Week 10... don't think

DZ

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Also, gimme Minny comin off a bye with wash traveling back home after big win in SEA. Love that the look ahead line moved down...perfect spot for the Vikes, which I have at 7/1 to win the divisions. I'll wait and take pk'em :mj07:
 

Penguinfan

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PIT/IND o44.5 10x

Can I get your thought process on this one? Steelers offense not as good as expected, Steelers defense better than expected. Indy offense is at least average without Luck and they are going against a very good, rested Steeler D. Can Indy put up 20 points here?
 

BigGaycapper

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Also, gimme Minny comin off a bye with wash traveling back home after big win in SEA. Love that the look ahead line moved down...perfect spot for the Vikes, which I have at 7/1 to win the divisions. I'll wait and take pk'em :mj07:

DZ, I don't know what to make of this Washington team. It's a team I follow closely because my family are big Redskin fans. They are loaded with talent, Reed top 5 TE when healthy (almost never but still) and Davis a fine #2 TE, Big speedy Wr's on the outside with Doctson, Pryor and now even Quick emerging last game and then throw in small speedy wr's Crowder (another injured player) and Grant great out of the slot and thats a handful of pretty good pass catchers. The backfield could use some help with no real runner standing out, Thompson is having a great year and is great in the screen game. I'm not a fan of Perine or Kelley but Kelley got the job done on the goal line a couple times against a pretty good defensive front in Seattle last week. Cousins is a serviceable QB, not worth what they are paying him in my opinion but a good game manager. He is a little too conservative for me, almost afraid sometimes to throw the deep ball. I don't like Gruden as a head coach at all, poor in game manager and doesn't seem to make many adjustments at halftime which sometimes cost them games.

On the defensive side of things I think the Skins are very underated. They have a great pass rush, above average LB's and a secondary with Hall back now that is scary in my opinion. Biggest concern for the Skins this week will once again be the O-line but if they get a couple guys back I'd be very careful backing the Vikings. I love your angle of off the bye week for Minny and travel back off a big win for Washington due for a let down but I can easily see either side winning this game and I'd rather back a home Cousins led team than a Case Keenum led team.

Respect all your thoughts and not trying to take you off a play that you like, just throwing out a few tid bits. With all that said I hope you cash all the plays you decide on, as always best of luck to you :0008
 

DZ

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Thanks for chiming in guys....I want to come back in a respond, but don't have the time right now. Just want to post this one since it's on the way down... got a good #, but like it at 47 too...

NO/BUF un47.5 5x
 

DZ

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One quick thing... I certainly jumped in on Indy/Pitt total too early as it has now moved down. Love how I have the power to move lines against myself :mj07:

I like it even more if you can get it at the key number of 43... I'll come back and explain more on that one later. For now, keep watching the line to see if it continues to move down. We'll see...

Quick thoughts...fast track in Indy, great spot for explosive Pitt O, esp passing game... Big day for Ben, Brown and co... Indy offense has been underrated the past few weeks and has performed well in 4 of last 5, with one shutout vs historically good Jax D. I think Colts can get 17 on the board and Pitt can take care of the rest...
 

DZ

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TNF Props

TNF Props

TOTAL o68?-105 A PETERSON RUSH YDS 5x
TOTAL o69?-120 A PETERSON RUSH YDS 5x
TOTAL u43?-135 T LOCKETT REC YDS 2x
TOTAL u44?-120 T LOCKETT REC YDS 5x
TOTAL u43?-135 T LOCKETT REC YDS 2x
TOTAL u3?-110 T LOCKETT RECS 2x <-- This may deserve a bigger bet
TOTAL o72?-120 D BALDWIN REC YDS 2x
TOTAL o69?EV D BALDWIN REC YDS 2x
TOTAL o6-105 D. BALDWIN RECS 4x
TOTAL u8?-120 A PETERSON REC YDS 2.5x <-- Also may deserve a bigger bet
 

DZ

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Plays tonight as follows...


MIA TT un7 1H (-120/-125) 4.9x to win 4x
TOTAL u41?-140 K DRAKE RUSH YDS 2.5x

Also, considering 1H under 19.5, but not sure if it makes the cut. If so, maybe worth a unit at -105, but no more.
 

DZ

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Plays tonight as follows...


MIA TT un7 1H (-120/-125) 4.9x to win 4x
TOTAL u41?-140 K DRAKE RUSH YDS 2.5x

Also, considering 1H under 19.5, but not sure if it makes the cut. If so, maybe worth a unit at -105, but no more.

Fuck! That prop was going perfectly until that stupid broken play. He looked like he was falling forward once he broke free. Drake is not exactly a smooth runner.... And I'm sure that would have easily been called back on holding or some other nonsense penalty if I had the over. Dammit!

Very unlike the Panthers to allow a long run like that and I still don't think the handicap was bad. :shrug:
Barely involved in the offense and on pace for maybe 20 yards before that.
 
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