best talent on SC is at WR and of that group Kenny McKinley is the best. The WR's all have speed but McKinley is the best catcher and should be the go to guy. The SC wide outs will have their hands full with the strong point of the NC St defense which is at defensive back Morgan and Gray. Where the gamecocks will make plays is in crossing routes vs zone coverage. ALL new linebackers for the pack will be hardpressed to watch playaction and get deep enough to cover the middle. That will be where drives are kept alive and ccould be the difference in the game. With IMO less that termendous D-line talent the four returning players for SC should be able to give Smelley enough time to pick those zone coverages apart while the RBs out of the backfield should be an option. NC St on offense has a good weapon at RB but they have nothing around him. The line is all new and they have huge questions at quarterback. Even though the pack returns last years starter Evans it looks like a different player might get the start. The young QB and no line means the SC defense can play run and attack the backfield. The SC defense has a lot of speed and talent The secondary was ALL SEC so they can cover the passing attack by themselves and that frees up Jasper Brinkley to do whatever he wants. The SC defense returns 10 starters and Brinkley who I think is the life blood of that unit and in his return they will be strong up the middle and even better in getting to the QB. New Defensive Co should be very aggressive and I just do not think NC will be able to move the ball against them. This is a home game for the gamecocks and they should be looking to establish so momentum for another backloaded sched. A lot of speed and new specialteams co should give the gamecocks field position to make drives count. 12.5 is a good bit of chalk but the wolfpack just do not have the ability to stay with what Spurrir wants to do on offense and I do not think they will be able to move the ball on offense with the holes they have.

Vandy (+3.5) over Miami OH
I like Vandy ML but I will take the points. The commadors have size and power and that should be enough to move the redhawks off the line and open holes for Jennings. That running game will depend on replacing the entire offensive line which will be hard but can be done within the SEC. Average size this season for that line is 6-3 300lbs and that line is up against 6-2 250 average of the redhawk d-line. Miami oh has relied on defense over the past year but in this game it will not be enough. The redhawk offense led by Raudabaugh has a returning left side o-line, speed at WR and a good TE. That will be enough for miami to move the ball and score points. This will be a ground and pound game and it will be back and forth. Neither team looks like they can dominate so that leaves me with two thoughts. One is the home field advantage that big a deal, IMO it is not. And the SEC is a better football conference and they have shown that over the past seasons. Even though Vandy is not a top team in the SEC they still should have the edge in talent and with that edge and a FG I will play with the only thing that impresses me.

Good luck to you all this season

Cheers
Irish
 

Kramer

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kick off when Irish posts, GLTY Irish :00hour
 

Woodson

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First read NCAA post to start my 10th year here. Always appreciate your posts and look forward to a winning season!

Thanks Irish!
 

Irish

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Mich St (+4.5) over Cal
Rebuilding for Tedford in Cal is going to be a big problem. Last years weapons are gone and the starting QB is being replaced. I see the Bears looking to run the ball a lot through Best but Tedford is a guy that does not want to play that style of football. The bears are switching to a new defense and will try to use the ability of its players into a 3-4. This is a strong point for the Bears because they are deep in the LB spot. The secondary is speedy and can coverage but they lack the ability to tackle effectively and plays after the catch or open field tackles may be a problem for them. Those recievers will be tested in this game because Mich state has some players out wide. Dell and Curry are decent weapons and they have some freshman set to step up. The mich running game is going to make a lot of plays for them this year. Ringer is a good all around running back and now that he does not have to split carries he should get some of the attention he deserves. The spartants have a good QB, in fact he might be as good as Stanton was, he can make all the throws and also should have a big season. He will have some time considering they return a three year starter at LT, RG and return a center. The line is big and made up of upper classman, they will stabilize the line and give Hoyer time to throw. Dantonio has another year under his belt, he has some good players returning on defense and I expect the aggressive play the spartans flashed last year to be the theme all season. In this game the Spartant have all the upside and the points. They have returning skill players, and enough talent to win this game out right. The question mark in my mind is can the spartans keep up on the Bears speed. I do not think that speed will be enough in this game and the running game of the spartans overpowers the bears front 3 and now the 3-4 means Ringer will find holes and get to the second level. 3 or 4 yards per carry and they move the chains. Then is the Bears commit the LBs on Ringer the spartants QB can beat them running or throwing. I just do not think the bears are ready for this geame off last years poor season and the loss of so many key players.

Mizzou (-9) over Ill
IMO this is going to come down to Mizz defense against the Ill offense. The tigers return all but one player on defense. That defense was pretty good last season and with the experience they got they should only get better. Plus they do not have to contend with the Ill running game. Mendenhal not being at Ill will be a very big problem. Juice williams is not a drop back QB and he will not have the ability to hold off linemen with a play fake, so he will be running for his life. Not only did they loose the biggest weapon on offense but the o-line has questions and the defense has big shoes to fill. Zook has done a great job recruiting but I think with what they have lost and what happened to them against USC means they are not the team that beat OSU in the shoe. Chase Dainels has to replace so aspects on offense but they have Maklin and that will be a strong enough threat at WR to keep the secondary away from the new running back. Mizz has the offensive ability to light the scoreboard up as they did on many occasions last season and I just do not think the Illini defense can keep them from doing that again in this game. This game is in St.L so I have to think even though Ill will have fans there this will be a black and gold crowd. The ability of the offense, the talent on offense and the screaming advantage on defense will allow me to lay this amount against a ranked team in week one.

Wake (-12.5) over Baylor
Everyone is over looking Wake because they really do not have the it factor. In the ACC it is Clemson and VT but it could easily be the deamon decons. Remember even though Gobe has a lot of holes to fill he redshirts almost EVERY incoming player and that means all these juniors, and sophmores have been in the system for a long time. The reason I mention that is because about 95% of the starters for Wake this season are seniors and juniors. That translates into 6th year seniors and seniors in his system. The Wake defense is back loaded because they return all the LB's and secondary. They have a lot of returning talent on defense and that should be key going into Baylor week one. I think Baylor will struggle because they have a new head coach and new system. This system does not have the pieces in place for spread no huddle that he wants to run. It will be interesting to see if Miami transfer Freeman gets the start. He is the best option for running and passing on that team. Still other players have been impressive this spring and I wonder what Briles is going to do. Baylors defense allowed over 400 yards per game and gave up over 37 points per game. That means even with a new head coach the players are not there to make the difference and Wake will take advantage. Plus there is nothing better to see that a new coach trying to encorporate a spread passing attack against a returning upper class secondary. I think the deacons have the edge in every catagory except field location and if the Deamons start early they can take that away from the Bears as well.

Cheers
Irish
 

ajoytoy

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gl this season Irish...Pack starting a redshirt frosh...hope its not too bad of a killing
 

Irish

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Org St (-3) over Stanford
Question marks, that should be the new team nickname for Stanford. Four QBs competed in spring for the starting nod, WR are not known and there is a small question at running back. Kimble is the guy at running back but Gerhart is coming along nicely. The line is also dependable giving Stanford the ability to run the ball but will that be enough against Org st. That Stanford offense will be up against a brand new starting line for the beavers. All starters up front are gone but they have players to take their place and even though they were tough last season they still should be able to get to the QB this season. Thats pretty scary considering they are all new on the line but they are also all new at linebacker. :scared However they have a ton of talented players ready to break into the starting line-up and make a name for themselves. All new front seven is tough to play but the beavers have a realiable secondary to fall back on. Replacing the defense is a test but that is not why I like this game. The beavers have a lot talent returning on offense to make a statement in this game. Both QBs have started games and they have a dependable line and speed at WR. Will McCants be able to make the beaver faithful forget about Benson? IMO he will be able to find open space because they have depth at line and the wide recievers will open up space for him. Sammie Stroughter comes back this season and thats big for the beavers. Not only is he a good WR but he is an energenic player and team leader. He should be a big boost to the line up this season. That offense has a tough test because Stanford returns a ton of players from last season. The big question is how those players will handle the new system because the defensive Co bolted to Mich. I am sorry I am not ready to drink the Stanford Cool-aid, yes they play VERY well at home with 3 of their 4 wins at home. Still they lost last season 23-6 to org st and I think the Cards just do not have the speed to play with a team like Org st. Both teams will come in focused and ready and that means the better team should win and IMO thats Org st. They have been the better team over the last few seasons and they are building a good base for winning. I think the key is the rebuilding Org st defensive front vs the strength of Stanford which is the o-line. I think the players for Org will come in and play like last year considering the coaching staff has these players in very high regard. The question is college game experience and this will be a big test. This teast will be where org st is challanged but the offense takes some of the pressure off them by not going 4 and out often. The spread offense, the overall skill position speed and the ability of proven wide recievers to make plays should keep drives moving. Plus the big offensive line, should oipen some holes for the new running back to make plays.

Col (-11) over Colorado St
Don't let anyone know but watch out for colorado this season. Even though they are replacing 3 starters on the offensive line they have some big road graders set to step in. Those beefy boys along with the #1 running back recruit means the running game should be something to look out for in boulder. Not to mention they return the coaches son at QB and the best options are at wide reciever. Two all americans lead the defensive front and they have speed which should be something all teams notice when they see four or five guys in on alot of tackles. This is year three for Hawkins and now is the time you should start to see some major improvements in the teams performance. The guys he wants on the field have been in the system and should start to see major playing time. If the Hawkins era is going to be one to remember it should start soon. Rivalry game, spotting 11 is trouble with a capitol T but I just have to think the Buffs start the season off trying to rebound the late blow ups. Colorado has one concern going into this game... the rams running game. Both Bell and Johnson are solid, PLUS they retun pretty much the entire o-line. Trouble at WR and QB means Hawkins will have 8 men in the box and maybe more. I like the two all americans to jam the middle while the linebackers and safety cover the outsides. Shutting down the running game will stop the Rams offense and by doing that they stop the Rams from hitting the score board. I like that defense to stop the running game but I like Colorado to really show dominance running the ball. Col St allowed 200 yards per game rushing, That will hurt them in this game and I want to see the freshman come in and take the starting job, the only thing holding him back is the lack of game experience. He can get in there and show Boulder something special while taking over this running attack. That will make it a little easier for Hawkins not to have to win games on his own and by doing that you will see shades of what Hawkins did in Boise and how things should turn in Colorado.

Cheers
Irish
 

PocketAces

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Good luck this year. Thank you for taking the time. Win or lose, with you or against you, I value your opinion.
 

Irish

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Small play
M-OH/Vandy UNDER (7.5) 1st quarter

Just a little play based on these teams coming out a bit blown out after all they are the first game for both, on TV and both need help on offense.

Gentlemen.... thank you for the kind words and good luck to you all this season. I raise this glass to you all!

Cheers
Irish
 

Irish

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SMU (+3.5) over Rice
Last year this was a 1 point game and that was before the wide open Jones offense came to SMU. Rice returns the talent on offense, they are the home team and a new attitude. This coach has 49 players in spring two years ago, this spring he had 80 so I think they at least have the team going to right way even if the record doesn't show it. However I like Jones and Justin Willis. Now Willis is a scrambler with a nice deep ball, tell me what fits a jones system better than that. The SMU o-line is a question mark but then again the pass protection is not the hardest to teach and they have some freshman that could step in early. Both teams do not really impress me on defense, both giving up over 400 yards per game last season and over 300 per game in the air. One advantage I do like is in the punting department for SMU, they have a punter that averaged 44 yards per kick and that means they should be alright in the field position battle. Not that it should get to that because these defenses are just bad. IMO the only way a team is stopped twice is because of mistakes or beating themselves NOT because the other team shuts them down. Another reason why I like Willis because if things breack down he can tuck it and run. Plus with Willis in trouble all spring he got to learn the system but Turner and Miller got to practice it so all should have an idea of what is expected if they are in there. Still I like Willis, but I will think Jones knows guys that can lead behind center. Granted his QB's are not studs in the NFL but they can light it up in college and Willis should be the next guy for him. Facing no defense, SMU with new hope and a scrambling qb will get me on the ponies with some points.

Okie St (-7) over Wash st
I am not sure if people realize what wash lost when they lost Brink. He was quietly one of the best QBs to play for Washington st stat wise. That is going to be very tough to replace ESPECIALLY with eastern washingtons coach. Yes the no huddle is cute but not this year with a QB that never saw action. They have a good Running back that should get a ton of carries against a young Okie st defense. What I like about the cowboys is the experience in the secondary. They have a lot of talent in the coverage unit and that allows guys to play more aggressive with linebackers. What I like is the 6 JUCO players they brought in to make strides on defense, these players should get playing time and make an impact early. They lost some leadership and talent but if the guys they got tto play early step up the players that are gone will be forgotten soon. Robinson is a good QB and he has a good o-line and speed at WR. Question mark is at running back, Kendall Hunter was an attention grabber as a freshman in his time on the field but how will he handle full time duty. He should get help from the passing but I like what Pettigrew brings to that team, he is a good target, soft hands and will bea reasons LB's cant just blow by him and attack RB. He can make a team pay by slipping off a chip into the passing route and that should be something that springs open in this game. Between Pettigrew 6-5 and Davis 6-6 the redzone jump balls should go the way of the cowboys. Seven is a good bit of chalk but I like what Okie brings to the table on offense and in pass coverage. I do not like the loss of Brink for Wash st and a new coach with a 53-40 record in a smaller school.

Pitt (-13) over Bowling green
I am almost tempted to stay away because I think Pitt should kill this team. They are home, nothing special on deck, return all skill positions and another year of Wannstedts recruits. Bowling green was 8-5 last season... but they played no one, Mich st, BC and Miami were the teams of highlight and they lost to all three. Not to mention the bowl game where they were flat out whooped by Tulsa. I just don't see how they stay in this game, unless Pitt beats themselves but in week one at home I can't see it. McCoy should have a big game against this smaller defense. The Pitt line is the question but they do not need true answer this week because they should be a notch above BG. I also like the speed on defense for Pitt to cause turnovers and sacks all day. Just too much for Pitt and IMO not enough for BG even behind the returning players they have. I would think Pitt would be able to score with some ease and stop what BG is trying to do all together.

Smaller plays

USC (-19.5) over UVA - cross country travel, UVA lost a lot of leadership USC looking to make an example of them. Speed will be too much.

ECU (+9.5) over VT - VT loses a ton on defense, Glennon is rubbish and redshirting Taylor means they have no option when things go south. Running game and O-line was poor last season. Best WR are gone and they have a lot to replace. They have enough to do it but ECU is a team that has made strides under Holtz. giving them 9.5 at home is something I have to like.

Clemson (-4.5) over Bama - I am going with my gut here, this is gonna say a lot for the SEC/ACC conference. I like the SEC bec ause they are tougher (IMO) but Clemson is considered the cream of the ACC this season.

Fresno (+5) over Rutgers - The bulldogs fear no road game, they came on of late and I have questions about Teel being the passer they need with Rice gone.

Tenn (-7.5) over UCLA - With all the injuries on UCLA I like the dean of students is playing slot reciever. I think both teams are banged up but I will take the team with an edge in talent and less injuries.

Mich (-3.5) over Utah
Rich Rod in his first home game at Mich.... So many questions but I think that factor plus the App St thing should motivate these guys. Motivate yes but I still don't think they have a ton of talent to fit Rods system.

Good Luck to you all
Cheers
Irish
 

AR182

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Pitt (-13) over Bowling green
I am almost tempted to stay away because I think Pitt should kill this team. They are home, nothing special on deck, return all skill positions and another year of Wannstedts recruits. Bowling green was 8-5 last season... but they played no one, Mich st, BC and Miami were the teams of highlight and they lost to all three. Not to mention the bowl game where they were flat out whooped by Tulsa. I just don't see how they stay in this game, unless Pitt beats themselves but in week one at home I can't see it. McCoy should have a big game against this smaller defense. The Pitt line is the question but they do not need true answer this week because they should be a notch above BG. I also like the speed on defense for Pitt to cause turnovers and sacks all day. Just too much for Pitt and IMO not enough for BG even behind the returning players they have. I would think Pitt would be able to score with some ease and stop what BG is trying to do all together

Good Luck to you all
Cheers
Irish


irish...

one of the reasons why i played pitt for this game is because they did a good job last year in defending the w. virgina spread offense when they beat wv on the road......


good luck
 
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Irish

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Wow... MSU just couldn't do it and Clemson what can you say...yuck.

Louiville (-3) over Kent
the boarder war, how will this game pan out without the stars of last year. Well the cards should have the edge on offense while the wildcats should be in better stead on defense. I like kragthorp as a coach and what he did at tulsa, Brooks had a good few years but I am not sure he has the players to make waves this season. l'ville always pays well at home and they should be up and ready for this game. The starting qb for louisville has game experience and that will help today. This will be a hard fought game but I like the offense , coaching and homefield to give the edge. the scary part is all the good player recruits for kent and if they reload they have some players. Louisvilles defense has just been bad over the last few years and without brohm can the outscore teams. My play is based on kent not being able to reload, and this battle goes to the more efficent offense and thats who I think has the edge. Considering that the I like the cards.

Cheers
Irish
 

trolln4walii

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Always, always enjoy stopping by to see what one of MJ's finest has to say. Appreciate your weekly input and always happy when we're on the same side of a game. With you on Louisville and Fresno this weekend. GL today and for a profitable '08' :toast:
 
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