WEEK 10 situtaion plays and systems Fades

Scrapman

Rollingdembones
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Jan 6, 2013
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OK this one is tough we have the Giants who are notoriuosly bad after bye weeks

6W - 9 L 4w - 5 l vs non div w/ 2 s/u favored losses

on other side beware Raiders got that triple td beating 49 - 20 and they are healthy

BUT bad bets when playing in East early games Still i can see raiders hanging in 7 points

like who da fook are the giants to lay 7 points to any body except Jags or Buccaneers


suggest you go with dog here


Next is nfl system 100% for all teams when any team is .111 win % or less like Jags are 0-8 bet on them catching 6 points or more

Titans are better yes but really 12 points

Reason is rest does wonders for these puppies when late in season bye week like after week7 or 8 or 9

Also have to figure Titans lay low with huge div rival up next Indy. even tho Jags are div have to feel they aint going to hammer Jags and save for home game vs Colts

Same thing Colts - 10 vs Rams looking past to Titans but can Rams stop colts offense>



We Saw Luck struggle mightily @ texans thier div. rival so this a trap game for ponies off a div win where they had over come a huge DD loss to win by 3 points

Home pup Falcons + 6 1/2 ok they are reeling this year but you know Sehawks early east coast games is bad LEAN home dog too much talent on Falcons and Seahwks really got trapped vs Bucs

off two div wins then the huge dd chalk - 16 they came out Flat hey this si why YOU lose bets by not checking scheduels

Stay on home dog here Seahwks are good but this team is not like others !

Steelers - 3 vs Bills nuts huh ? nope rookie QB's 1st time at Steelers are win less 100% losers and this rookie QB for Bills is bad no wait a min Chad lewis had flu last week he's playing now i think

NOPE it's other rookie TJ manuel starting Lewis is back up

Steelers win this tilt huge Coach read them riuot act for allowing Pats to hit with 55 points worst ever in decades against steelers


but suggest wait n see how line moves expect to drop down to 2 1/2 or less felling squares bite the dog too hard


Packers - 1 vs Eagles YES whenever any Player or team creates history in game performance next game is a profile correction a downer reverse from last weeks results.

Packers D is not bad at all much more stout than last years now the back up QB has 3 quaters in game experience I say Packers win easy here.


49ers - 7 vs Panthers well folks every one thinks 49ers are flying high.

NOPE it was Jags last @ london who they truly wasted 30 points on winning 42 to 10 ok 28 10 would be a cover also

Watch Panthers D shut down colin and if he runs he better go out of bounds cause the CATS defense is far above what 49ers is !

Panthers + 7 is a Vegas screw up .

Take the Cats baby

Broncos rested - 7 @ Chargers YES SD lost as a DOG in OT and they will not resond this week no dog loser in ot has ever come back without rest

when playing a fully healthy team

Denver lays a beating to Rival 45 - 21

Cards - 2 vs the limping texans YES 100% yes Texans blew a huge 3 td lead at 1/2 vs colts and will suffer this week

Cardinals defense can stop that QB of texans.


Saints - 7 vs Cowboys NOPE Saints looking ahead to revnge playoff loss to 49ers Cowboys cover

this series Cowboys are 2-0 as a dog but 0-8 laying points Take the Boys


MON night need i say 100% system lock afde the Bucs baby a DD dog losing in OT is going to fall again Miami wins in a breeze


:0008
 

Scrapman

Rollingdembones
Forum Member
Jan 6, 2013
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112
63
south east PA
UPDATE on some of these plays PACKERS over 14 seasons are a putrid 1 W 9 L after a Bears LOSS

That Jaguars play i dont trust Jaguars to play like an nfl team if line goes below 12 to 11 take titans

Jaguars defense average allowed PPG is 33 they only average 11 PPG on Offense I was going to take Jags on the pool + 13 but thats not enough the system fails this week


adding Jags lost another WR to IR




Broncos - 7 @ Chargers i came up with a push So by the hook Broncos - 6 1/2

O U is 58 and i get way lower using all totals PF + PA both teams divided by total # of games played 17

= 57 however on defense side which i figure Chargers allow 22 PPG Denver allows 27 PPG

thats 49 if both offense take off it's way overs at 67 Denver wins 43 - 24
This is Broncos 2nd div game 1 st time with chargers Same for Chargers but the tilt is in Denvers favor they Beat Raiders blew cover - 15 points Chargers lost to Raiders @ Oakland - 6 points 17-27

NFL will drive you nuts at times it's easier to play games when teams are outside of division caught in sandwhiched trap off a DIV win

:toast:
 
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