Week 10 Card (Oct 28th - Nov 2nd)

[TontoKowalski]

Man I am with you on

Hawaii, Air Force and FSU... dont disagree with anything you got, just those 3 match my plays also

I was also with you on Mizzou but laying 20+ on the road scared me... if i do that it has to be against a team with no pulse at all, and Baylor at least has life, barely.

 

[Irish]

1AA action ESPN

1AA action ESPN

Thanks guys!

Wofford (ML) over App St
ASU looks to exact revenge from last season?s 42-31 setback at Wofford, which snapped the Mountaineers? Division I-best 17-game winning streak. BUT App St got the last laugh lifting the championship at the end of it all.

EDIT: 94% of the action at my book is on App St to cover the spread.

I am sure a ton of people that just want action on this game will put thier money on App after the press they got beating Mich last season. Public Darling IMO

similar looks:
Wofford
Presbyterian W 38-21
South Carolina L 13-23
Georgia Southern W 38-37 OT
App St
LSU L 13-41
PRESBYTERIAN W 48-14
Georgia So. W 37-36


Wofford Offense:
The nation?s second-ranked rushing offense at 348.86 average yards and the third ranked total offense in the nation with 480.43 average yards. The scoring offense is fourth in the nation, while the passing efficiency is second in the country.
Wofford Defense:
The rushing defense is 21st in the nation, allowing only 101.14 average yards, and the turnover margin is first in the nation

App St Offense:
Appalachian?s spread attack averages 244.4 rushing yards, 443.5 total yards and 36.8 points per game, good for sixth, seventh and ninth nationally, respectively.

Both teams should score and both tems have pretty good defenses but I have to think that this is going to be an unbelievable contest. First team to mess up might be out. I also like the ability of Wofford to generate turnovers which could be the difference.

Cheers
Irish

 

[sooners25]

Not the way I wanted to start the week....

Florida State (-1.5) over Georgia Tech
Now FSU is getting two points I took them again on the ML. This is a big test for the Navy offense run at georgia tech. Big issue is GT moving all american safety to CB for the remainder of the season. I think this is great because it takes a playmaker out of the flow of the entire defense and limits him to a sideline. The GT defense is fast but FSU has played solid fast defenses and the running game has been moving the chains and now they have found a solid answer at the QB position to hit on some key throws as well as scramble for big plays when his team needs them. I like the match-up of the FSU defense against the option offense. This is a good defensive unit and are quick to react to the ball. Gap assignments will be key but you know they have been practicing against it all week. In fact Thursday was the final chance for the Seminole defense to work against Paul Johnson's ground attack and the team spent 15 periods in shorts working on the final plans to not only face the Yellow Jacket offense but one of the nation's best defenses as well. I think FSU is ready for this game as they have gotten better all season and climbed their way into the top 25. GT offense is a bit overrated against good teams but they should be able to move the ball. The key against this GT offense is Rolle. He is a VERY good safety and he is quick to the ball, bringing him into the run will help blow up plays. FSU has the CB to stay close to one on one coverage allowing the LB's and Rolle to get into the option which will be a big difference.

Tulsa (-7) over Arkansas
This just comes down to Tusla is too good on offense and Arkansas is not a very good team this year. I am a little scared on how Tulsa will handle the size and power of arkansas but they should be able to hit quick hitters on them all afternoon. Tulsa brings a new wrinkle to the field that Arkansas has not played against this season and that is a no huddle offense which forces the defense to make quick decisions both during and between plays. This will be a big advantage against a team that really does not communicate well on the field and often gets burned out in series on defense. Tulsa has a good enough defense to make some stops against the hogs who will look to overpower them. Tulsa needs to run their offense and they will be moving too fast for Arkansas. I am not saying they are faster, b ut the tempo will be tough for Arkansas to stay with play in and out. Look for confussion and fatigue to cost the hogs a few blow coverages and tusla will take advantage.

Oklahoma (-22) over Nebraska
At home against a rival that is playing better right now but has been something awful against good teams. On average Oklahoma at home wins by around 20 plus points this season. The offense averages over 48 points, the lowest total this season was 35 to TCU in a game they won by 25. The best WR for Nebraska (IMO) Holt is out for this game so they lose one of those deep weapons which should hurt them in the passing game if this is a game of keep up. Against Mizzou they were man handled on defense and I am looking at that game as a key. I know against Texas Tech this team looked like they were a contender but that game is a little misleading. Nebraska grinded TT down all game, Nebraskas Possession Time 40:12 compared to TT 19:48 now in just under 20 mins Texas Tech scored 37 points! In the secon and third quarters the cornhuskers had the ball for over 10 mins each YET MANAGED 10 POINTS COMBINED! This game comes down to Oklahoma not looking past them in a rivalry game and they are too strong offensively to allow Nebraska to keep it a game. A ton of chalk but a game a one loss Oklahoma team wants to make a statement. I do not think Oklahoma will allow Nebraska to pick them apart like Texas did and in that case Bradford and the sonners WR put up too many for Nebraska to play the 5 yard out game they are into right now. Look at some film of nebraska and it is gross, they hit the bootleg option and 5-7 yard outs all game. They just sustain drives and eat clock till they make a mistake or get to the redzone and teams coverage gets tighter and then they fall apart.

Cheers
Irish

Irish- Do you know if OU's leading receiver Malcom Johnson is out this game? Not that it should matter due to the fact he was out vs K-State. I just wanted to ask since I saw you mentioned Holt was out for Neb.

Good luck this week

 

[Irish]

sooners25
yes I did know he was out but with the other talent around Bradford it is not as damaging as losing the best deep threat fro Nebraska. Thanks for the input boss, best of luck to you this weekend.

re-hit
WVU (-4) over UConn
ND (-5.5) over Pitt

Cheers
Irish

 

[Irish]

Going out and might not be around a computer top post so no time for write-ups:

Oregon (+2.5) over Cal
Big play based on the running game and I think Cal is a bit overrated. Should be a good game but I think the ducks are a better overall team. Oregon has a better o-line, Cal has QB issues, Oregon has solid defense and I do not think this Cal home field is enough for the bears to win this game. I like oregon to win outright but I like points in these tough games. Remember last season Oregon had the comeback spoiled from the fumble out of the endzone. revenge.

Georgia (+6.5) over Florida
Gonna have to take the points and reports are Tebow had a hyper extended knee the past two weeks. Superman is a fast healer but Georgia might pressure him on it. Georgia has play makers on offense enough to generate some points and keep it close. Nutral site so both teams have fans involved. I like Georgias defense, I think Florida has the edge in speed. I think Georgia has the edge at running back and Georgia's o-lined looked solid against LSU if they play that way again it could be a win for the bulldogs but Florida is pissed after what Georgia did to them last season.

small play
UVA (-2) over Miami
UVA at home is tough and I think they win this game and I think 2 points is solid value for this play.

If I get back tomorrow in time I will post more thoughts on Oregon and Georgia.

Re-hit
Wofford (ML) over App St
Line keeps dropping but money keeps coming in on App St??

EDIT: OMG, it got friggin bad this weekend. One of the poorest weeks I can remember.
The ball bounces funny sometimes but that was a real kick in the face.
5-14 on saturday





Cheers
Irish