Week 11 Input Please

[MoeshY-13-]

Looking through the card, these 4 games stood out to me. Looking for some input on them, as I think these lines will all move 2-3 points...

Oklahoma +3.5 at Baylor...Baylor new QB isn't bad, but I think Oklahoma has a better D and feel this game should be at a Pick...I like Oklahoma

Bama -7 at Miss St...is this line signaling for a let down game for Bama after big win over LSU? I know Miss St is ranked, but I just don't think they have the experience or overall talent to be only -7 on this stage vs Bama. I would have expected Bama to open at -10.5-13.5. I like Bama here.

Tulsa at Cincy -16...I think this is a great # for Cincy. Tulsa not that impressive and Cincy plays very well at home and I think Cincy D will be very disruptive for Tulsa I like Cincy here by 4 TD's. I think this line will end with Cincy closer to -20

Clemson at Syracuse +26.5...I feel this is a definite letdown game for Clemson, they have had a few tougher games in a row and Syracuse plays tough at home. Clemson usually a slower first half team, so if I can get Cuse +14 1H, I think that's a definite play. Think Cuse wins by 17 or 20. The question I'm asking myself is, will the public hammer Clemson and push this to +28 or higher, or will this be a sharp played and drop closer to -23 or -24?

All input appreciated and thanks in advance!

 

[Corley1011]

State always plays Bama tough. This is going to be a war. I'd stay away.

 

[Corley1011]

Also, Bama and State are both 20-5 in their last 25 games.

 

[tball]

Think Cuse wins by 17 or 20.

im guessing you meant cuse lose by 17 or 20(?)

cuz, if you think orangemen will win, id simply forget about betting the other games and load up on SYR ML

 

[sds222]

Oklahoma +3.5 at Baylor...Baylor new QB isn't bad, but I think Oklahoma has a better D and feel this game should be at a Pick...I like Oklahoma

Oklahoma probably is the better team, you gotta love how Mayfield has been playing. If this were a neutral field and not a spot light - "Gameday" game I'd have OK favored.
OK has had this one marked on their calendar, getting whipped last year at home and the year before at Baylor by a combined score 89-26.

I like the attitude that seems to come from Mayfield so maybe he is the difference. Stidham on the other side looked pretty good in his first road start at Ka St.
Ok has controlled other potent offenses like TxTech, W.Va and Tenn, their secondary looks like a good match.
Baylor got steam rolled on the ground at KaSt most of it by the QB. If Perine goes bowling it could be a huge difference in time of possession. Baylor allowed over 600 yds to TxTech, albeit at tech.

I'm going to have to read some more to go one way or the other. Sooners have become notorious in big games, big game boob as I've heard Stoops referred to. His teams have played great and look like champions until their most important game of the season. This can't be over looked.

 

[sds222]

Bama -7 at Miss St...is this line signaling for a let down game for Bama after big win over LSU? I know Miss St is ranked, but I just don't think they have the experience or overall talent to be only -7 on this stage vs Bama. I would have expected Bama to open at -10.5-13.5. I like Bama here.

LSU ran over State, rushing wise, in their house and Auburn rushed for a bunch as well. Bama could easily wear them down with Henry. I don't see Dak and the miss st offense having that much success against a very good defense. This is an emotional letdown spot going on the road but Bama isn't likely to over look this game. They have some NAIA type opponent next week and then finish against Auburn.

I took State vs mizzou but i wasn't very impressed with them, mizzou was/is crap. I agree 7 is a low number and makes you wonder.

 

[MoeshY-13-]

im guessing you meant cuse lose by 17 or 20(?)

cuz, if you think orangemen will win, id simply forget about betting the other games and load up on SYR ML

Yeah, sorry, I meant that I see Clemson winning by 17-20.

 

[MoeshY-13-]

sds222 - I appreciate the info! They already took the hook off Oklahoma and looks like early $ is on them.

I like Bama more and more as I go over the game.

As Corley said, Miss St will come to play, I just think they are on completely different levels.

 

[sds222]

sds222 - I appreciate the info! They already took the hook off Oklahoma and looks like early $ is on them.

I like Bama more and more as I go over the game.

As Corley said, Miss St will come to play, I just think they are on completely different levels.

fwiw I'm on Ok, probably going to take the +2.5 and maybe ML. I think the difference is the OK D, add in the run game and QB Mayfield. K state won in the trenches and I expect the same for the Sooners.
OK has 34 sacks to Baylors 16, if they can get in Stidhams face he could have fits for the first time. I think OK is better all around, enough to make up for home field and Stoops factor.

 

[Little chippy]

I follow Clemson closely. I graduated from there. I like first Q cuse. Clemson scores allot of :toast::toastoints n second Q, but not many in first. Ht and full game line makes me nervous. Good luck

 

[MoeshY-13-]

sd: gl! I played the Sooner as well. I have the same view on the game.

lc: I appreciate the input, haven't made a play yet, will wait till Sat, might pull a 180 and go with the Tigers, last I looked, 75-80% on Cuse yet line is up to -29...tough game to figure out, might play Cuse 1st Half and Clemson 2nd Half

Also played Bama, bought down to 6.5 to be safe as I see it, but Bama could easily dominate on D and take this one by 20+

Gl tomorrow guys!

 

[Corley1011]

Very emotional game for State. Wouldn't be shocked if State won.

 

[ESPNTED]

Love Alabama and under. Bama shut Miss st down they won't score over 21 points. That is their team total and I'm playing that under too. 30-17 Bama win

 

[jmize&gsptailer]

Also, Bama and State are both 20-5 in their last 25 games.

MSU has had the easiest schedule in the S.E.C. an hasn't beaten a conference foe with a winning record. On paper this game is a mismatch and the line would be over 10 if not for Vedas thinking Alanama being in let down mode after playing LSU. Now that Alabama is back in the drivers seat for the S.E.C. title Saban will have his team focused enough to beat MSU ny more than the 8 points. Alabama should an can win this game by double digits but you still have to worry about the back door cover when the line is 8 and above

Alabama 31 MSU 10 is my prediction. and is the game I like the best of the 4 Moeshy posted.

 

[Little chippy]

What u think about lsu -6.5. Arkansas has played multiple OT game. Lsu is looking to get on track. I think they roll easy. Am I missing something?