Week 11 Card (Nov 10th - 14th)

[Irish]

Well I don't think it gets worse than last week. I am pretty sure going 0 for is the only worse thought. That being said lets start this week.

Cincy (-9.5) over WVU
This will be my biggest play of the weekend. Now remember I just got kicked in the junk by Houston last week. Still Cincy is a far better team than WVU. WVU is not even on the same level as Cincy or Pitt in the Big East. This game is away from home and WVU is a poor road team. Every statistical catagory is in favor of Cincy. They are more talented and better coached. They have a stronger defense and a far more unpredictable offense. Unlike WVU that is run right misdirection and run left misdirection and Brown scramble. The good news is the more you keep it in browns hands the better chance he fumbles it away or throws a pick. WVU averages 2 turnovers on the road, in fact WVU has not played a game all season without giving the ball over at least once. Louisville out gained WVU last game so what I see is TROUBLE cause the WVU defense is giving up over 400 yards per game on the road. WVU has won the last two in this series and you have to think Cincy will be ready to bring its A game. In fact when the bearcats were up 20 in the thrid you almost saw break lights on the offense. Both Brown and Devine are beat up, thats Great because Devine gets no fullback help so he takes a ton of shots. Brown he is just bad, not the answer for WVU at QB and will cost them in this game a few times. Cincy scores 40 plus in home games. WVU score 27. Even if that was not the story in this game what I like is Org St, Fresno, S.Fla, UConn all Cincy wins. SFla is a WVU loss, UConn win... other than that whats been the challenge for WVU?
WVU lost 30-19 to Sfla, Cincy beat SFla 34-17
Difference = Cincy +28
Louisville lost to WVU 17-9 and Cincy 41-10
Difference = Cincy +23
UConn WVU won 28-24, Cincy won 47-45
Difference = WVU +2
Cuse lost to WVU 34-13, lost to Cincy 28-7
Difference = SMASH
So Backing Cincy by numbers - 28+23-2-0/4 = 12
I give Cincy +3 for home field
I give Cincy +1 for being a better team

Just looking at common opp you have cincy covering the number. Add in my funky bonus and 16 plus! I think both teams show up but Cincy puts WVU in their place at home!

EDIT:
Pitt (-2.5) over Denver
Just not sold on denver offensively. Pitt can shut they down. Pitt can score on a tough defense. Not a ton of points but enough to get out of denver by the number.

Cheers
Irish

 

[spang]

Its not often that you see a team roll up 700+ yards of offense like the Bearcats did against UConn. I have to wonder if Cinci is not a better team with Collaros at QB. Don't know if you saw the game but the play when he quickly picked up the botched snap on a FG attempt and threw it out of bounds was just nothing short of brilliant. It's obvious that he has all the tools and is very heady to boot. I'm guessing that we get Pike back this week but not sure.

Like the play no matter who is back there as WVa has done little to impress the entire season.

 

[Irish]

I think Pike will be back too but the coach for Cincy said Collaros is the guy. Agree he is a VERY heady player and I like that he can take a few hits. Pike in there makes you think if a strong breeze comes in he may get blown over.

Spang... You have to think the wrong team is favored in that Ohio/ Bulls games? I am looking a little more at it but so far I think Ohio wins it.

Cheers
Irish

 

[spang]

I think Pike will be back too but the coach for Cincy said Collaros is the guy. Agree he is a VERY heady player and I like that he can take a few hits. Pike in there makes you think if a strong breeze comes in he may get blown over.

Spang... You have to think the wrong team is favored in that Ohio/ Bulls games? I am looking a little more at it but so far I think Ohio wins it.

Cheers
Irish

Not a big play but I do like them and played it already. I bought a half to get it up to 3

CFB[101] OHIO +3-120 (B+?)

 

[luvmy$$$]

Cinnci was the first game that jumped out at me as well. One thing that has me from pulling the trigger, the line opened at -10 and I see -9 at one store? Might be because of the past(tight games). But Cinnci seams to be rolling, agree with everything you posted. Wish we had inside info on how Devine and QB is doing?

 

[Irish]

I think Devine will play but I have to look at how Cincy polayed SFla... they pulled 9 into coverage at times and kept everything in front of them. I see them doing something like that with Devine and limiting him.

Cheers
Irish

 

[AR182]

Its not often that you see a team roll up 700+ yards of offense like the Bearcats did against UConn. I have to wonder if Cinci is not a better team with Collaros at QB. Don't know if you saw the game but the play when he quickly picked up the botched snap on a FG attempt and threw it out of bounds was just nothing short of brilliant. It's obvious that he has all the tools and is very heady to boot. I'm guessing that we get Pike back this week but not sure.

Like the play no matter who is back there as WVa has done little to impress the entire season.

yeah but they only won by 2 points....giving up 45points should be a concern to the cin. coaching staff....


good luck this week irish....

 

[LDB]

bol as always irish

 

[Irish]

AR
I agree giving up 45 to UConn shows the defense did not look to good BUT that being said.... I think Cincy when they got up 20 (37-17) in the 3rd pulled off the gas a bit and put its thoughts in WVU then UConn got a big special teams Return for a TD, Then you had a big run for a TD by Todmann for 47 yards..... So I can't put that on UConn playing well more like Cincy just losing focus. Lossing the last two in the series I think Cincy has the focus in this game.

Cheers
Irish

 

[Irish]

Ohio (+2.5) over Buffalo
I personally think the wrong team is giving points and I think Ohio wins this game. Ohio has play UConn and Tennessee and played them both pretty tough. They are 4-1 in the MAC conference and control their own destiny. Buffalo coming off a heart breaker at home where Bowling green just passed on them all night. Buffalo dealing with huge issues in the punting game. They made a switch at punter last game and it cost them two blocked kicks, now they go to a new punter and thats never good in a big game. Bad news for the bobcats is Northern Ill on deck and they might be a little distracted but the good news is they have a very strong coach and he should have a good game plan going into this game. Buffalo won the last two games in this series by convincing fashion but this is a new Buffalo team. They are banged up at running back and it might take its toll tonight. Ohios defense is alright and they give up about 150 rushing yards per game, but they hold teams to around 59% passing. I think Buffalo will live and die by the run in this game and Ohio can slow it down a lot. Ohio is ranked 39th in team defense in the country and Buffalo 55th. The biggest question tonight is who wins the turnover battle. Both teams have given it away - Ohio 15, Buffalo 18 so far this season. What I like is Ohio has taken the ball AWAY from the other team 23 times this year and Buffalo only 13 times. So I see Ohio has the better defense and can make more happen on that side of the ball. Ohio scores 27 points on the road and Buffalo only 26. Ohio allows 25 points per game on the road and Buffalo allows 24 at home. This is going to be a close game but I think Ohios numbers come against the better teams.
Both teams beat Akron
Ohio 19-7 AWAY, Buffalo 21-17 HOME
Against Bowling Green
Ohio Win 44-37 AWAY, Buffalo Loss 29-30 HOME
I personal think Ohio is the better team and in these MAC games where all sorts of things can happen and normally do the value is with the better team getting points.

Cheers
Irish

 

[PJ12]

Think the Cats win the game tonight, woulda been nice to get a 3 tho. Just grabbed +1.5 :shrug:

GL
:toast:

 

[Irish]

C. Mich (-17) over Toledo
I spent a lot of time looking at these numbers. When looking at C.Mich you see the darling of the MAC over the past few seasons. This is a good team that can put up solid numbers. Toledo on the other hand they run hot or cold and normally try to make a game of it in every contest. Looking at Toledo you have to see they have 15 turnovers this season and at least one in every game. C.Mich has 7 turnovers on the season but IMO thats still too many considering C.Mich is supposed to be one of the better teams in the MAC. Last year in toledo, the rockets took the Chipps to the wire losing by one but two years ago at C.Mich Toledo lost by 21. On the road Toledo averages about 26 points and gives up 36, so you can see why Toledo will not shock the world and beat C.Mich tonight but they are getting a ton of chalk. Can the Chipps show up and lay the wood to this team. The only common opponet is W. Mich toledo lost to them at home 26-58, while C.Mich won and beat W. Mich 34-23in Western Mich. So I think C.Mich is the better team and considering Toledo average margin of loss is slightly above 20 points. Thats good but what I really like in this gamne is it is home for C.Mich. The chipps have had three home games so far this season. In those games they have scored on average of 50 points per game. That is great when turning back to Toledo only averages 26 points. Even better than how much they score is they have only given up 28 points in those three hoime games. Then again we are talking about Akron, Eastern Mich and Alcorn St. But what I see in this game Toledo is not going to gown down without a fight, they have a QB that can sling it and he is getting back into the flow of things. BUT C.Mich can step up defensively at home while Toledo cannot. Normally toledo will have to play a track meet style game and in that race I see the Chipps pulling away. Understand it is all or nothing for Toledo, if they lose this game they are out of a bowl picture. Plus I think it would destroy the last goal they set as the season began so if the Chipps get on top they might break down. The Chipps have EVERYTHING to play for, they lead the division and loss would bring them tied with N.Ill and make the last game of the season against them huge. This again scares me because who beat N.Ill in conference, how about the Rocket, thats right toledo. Really hate the amount of chalk and considering the Chipps have not blown the doors off teams I wonder if the home numbers are more a result of playing bad teams compared to playing well on a field they know. Still I am going to go with the better team on their own turf to pull away in this track meet. After all the Chipps are 7-2 as a home fav ATS over the past 3 years, and Toledo is 5-10 as a road dog. Ten returning starting players on defense for C.Mich against Nine returning starters on offense for toledo, these guys know each other from the past few years and in the last three C.Mich has won. Two of the three by more than 20.

Cheers
Irish

 

[Irish]

S.Florida (-1) over Rutgers
Tough game considering Rutgers has had the bulls number over the past few years. Two freshman QB on the big ESPN stage. Two young QB and two different styles on display. Daniels is a make something happen guy, it isn't always good but he is always trying to make something happen with his arm or his feet. Savage is more of a pocket passer, he has good pocket awarness and can make big plays happen down field. Can Savage a young QB handle Selvie and Pierre-Paul pressuring him all night? Will this throw off his rythem and get him thinking more about where the pressure is coming from rather where the routes are opening up. I think a big advantage here is Savage being a pocket passer. With Daniels there is a threat of a breakdown and run for a long play or keeping plays alive with his legs and allowing things to open up. With Savage you can pin your ears back as a defensive end and meet in the middle. Savage is not a statue but they can make it VERY hard for him all night and after all S.Florida only gives up 185 yards passing per game. Watch for Savage to get in trouble because the young man loves to hold onto the ball longer than he should and that will give the line for South florida to get home. I think this match-up between Sfla defense and the Rutgers offense line is the biggest matchup of the game and I think it favors S.Florida. Can the running backs for South florida pick up a little slack. Having daniels allows misdirection to pay off and Plancher needs to have a game like last week. This game will come down (IMO) to if the Bulls don't beat themselves. Rutgers has lived by taking the ball away. Rutgers has taken the ball away from the other team 21 times this season and given it up only THREE TIMES!!! When you are doing that you are going to win a lot of ball games. S.Florida has given the ball away 10 times but played well enough last game against WVU to avoid doing so. Still can they hold onto the ball, because if they do I do not think Rutgers can beat them. S.Florida has a lot of revenge going in this game from side deals with teams on their schedule, recruiting billboards in their back yard and beating the bulls when they were ranked #2 in the country. Not to mention a LOT of talk going back and forth between the squads. Both teams have played Pittsburgh and Cincy, both team lost, Rutgers was a hell of a lot closer in Pitt and a blow out against Cincy but both in Rutgers. Which shows me this team plays very well at home. But I am not sold on Rutgers being a good team or being a team that can cause turnovers and hang around in games. Look at the teams Rutgers has played FIU, Maryland,Texas Southern, Army, Pitt, UConn and Cincy. Loses to Cincy and Pitt. Cincy just down right hammered them in the first week of the season, while the knights tried to find out who was the answer at QB. Plus Rutgers pulled off an unreal catch and run against UConn last week to win in the last few seconds of that game. I think that with everything on the line and both teams wanting to win this game, S.Florida is the better team right now. They have the defense and the running attack (be it mostly with the QB) to cause Rutgers offense to stall out. Keep Savage out of a rythem and Rutgers will struggle. The South Florida defense scares me a bit because they take plays off, when they play full speed they are very dangerous the question is will they keep that speed up all night. Even taking a few plays off I like the defense to slow Rutgers down a lot and cause them issues getting on the board. I like Daniels to be a huge difference maker. Injuries at WR hurt S.Florida but this game should be fun to watch but I think after two HUGE loses by S Florida in big spots they come in with a HUGE chip on their shoulder.

Chicago (+3) over SF
Both teams off bad loses, but SF is riding an 4 loss streak. Questions about Hill or Smith have the lockerroom devided. Injuries Clements, Staley, Coffee, Evens and even Gore is banged up for SF have them in a bad spot. Both teams really in my mind under achieving but this is a good spot for the points. Backing the better QB getting points considering both teams need a win.

Cheers
Irish

 

[Irish]

Miami OH (+3.5) over BG
I was going to pass but AR needed some folks on his side. The way I saw this game originally was Miami OH wins. In Road games Bowling Green is scoring just over 25 points but they are giving up 25 points. But looking at this Miami oh has won the last two in this match up. In the four away games for Bowling green they are 3-1, two of the wins were by one point! Scary cause Miami is 1-9 on the season but they did get that one win at home. Both teams cannot run the ball and both teams like to pass and BG is the better passing offense in this game. Of late Miami oh is playing some decent football, they went to Temple last week and lost a heart breaker. Before that they got that win, and before that a five points loss vs N.Ill. What I like in this game is the turnover margin. BG turns it over a good bit but the defense does not create a lot of turnovers. On the other side the Miami defense has generated at least one turnover per game. Miami OH is 8-2 against the spread versus BG since 1992. Miami oh is 10-6 straight up against BG since 1992. This is a game where Miami has nothing to lose and can go out there and play with no pressure. They will have the home field and crowd behind them. BG coming off a last second win @ Buffalo last week, so are they going to be emotionally ready to get up for another road game against a team they should beat. Should be a close game, I expect Miami to win the turnover battle and the redhawks come out looking to play harder at the begining of the game. I think the team playing the better football and getting points at home is a valued small play.

Cheers
Irish

 

[LDB]

opposite sides on cinci... :scared

 

[Irish]

WOW that was a good time last night! Talk about a team not showing up. S.Florida was only down 13-0 at half and it might have been some of the poorest football I've seen this year. Thank Jay Cutler for the 5 picks in the Chicago game, I wonder why I lost that play???? Can project that many turnovers.

Tulane (ML) over Rice
Small play
This is just another play for a team against Rice. I know Tulane is not the greatest team but they can match up and beat Rice. Personally I think this game should be a pick but the book gave them an even edge and the three for home field. Still Tulane should be better on both sides of the ball and even away they should get the win.

Texas A&M (+18) over Oklahoma
Yes Oklahoma has owned A&M over the past few years and yes oklahoma has the home field advantage but this much chalk? A&M lost to Colorado, they lost big to Kstate and Arky. However they did play Oklahoma State tight and beat Texas Tech. So looking at A&M you see they are on or off but they have potential to play well in big games. Oklahoma coming off a heart breaker in Nebraska and have Texas Tech on deck. Added to the mess of injuries are Jones, English and Eldrige. I am just not sure if the sooners have enough gas in the tank or at this time parts on the car to blow the doors of A&M. A&M scores about 29 points on the road and give up almost 44.Now Okie scores about 46 and gives up just over 9!! Thats not good. The defense did however give up 30 to KState in Oklahoma so I think the defense is a touch overrated. Texas A&M is 9-6 against the spread versus Okie. I think this is a big game for the Aggies, they should come out looking to move the ball and should be able to make a lot happen on offense. All the injuries, coming off a loss, turnovers in the area of 5 last week and 80 yards rushing might have the sooners looking deep at themselves this week. Still Nebraska is twice the defense A&M is and they should have a hellofa easy time moving the ball. Still this will have to come down to A&M being mentally prepared to play the game. I think they have enough offense to stay within this number, especially with Oklahoma thinking about what they can do for the next three games to make a bigger bowl. This scares me a bit because if stoops gets up he will go for the kill to get some votes. Still loses to Miami, Texas and Nebraska show me that this team is not the power they have been and A&M has one shot at shocking them and it only comes by not letting the game be too big for them and staying with there gameplan.

Pitt (-7) over ND
OK Pitt has not played the toughest teams in the nation but ND is a bad football team. I know they need to rebound off the loss to Navy to save respect, you don't think Pitt doesn't want to beat them bad to get that respect on their side? Pitt beat this Weis team last year and this Pitt team is a better team and playing at home. 1st travel game to a tough enviorment for ND since the purdue game, I am not going to count the neutral site against washington. Pitt is good at home by an average margin of victory of 17 in the last four. They beat that PESKY Navy team in Pitt by 13. Pitt has a very good pass rush and Clausen will not have a ton of time and when pressured Clausen has been known to turn it over. Pitts front four has 39 sacks, this might be a huge advantage for them going into this game. If the front line can do it on their own then that frees up more in coverage. Where I really like this play is Navy ran for 6.1 yards per carry in racking up 348. Enter Dion Lewis, he is putting up 126.6 yards per game. Why is this so important? Well he will have a big day for Pitt rushing the ball and then the panthers can take advantage of their WR's. Pitt have VERY tall very athletic WR's Baldwin 6-5, Turner 6-3 and Dickerson 6-2. This is going to open these guys up and Stull is fifth nationally in pass efficiency (161.6). So Even though ND is coming in with the "better" offense I think Pitt has a lot of underrated talent that can surprise the game plan right out of ND. Pitt traditionally a smash mouth team has every bit the talent to beat ND in a dog fight but I do not think ND will be able to handle the Pitt defense. I do think Pitt does a good job of establishing the line of scrimage on offense. ND will be on their heels, they are feeling a ton of pressure and pitt is the better team at home where traditional ND over the past few seasons has been a poor road team.

Cincy (-9.5) over WVU
Re-hit... based on the Bulls beating them by a big margin last week. If that offense tore through WVU defense then the Cincy offense should not see a drive end without a TD.

FSU (+5) over Wake
Small play
With Ponder out one of the nations hottest recruits get a chance to play. This kid has a ton of talent and I think Wake will not be ready for his ability. Wake with a bad defense, but so does Florida st. This game has to come down to want to and the new blood at QB might be enough to get them fired up a bit. I mean I would think the defense would play with a bit of chip considering THEY got Mikey Andrews canned and no player likes to think it is his fault even if the coach was a bad coach.

Cheers
Irish

 

[Irish]

So. Miss (-3) over Marshall
Both teams share the same record of 5-4. Souther Miss has lost ALL four on the road. Buth they have had a little extra time to prepare for this game. PLUS they have Tulsa on deck so this is a tough spot. So Miss lost to UAB and Marshall beat them. Both teams beat Tulane pretty badly. The two have split the last two match-ups with the road team winning. The herd have a very good kicker and he could be the difference. Saturday is the anniversary of the Marshall plane crash so the herd should have an emotional advantage. Marshall is tied for first in C-USA in scoring defense (21.0 points per game) and has only surrendered more than 28 points once in 2009 (52-10 loss at Virginia Tech). But this comes down to RUSHING, Fletcher should have a very good day, S.Miss has rushed for over 200 in the last 3 games. They rank second in C-USA in total offense (428.6 yards per game) and scoring (33.9 points per game) and they are third in red-zone efficiency with 40 scores (30 touchdowns) in 49 trips inside the 20. So I have to think that S.Miss can play offense against Marshall and they have a very good defense as well. The eagles score about 27 points on the road, Marshall scores 23. I think with the extra week off the Eagles come in focused and ready. These teams are tied in the division and this is a big game. A Big game with the running of Fletcher the defense and M.Young should have too much offense for a Marshall team that has given up points to some soft teams. Marshalls toughest games are ECU and WVU while So.Miss have played Kansas, Houston and UVA. I'll take the better team giving a small amount on the road to cover in a game they have to win in the division.

UNC (+3.5) over Miami
First the public has hammered Miami. For good reason because Miami is a great passing team and UNC's secondary is a joke. The key for UNC is the D-line getting to Harris and get him moving around like VT and Clemson did. Miami is 2-1 on the road and they lost to VT, beat an easy team and struggled to get a last second win against the back up qb in Wake. UNC is scoring 27 at home and only giving up 14. At home the tarheels are giving up less than 100 yards rushing and 120 plus throwing. UNC is a VERY good defensive team and they beat VT on defense and should have beaten FSU if they did not call off the dogs at halftime. UNC has won the last two in this series. UNC is 4-1 ATS against Miami and 3-2 SU against the canes. Injuries have been poiling up all season for Miami and I think they start to add up this weekend. The reason they catch up this weekend is because they have shown that defensively the Canes just are not a good team. They out score teams but they don't shut them down. It comes down to who shows up for the UNC offense. Draughn is out but the heels have a good short yard runner in Houston. Yates REALLY scares me because the guy just is not the best decision maker but I love Pianalto. This big target TE should be the man to extend drives all day. Miami has to use McCarthy to stop the run and the back up to Spence is bad in pass coverage. Play action to Pianalto should be a bread and butter play for UNC all day especially if Houston gets the wheels moving a bit. With a big play TE on the field for UNC the safety cannot shadow Little and that means UNC has two weapons to open up in this passing game. Final home game for UNC with a ton to play for I like the defense to keep them in it and I would like to see the d-line get ontop of Harris so the secondary is not exposed. The FSU game taught UNC keep the pressure on all game and they do that and may walk out with a win.

Arizona (+2) over Cal
Jarvis Best out means Cal needs to find offense and I am not sure they can rebound. Cal got blown away by Oregon and USC and did not fair any better against Org st, but they have beaten the mid level teams in the Pac-10. The fact that Cal struggled with Arizona st is a good reason why I took this play. Considering Arizona beat Stanford and Org St I have to think this team can play. Arizona got blown away the last time they went to Cal. Still I am having a tough time thinking Cal rebounds from Best being out. You cannot lose an impact guy like Best and just rebound emotionally. Foles leads Arizona into this game, he is a TALL QB with a very good arm and he can control this team. Cal has not looked great getting to the QB and that means Foles has a chance to see over the pressure and get the ball to some good playmakers. Arizona has started to get healthy at the right time because they can make a HUGE puss in the Pac 10 with Oregon, USC, Cal and Ariz st all coming up. Grigsby getting back into the swing but I can't see him being the go to guy in this game since he is still only about 70%. What I think will be a huge difference is the Arizona defense, these guys have not allowed a TD in the last two games. Granted thats Washington St and UCLA but thats pretty impressive, that when they show up they hold teams OUT of the endzone. Cal will have to blitz to get Koles out of rythem which just opens up the screen which is where Arizona really makes things happen. Then if Cal plays screens they forgo the blitz and Foles can pick the secondary apart. I think Arizona wins this game because the defense plays a big role in making Cal feel the loss of Best anf Foles makes the right plays to get points. Considering Cal's QB Riley has been off most of the season the Arizona defense can really unload on him and make it hard for him to win the game.

Houston (-5.5) over UCF
SCARED!! Houston just has not stepped up defensively on anyone recently. How they one against Tulsa last week makes me think Vegas had the remote control on the players. Houston on the road is scoring 41, and give up 35. I think they remain true to form and put up about 40 points. But looking at UCF at home they average on 22 points. This is why I like the play. I think Houston scores at will and UCF cannot turn every drive into points. Houston has to feel relieved to get the win last week but they should be pissed it was that close. Turning the ball over and mental mistakes almost cost them big. Remember folks Miami outscored this team 27-7 at UCF. Miami used the passing attack to do that and I think Houston has a far more effective passing game. In fact how can you look at UCF and not see this is value? I mean it SMELLS so bad but I am talking value. The only tough games for UCF which are Miami and Texas they lost by a total of 62-10!!!!! So even if Vegas knows Houston is coming out flat because they have MEMphis or Rice left I cannot see this UCF team scoring to the level of houston. The cougars have to start blowing guys out with only a few games remaining. They need some people to say "hey that houston team is good and they have been killing guys". The Knights lead C-USA in rushing, total and scoring defense, while the Cougars lead the league in passing, total and scoring offense. AGAIN I think that is overrated because even if UCF is playing good C-USA defense they have been crushed by the better teams out of conference and haven't seen the best teams in conference. Not too mention you have a QB for UCF that has some serious injury issues going on. He got slammed around and hurt a few ribs and I don't think its going to tickle to get hit. The houston defense is not the best and I am sure UCF scores but I can see them scoring at the most 30 and thats with a few gifts to go there way. Houston can and should score at least as much as texas which is 37, so that would work. I still think that Houston has a far more effective passing game than texas and if Colt McCoy threw for 470, then Keenum should get to the 500 mark again. Also UCF struggle in kick coverage and the speed of Houston might be a big problem for them. I admit I see this as a fishy line, especially as it has dropped to 4.5 but I see a ton of value that if Houston only comes half hearted they still out score UCF 35-28.

A couple totals I liked
Oregon/ Ariz St OVER 50.5
At home the ducks average 42, they hung over 42 on 5 of their last 6. Coming off a loss I am sure they will want to get back on the horse. Last three games in this series have gone over 51 points. Arizonas defense has only allowed over 30 points in one game this season and that was at stanford. 18 turnovers on the season for the sundevil offense means more time for the ducks to score. The key... ASU very good against the run, not great against the pass. Ducks read option pass and use misdirection and the defense can't keep up.

VT/Mary UNDER 48
Both teams run the ball. Maryland will run a lot more with the back up QB in the game. VT will not careless about this game. VT scores 27 points per game on the road against big teams like Duke and East Carolina. Last year the game was a 23-13 game and I see the same type game. Defense and running for VT should get them the win but it can go two ways in my opinion... the clemson route, where Maryland plays out of their mind and its a close game but in the low twenties OR Maryland plays true to for and loses 31-10.

Cheers
Irish

 

[Irish]

Okie St (-4.5) over Texas Tech
:shrug:

Cheers
Irish

 

[Irish]

Nevada (-7) over Fresno

shhhh Nevada been playing really good football lately. At Home trying to get some bowl credit.

Cheers
Irish

 

[Irish]

Oregon (-20.5) over ASU
:mj06: :mj06: :mj06: :mj06:

Org St (-13.5) over Washington

Cheers
Irish