week 10-first look

[pepin46]

allright, stop whining about the crappy game. i actually fell asleep at the close of the half, only to re-awaken just before the final fiasco. no surprise there either.

last week, at first glance i had two picks; this week, none. these look like they have potential for plays:

jets/miami

deja vu. once again, the jets get points, and once again beat miami? money line bet?

phil/dallas

surely this line can't go any lower, can it?
pending further research, dallas looks like the pick at 7, better 7.5.

seattle/buff

you have to be impressed with seattle. buffalo, well, what is there to say. looks like 3.5 is a gift for seattle.

chi/tampa ***
***except this one

every coach in the nfl probably knows how to beat chicago by now, that is, except dungy. he will probably stick to his usual game plan and have the game decided in the last minute. would not touch this one for anything.

san diego/oak

san diego on a roll, downhill that is. oak will have no mercy and hammer them at will. 9 looks cheap.

wash/denver

first, i must check that wash plays in the same league as denver, then, if they do, i may just take them.

detroit/ariz

detroit breaks maiden here and gets points to boot. look for this line to go the other way.

st louis/n.e.

game of the week for me, though not sure i will bet it. my heart and pocket has been behind brady, but the line is pretty realistic. i guess vegas is wise to n.e. as well. darn. another money line bet?

heard about the latest sports web site?

wishicouldbemadjack.com


pep

 

[pepin46]

update clev/balt

clev, balt and pitt are just about triple mirror images in their styles. none of them has any business giving the other 8 points, regardless of home advantage.

clev +8 looks like it will get one of my top spots for this week.


pep

 

[phoenix566]

pep, agree about Cleveland. that line 'jumped' out at me the most when i first saw the lines. my guess is it will move to maybe 6.5 by Sunday so probably best to jump on this one early.

 

[Senor Capper]

Brownies getting 8 ?
If I recall were they not 7 point dogs when they upset the Ravens earlier this year ?
Ahhh maybe thinking payback eh ?
HF Ad ?
8 is way too many
What ya think the moneyline would be ??
380 ?

I tried wishicouldbemadjack.com but kept getting "Fat Chance Error"



[This message has been edited by Senor Capper (edited 11-13-2001).]

 

[phoenix566]

i see Balt -400

I agree Ravens will have revenge on their mind.....but what about Cleveland thinking revenge for the past two years....brownies got what it takes to keep this game close imo....they may not win it in Balt but should make a game of it with their D....plus Balt coming off the 'emotional' win last night....i'll take the 8 points.

 

[PacMan]

Only one thing scares me about taking Cleveland. This time of year, the playoff teams tend to step it up a notch. I think Baltimore is the playoff team between the two. Cleveland has done outstanding, but I believe that won't last. I like the correlated teaser here, taking Cleveland +14 and under 39. I'll probably take the eight points too.

As far as New England, they shut down the Colts partially by dropping eight into pass coverage at times. I haven't had the time to figure how that will (or won't) work against the Rams. If you can figure out how that will work, that's the way to bet it.

Good luck.

 

[pepin46]

sr capper mentioned an article about clev ol being all screwed up, where they mention couch's 6 or 7 sacks last week.

clev should adjust here. this is not jj and marino. anytime you play run, run, long pass, one after another one, all game long, your qb is going to get killed. talk about making a defense look good and viceversa with the offense.

they found a way to beat baltimore earlier, almost beat chi and pitt, so i still like my chances here at +8. 3 would kill it for me, and 6 will make me think about it. also, their 12 points last week was well below their 20 or so points aver in the last 6-7 games. what is balt going to score here?

and who says clev is out of it?


pep

 

[PacMan]

pepin46 - I agree that Balt probably won't score too many. Considering they're -8 and o/u is 33, that means they should be o/u 20.5. I may take the prop bet on under.

Good luck.

 

[Senor Capper]

Went to pick-up AC's contest cards and seen GB -10 most places have em at 10.5 by now so I was going to parlay em up with the Brownies but seen the 49ers at 7 and so I said to myself "what no hook?" and took em instead.

Looks like Weinke might play Sunday if not Jim Harbaugh so that tells me why the hook was missing.

So lets review 2 of the favs to cover this week, shall we ?......

and

[This message has been edited by Senor Capper (edited 11-14-2001).]

 

[twofingers]

I think that Cleveland will be the best defense that the Ravens see this year. They are young, talented, and playing better each week. I see ravens having tough time getting into end zone.

Baltimore sure looks like they are falling into pattern of last year. They got a "lucky" TD against Tenn as Ismail should have been tackled after the pass was caught. Other then that, 3 FG's. Week before it was all FG I believe.

 

[BernieVegas]

Hey Pepin,
Tell me. Since Washington IS NOT in the same league as Denver are you ALL OVER the BRONCOS??? LOL LOL

Yours in Winners,
Bernie

 

[pepin46]

bernie

wash does not have much to show denver on film, which may work to their advantage.

this is obviously a big test for the "resurgent" skins, and they have no illusions at the moment, nothing at stake but pride, and that is just a bit dangerous. i am still not decided on my main selections, but wash is still in the running.

n.e. set the pace and basically had denver for most of the game until they blew a gasket, maybe wash can do it better.

in any event, there is one strong trend developing with wash, which is the plus margin ats and still widening. big plus here, as it indicates they have been way outperforming all expectations.

you know the joke: "just one more time before i go blind?"

pep