Week 1

[Agent 0659]

Beginning BR $1,000 (0-0)

Saints at Colts:

Colts -6
50.5

Team records:
New Orleans: 10-6 SU, 10-6 ATS
Indianapolis: 12-4 SU, 8-8 ATS

New Orleans most recently:
When playing in September are 6-4
When playing on turf are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing outside the division are 5-5

Indianapolis most recently:
When playing in September are 9-1
When playing on turf are 9-1
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing outside the division are 9-1

A few trends to consider:
New Orleans is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Indianapolis
New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
New Orleans is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games on the road
Indianapolis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Indianapolis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Indianapolis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Indianapolis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games


Leaning to the Colts in this one minus the points. However, I would normally play against the defending champs in the first 4-5 weeks of a new season, especially one with a high powered offense like Indy.

Not so fast:nono: . Knowing this team as I do, I can't force myself to do it. They have a lot of character and drive, and I look for them to be as determined and sharp as ever. This team is full of poised professionals and I expect a great effort.

In the end, there are just too many question marks on this new O-line, as well as the defense. Indy lost a lot of guys!

The no fun league wants to start their season off with a bang. Why else would they put the 2 most exciting O's out there to start the year? They want a shootout, plain and simple! Neither team will be able to stop the other, it just can't happen! The only way this game stays under is if the fix is on. I can't remember the last time one of these high profile games went under, it just doesn't seem to happen anymore! National spotlight, game 1, blah blah blha, they all seem to try harder.

My 'numbers' came up with 38-27 Colts. But I'm laying off the side.

I'm going over 50.5 $33/30

Good luck to all and more plays to come!

FOOOOOOOOOTBALLLLLLLLLLL:00hour

 

[Agent 0659]

Chiefs at Texans:

Houston -3
38.5

Team records:
Kansas City: 9-7 SU, 8-8 ATS
Houston: 6-10 SU, 7-9 ATS

Kansas City most recently:
When playing in September are 4-6
When playing on grass are 6-4
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing outside the division are 5-5

Houston most recently:
When playing in September are 2-8
When playing on grass are 6-4
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing outside the division are 3-7

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games
Kansas City is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Kansas City is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
Houston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
Houston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Houston's last 12 games at home


Who fawkin knows?!! Matt Schaub:shrug: Herman Edwards:shrug:

My work up was 20-20 and adjusted to 20-17 Texans after all factors were entered. Just too many questions in this game, unless something changes I'm going to pass.


NO PLAY

 

[Agent 0659]

Broncos at Bills:

Broncos -3.5 (73%)
37


Team records: (Last year)
Denver: 9-7 SU, 5-11 ATS
Buffalo: 7-9 SU, 10-6 ATS

Denver most recently:
When playing in September are 7-3
When playing on turf are 4-6
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing outside the division are 6-4

Buffalo most recently:
When playing in September are 2-8
When playing on turf are 4-6
After being outgained are 3-7
When playing outside the division are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
Denver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing at home against Denver
Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Buffalo is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games

My work up was 24-20 Bills. :shrug: Again, lots of questions in this one. I like this Bills team, and I think they win this game!

Buffalo ML $20/32
Parlay Buff +3.5 & over 37 $30/75

 

[AR182]

hey agent...

haven't looked at the nfl yet...(college football is very time consuming)....

keep the info coming...

good luck with you plays this week & for the upcoming season...

 

[Agent 0659]

hey agent...

haven't looked at the nfl yet...(college football is very time consuming)....

keep the info coming...

good luck with you plays this week & for the upcoming season...

Thanks man! Had 7 winning years in a row and got hurt last 2. Changing things up completely and getting back to the fundamentals.

I will stick to tailing guys like you, Hawkeye, Titus, Fla, etc in College and concentrate on NFL.

GL!!!:00hour

 

[Agent 0659]

Pit at Cle:

Pit -4.5 (85%)
37 (public under!)

Team records:
Pittsburgh: 8-8 SU, 7-8-1 ATS
Cleveland: 4-12 SU, 7-8-1 ATS

Pittsburgh most recently:
When playing in September are 5-5
When playing on grass are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 3-7
When playing within the division are 5-5

Cleveland most recently:
When playing in September are 2-8
When playing on grass are 2-8
After outgaining opponent are 2-8
When playing within the division are 1-9

A few trends to consider:
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Pittsburgh is 6-0-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Cleveland
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
Cleveland is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Cleveland is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games

How much has Cleveland improved, that is the question. I think a lot, but probably not enough to overcome the again healthy Steelers and their 'new' offense.

I came up with 23-16 Steelers, not enough to warrant a play either way. I may however, use the Steelers ML in a parlay later.

 

[AR182]

agent..

what are the numbers in red ?

is that the % of betting that team ?

thanks

 

[Agent 0659]

Tennessee at Jacksonville:

Jacksonville -6.5
37.5

Not many bets in yet, but so far we have a public underdog. 74% at this point on Ten. This is always an interesting phenomena. Combine Jax axing Leftwich with the Vince Young lovers and I guess that's what you get. It will be hot in Jax but both teams should be used to that.


Team records:
Tennessee: 8-8 SU, 11-5 ATS
Jacksonville: 8-8 SU, 8-8 ATS

Tennessee most recently:
When playing in September are 3-7
When playing on grass are 7-3
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing within the division are 5-5

Jacksonville most recently:
When playing in September are 7-3
When playing on grass are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing within the division are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 5 games on the road
Tennessee is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Tennessee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Tennessee is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Jacksonville is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home
Jacksonville is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games at home


My numbers came up with a high scoring affair:shrug: and the total of 37 looks low! I have Jax eeking out a 3-6 point win, but I have this game played in the low 50's total wise. 37 is THE key number in totals, but I look for that in the early 3rd quarter. As long as these two coaches don't go conservative on me, I think it's good.

Over 37 $33/30

 

[Agent 0659]

agent..

what are the numbers in red ?

is that the % of betting that team ?

thanks

Correct. Not a huge amount of bets in yet, and I realize Joe public hasn't made his move. But I will be noting anything over 70% on a side or total.

 

[Agent 0659]

Carolina at St. Louis:

St. Louis -1 (78%)
42.5 (76% over)

Team records:
Carolina: 8-8 SU, 6-9-1 ATS
St. Louis: 8-8 SU, 9-7 ATS

Carolina most recently:
When playing in September are 5-5
When playing on turf are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing outside the division are 3-7

St. Louis most recently:
When playing in September are 6-4
When playing on turf are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing outside the division are 6-4

A few trends to consider:
Carolina is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games
Carolina is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing St. Louis
Carolina is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 7 games at home
St. Louis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
St. Louis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home


I worked up a high scorer here, with the Rams taking it 30-23. But I'm not so sure:nono: This just looks like one of those games that leave you scratching your head. Can't put my finger on it, call it a hunch, intuition, experience, shit for brains. But whatever it is I'm gonna bet it!

Carolina +111 $30/33
Under ?42.5? $33/30

I'm going to wait on this line to go up a little more, but it will be a play.

 

[Agent 0659]

Philadelphia at Green Bay:

Philly -3 (82%)
43.5

Team records:
Philadelphia: 10-6 SU, 8-7-1 ATS
Green Bay: 8-8 SU, 7-8-1 ATS

Philadelphia most recently:
When playing in September are 8-2
When playing on grass are 7-3
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing outside the division are 4-6

Green Bay most recently:
When playing in September are 3-7
When playing on grass are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing outside the division are 3-7

A few trends to consider:
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Green Bay
Philadelphia is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Green Bay
Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Green Bay's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Green Bay's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Green Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Green Bay is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia


For some strange reason, I have had success in the past playing Eagles games. I have seemed to have a decent read on Andy Reid. :shrug:

I worked up a grinder of a game 20-16 Eagles. Who knows what Favre will do?:SIB In any event, I'm playing

Under 43.5 $33/30

 

[LetsMakeMoney]

gl this season agent :toast:

 

[MonkeyPants]

Love Buffalo....I'm jumping on that ML....thanks agent!

 

[Blackman]

Hey just curious where you're getting those %'s from, they are very interesting for this early.

 

[Agent 0659]

Thanks for the well wishes guys. Hope it hits for us MonkeyPants.

Blackman, getting them from a site I pay for.

 

[Agent 0659]

Atlanta at Minnesota:

Minnesota -3 (77%)
36

Team records:
Atlanta: 7-9 SU, 7-8-1 ATS
Minnesota: 6-10 SU, 7-9 ATS

Atlanta most recently:
When playing in September are 7-3
When playing on turf are 3-7
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing outside the division are 4-6

Minnesota most recently:
When playing in September are 6-4
When playing on turf are 4-6
After being outgained are 3-7
When playing outside the division are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Atlanta's last 9 games
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games
Minnesota is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Minnesota is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Atlanta


My original work up come out 20-19 Minnesota. But these 2 teams have changed quite a bit. What I saw of Joey Harrington under Patrino impressed me. I really like this coach! I'm gonna ride this Falcon train little in the beginning as the feel good story. I'm calling it 24-20 Atlanta. But gimme the points!

Atl +3 $33/30
Over 36 $33/30

 

[Blackman]

.

Blackman, getting them from a site I pay for.

Thanks Agent, really appreciate the info. Best of luck this year.

 

[Agent 0659]

Miami at Washington:

Washington -3
35 (public under!)

Team records:
Miami: 6-10 SU, 6-10 ATS
Washington: 5-11 SU, 6-9-1 ATS

Miami most recently:
When playing in September are 4-6
When playing on grass are 5-5
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing outside the division are 5-5

Washington most recently:
When playing in September are 5-5
When playing on grass are 4-6
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing outside the division are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games
Miami is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
Miami is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games
Washington is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games
Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

Another who knows game. Trent Green of old or old Trent Green? Miami has some serious weapons, but will they use them? In no way shape, or form can I bring myself to bet on Washington. :nono: I worked up a 21-17 Miami win, but I'm just going to PASS on this one.

 

[Agent 0659]

Thanks Agent, really appreciate the info. Best of luck this year.

Get my email from Jack if you want and I will email you the info....

 

[Agent 0659]

New England at New York Jets:

New England -6.5 (81%)
41 (83% over)

Team records:
New England: 12-4 SU, 9-7 ATS
New York: 10-6 SU, 11-5 ATS

New England most recently:
When playing in September are 7-3
When playing on turf are 9-1
After being outgained are 7-3
When playing within the division are 7-3

New York most recently:
When playing in September are 5-5
When playing on turf are 6-4
After being outgained are 7-3
When playing within the division are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
New England is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
New England is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
New England is 8-1 SU in their last 9 games when playing NY Jets
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of the NY Jets last 13 games at home
NY Jets are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games
NY Jets are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games
NY Jets are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games at home


Wow! Do the Patriots really look this good? This team really has me worried from the standpoint of being a Colts fan. Will the Rodney Harrison suspension distract them at all? The J-E-T-S are a dam solid team, and very well coached. I have no doubt they will be ready for this one. But Chad Pennington:shrug: Thomas Jones:shrug: . I tried to find a reason to lay my $$$ on the Jets but I cannot do it. I got NE winning 23-20. This game is also a PASS for me.