Week 1

[airportis]

BG -3.5

BG returns nearly a whole team. Tulsa, not so much. Tulsa is going to have a lot of figuring out to do on defense. Lost something like 9 starters I believe. BG does lose big timer Chris Jones from the DLine who had 12.5 sacks last year, but the rest of the defense remains almost completely intact. And they were quite sound defensively last year.

Tulsa loses over 20 sacks from 3 of their front men on the DLine. And another 8.5 from departed LB DeAundre Brown. An inexperienced and undersized DLine is going to be up against it on the road in game 1 vrs. a team that likes to run the ball and control the clock.

Tulsa can score points, and I don't think BG would like to get into a shootout with them. I think BG will try and control the clock and grind away a win, wearing down the young inexperienced DLine. I also think Schilz for BG is going to have a much improved year at QB.

Like this play quite a bit and would look at the halftime line as well because I expect that DLine to get worn out.


GL everyone and heres to a profitable season for all :toast:

 

[LA Burns]

on the same page here airportis - Tulsa has been a successful program over the last decade and people remember that more than what they know about this year's squad - this is the # that jumped out to me most on this week's card - BG favored over Tulsa? i'll bite

gl - burns

 

[airportis]

on the same page here airportis - Tulsa has been a successful program over the last decade and people remember that more than what they know about this year's squad - this is the # that jumped out to me most on this week's card - BG favored over Tulsa? i'll bite

gl - burns

gl as well.

I see this as quite a big one.

 

[Bradjmad22]

Good luck Airportis! Tulsa is a big public play yet line moved towards BG on my site? I'm playing BG -3.5 as well for $200! Only play I'm making tonight

 

[airportis]

small lean towards Morgan St +33.5

they suck, sure, but Army isn't world class by any means. just last year they lost to Stony Brook, only managing 3 points.

Morgan St has known who they play week 1 all spring, all summer, and have had all the time in the world to prepare for the option attack they will see. I would think that with much prep time, you can really practice what you are going to see. It isn't the same as a 6 day turn around from facing a completely different offense the week before. Might be why the only team Army has beat to open the season since 2007 was Eastern Michigan, twice.

Morgan St also implement a new offense and will really try and spread the field. Army isnt known for defense so if Morgan St guys can get into space, could be difficult.

Not trying to build up Morgan St by any means because I am pretty sure they blow, but I think they are worth a look getting nearly 5 TD vrs a team that is really nothing special.

 

[airportis]

Cincy -10

This team never gets much respect. They return a good bit on offense, including Kay at QB who really bolstered the offense when he took the job from Legeuax last season. Another game with new guys on the sideline, so who will be ready? Purdue doesn't pose much of a threat in the pass game but could take advantage of a subpar Cincy secondary. Overall, I think Purdue will have some trouble on offense. They have some question marks and not a lot of experience. Hazzell is a good coach but taking his rebuilding project to Cincy against a team that firmly believes they can challenge Louisville for the Big East is going to be a tall task.

 

[Full court press]

Nice job pal :0074

 

[airportis]

Colgate +27.5

Colgate has one of the best QB in all of FCS. Defense is an issue, but Air Force is trying a different style of offense this year from what I understand. I think Colgate can score some points with the weapons they have, against a defense that isn't anything special.



Eastern Michigan -21

Saw this go from 16.5 to 16 and was waiting because I thought I'd get a better number. Then it shot up to 21. EMU isn't as bad as one would think. They have a stud for a RB and it is do or die time for Ron English. He needs a big improvement this season to keep his job. Starting off with a big win over lowly Howard will get things off to the start he wants.



Kentucky -5.5

Changes at the helm for both teams. Like the changes Kentucky makes. They will play both QB but Max Smith is a big time player and I think he will take the reigns and emerge as the clear cut starter. WKU loses the heart and soul of the team in coach Taggert, also lose their leader at QB. Anderson is a horse at RB but they will need more than a run game if Kentucky has success with their air raid attack.




looking at 2 more later

 

[airportis]

UTSA +3

UTSA made the transition to FBS nicely. They return a ton of their team last year and I think they take a step forward. Even a lateral step would match them up nicely with New Mexico who likes to run constantly. A lot of prep time to get ready for the Lobos rush attack also helps, IMO. Would not be a surprise to see UTSA win straight up.



UAB +4

Much like UTSA, would not be surprised to see the Blazers win this game. They return some serious skill players. Reaves is a very nice back and will top 1k again this year. They have a very nice posession WR in Williams, and a deep threat in Nelson. The Ark transfer could be dangerous as well. Really gives the Blazers a lot for teams to stop and takes away the decision to key on one guy. The QB battle was a good one but it looks like Brown will take the job, and after a decent rookie campaign, he will take some steps forward. This offense will be dangerous at times and with as inexperienced as Troy is, I think they will have fits all day trying to slow them down.

 

[airportis]

damn rollovers. would have been nice to stop after a 4-0 start, but rollovers must be met. will take a 6-2 start though. was a lot of opportunities to play teams that get a bit less respect than they should be getting. BG was a huge one, dont think theyll be getting undervalued by that much anytime soon.

UAB should have won straight up. they need to learn how to finish but should win some conference games this year. offense is potent.

EMU looked terrible. actually were outplayed by Howard the majority of the game. English needs to light a fire under his teams ass if he expects to keep his job. maybe he doesnt though. it is EMU after all.

Stoops is a shitty coach. Not sure why he prefers Whitlow to Max Smith but Max Smith is obviously the better passer. This team is going to get smoked in conference play.

 

[Jord20]

Solid stuff

 

[capping-guru]

Nice work:0074

 

[ejthree]

Good work,,

 

[airportis]

CSU/CU 2h o 24.5

Colorado let up what, 40 points per game last year? New coach now but I don't think he turned this defense 180 degrees over the summer.

CSU looks to blitz on every 3rd down passing play and the Buffs line has been picking it up. I think there are some opportunities for big pass plays by both teams. One of CSU TD was a busted play, but they have a stud at WR that CSU really hasn't done much a job of keeping in check.

Clean game for the 1st half as well, so always a chance of a turnover creating a short field.

These are not great teams but this is really the biggest game of the year for both teams as neither have much prospect of challenging in their respective conferences.

 

[Rusty40]

GL airportis went to 26 here I think I will just set this one out

 

[MadJack]

That was easy :0003

 

[airportis]

That was easy :0003

:toast:

 

[Four Corners]

CSU/CU 2h o 24.5

Colorado let up what, 40 points per game last year? New coach now but I don't think he turned this defense 180 degrees over the summer.

CSU looks to blitz on every 3rd down passing play and the Buffs line has been picking it up. I think there are some opportunities for big pass plays by both teams. One of CSU TD was a busted play, but they have a stud at WR that CSU really hasn't done much a job of keeping in check.

Clean game for the 1st half as well, so always a chance of a turnover creating a short field.

These are not great teams but this is really the biggest game of the year for both teams as neither have much prospect of challenging in their respective conferences.

Jumped along for the ride..bought a pt...muchas gracias and GL all year long :0008