Week 12 Card (Nov 11th - 15th)
- Thread starter Irish
- Start date
Thanks T4W and Woodson.
Rocky that was a ballzy pull for me but that FG Louisville missed and the fumble in the enddzone for Cincy are the type of play going the other way and burning me over the past few games. So that was nice and the Nug winning outright !!
South Florida (-8) over Rutgers
Coming off two losses you would have to think the Bulls should be hungry and wondering where it all went so wrong. Rutgers seems to have found out how to play football recently and put together a nice 3 game winning streak. The Scarlet Knights are tops in the league in conference play in pass offense (251.0), pass efficiency (140.7), first downs (93), sacks (15) and fewest penalty yardage per game (40.2). The Scarlet Knights are second in red zone defense (8-of-11), third down conversions (27-of-69, 39.1 %), opponent third down conversions (20-of-67, 29.9 %), fourth down conversions (3-of-6, 50 %), scoring offense (25.6) and scoring defense (19.6). OK so rutgers has been play better but they have a weakness on defense against the run and you have to think the Bulls use Ford in this spot to move the chains all day. On the other side South Florida is fifth-ranked run defense, which is great because if the knights cannot run well and put pressure on Teel to win the game they are in trouble. The key for South Florida is the underneath routs, Rutgers hit a lot of under routes because they are easier for Teel. The LB's for S.Fla can play those beacuse the CB should be able to handle the Rutgers WR one on one. Adding safety help on Britts side should take him out of the play and then its on Teel and the Bulls should have Rutgers where they want them.
Mich (-3.5) over N'Western
I think Michigan is starting to buy into what Rod is saying. Now that they have done that they start to understand the offense that is dangerous if run correctly. This is the final home game for the seniors and Coach Rod has always put his best foot forward wwhen trying to give his players a send off. Watching N'Western it is very easy to know what N'Western is all about on offense without Sutton and Kafka in at QB. He is a very good scrambler, but thats about all he is going to do. Against Ohio St Kafka was effective for one drive until the coaches realized he was not a threat to go deep. Now the rumblings are Blacher will return but how effective will he be on a bad hammy in an offense that requires him to move around the pocket or scramble. Then you have to laugh when you see the secondary of Northwestern. They were run by all game last week and had no ability to stay with the deep plays. Losing Brandon Minor really hurts what Michigan can do on offense and they need to have some players step up today. I think the 'Western offense really takes a big step back without Sutton and Michigan has the talent to replace the players out. The Wolverines are playing better right now and I think they carry the Minny win momentum into this game against a team that was lucky to get a win against Minny.
Cheers
Irish
Rocky that was a ballzy pull for me but that FG Louisville missed and the fumble in the enddzone for Cincy are the type of play going the other way and burning me over the past few games. So that was nice and the Nug winning outright !!
South Florida (-8) over Rutgers
Coming off two losses you would have to think the Bulls should be hungry and wondering where it all went so wrong. Rutgers seems to have found out how to play football recently and put together a nice 3 game winning streak. The Scarlet Knights are tops in the league in conference play in pass offense (251.0), pass efficiency (140.7), first downs (93), sacks (15) and fewest penalty yardage per game (40.2). The Scarlet Knights are second in red zone defense (8-of-11), third down conversions (27-of-69, 39.1 %), opponent third down conversions (20-of-67, 29.9 %), fourth down conversions (3-of-6, 50 %), scoring offense (25.6) and scoring defense (19.6). OK so rutgers has been play better but they have a weakness on defense against the run and you have to think the Bulls use Ford in this spot to move the chains all day. On the other side South Florida is fifth-ranked run defense, which is great because if the knights cannot run well and put pressure on Teel to win the game they are in trouble. The key for South Florida is the underneath routs, Rutgers hit a lot of under routes because they are easier for Teel. The LB's for S.Fla can play those beacuse the CB should be able to handle the Rutgers WR one on one. Adding safety help on Britts side should take him out of the play and then its on Teel and the Bulls should have Rutgers where they want them.
Mich (-3.5) over N'Western
I think Michigan is starting to buy into what Rod is saying. Now that they have done that they start to understand the offense that is dangerous if run correctly. This is the final home game for the seniors and Coach Rod has always put his best foot forward wwhen trying to give his players a send off. Watching N'Western it is very easy to know what N'Western is all about on offense without Sutton and Kafka in at QB. He is a very good scrambler, but thats about all he is going to do. Against Ohio St Kafka was effective for one drive until the coaches realized he was not a threat to go deep. Now the rumblings are Blacher will return but how effective will he be on a bad hammy in an offense that requires him to move around the pocket or scramble. Then you have to laugh when you see the secondary of Northwestern. They were run by all game last week and had no ability to stay with the deep plays. Losing Brandon Minor really hurts what Michigan can do on offense and they need to have some players step up today. I think the 'Western offense really takes a big step back without Sutton and Michigan has the talent to replace the players out. The Wolverines are playing better right now and I think they carry the Minny win momentum into this game against a team that was lucky to get a win against Minny.
Cheers
Irish
Hey guys sorry to do this but I got a late start on today with the Lad wanting to play longer than expected.
No write ups for some of these.
Duke (+10.5) over Clemson
Kansas (+13.5) over Texas
UNC (-2.5) over Maryland
Iowa (-17) over Purdue
Cheers
Irish
No write ups for some of these.
Duke (+10.5) over Clemson
Kansas (+13.5) over Texas
UNC (-2.5) over Maryland
Iowa (-17) over Purdue
Cheers
Irish
Baylor (-8) over Texas A&M
Griffin has rushed for 688 yards and 11 touchdowns on the year going over 100 yards in two of the last three games. He will be a huge Key for this game as he becomes too hard for A&M to stop. The Aggies are going to get points but the spread offense and the Baylor WR are too fast for the secondary of Texas A&M. As Griffin becomes the threat he can go deep because in a foot race A&M does not have the speed to match up with Baylors WR's. Baylor has a ton to play for at home against a team that has dominated them over the past few years. This should be a good game for both offenses but in the end I like the Baylor speed, coaching staff and home field.
New Mexico (-2.5) over Colorado State
Said senior safety Blake Ligon: "There is not a single quitter in our locker room and out there on the field. If someone shows that mentality that they're quitting and giving up, they will not be out there. That's just the way it's going to work." The Rams have a stronger motivation. They are still playing for a postseason bid, but that might be the New Mexico bowl so the lobos would not want to allow that to happen against them. CSU has a decent rusher in Gartrell Johnson, who averages 4.7 yards per carry and 92.9 yards per game. Ram quarterback Billy Farris throws for 220.5 yards per game and has 13 touchdowns on the year. The Lobos average 334.8 yards per game and CSU averages 371.6 yards. The UNM defense allows 330.5 yards per game, 119.1 yards rushing. CSU gives up 410.9 yards a game with 185.9 coming on the ground. New Mexico's Defense will help slow up the rams, the lobos allow only 15 points against them and they should establish the run against a poor Ram defensive front.
La Laff (-2) over Florida Atlantic
The Cajuns offense is among the national leaders in rushing and total offense. In both categories the team ranks in the Top 10 nationally, third and eighth respectively. Too much offense for a bad FAU defense to stop and on the other side of the ball Rusty is not good enough this season to keep pace here. Yes this is a home game but no advantage, the Owl fans have to hope buses and find ways to the stadium and not too many do down there so the Cajuns should not be too impressed.
Nebraska (-6) over Kansas State
return of the blackshirts at practice should spark the defense. Ganz completed 30-of-40 passes for 510 yards and seven touchdowns with no picks in the 73-31 win. In 13 games since he has become the starter, Ganz has averaged 328 passing yards per game with 35 touchdowns. KSt is bad on defense against the run and pass and the Nebraska offense is a good team aginst bad squads.
BYU (-4) over Air Force
AF have the No. 10 pass defense in the country. The Cougars boast the top offense in the Mountain West, averaging 444 yards and 36 points a game. They?ve scored more than 40 points in each of the last three games. AF is in a very big game leaning on a freshman QB (who is good) but BYU should be a tough test for him. The Cougars hold an all-time record of 22-6 against the Falcons, most recently taking a 31-6 victory at LaVell Edwards Stadium in 2007. Bronco Mendenhall is 3-0 all-time against Air Force, winning those games by an average of 21 points per game. The Cougars last lost a game in Falcon Stadium back in 2002. BYU?s starting five offensive linemen weigh in at an average 326.4 pounds and average 6-feet-6. The front five will be going up against an Air Force defensive front that measures an average 6-feet-5, 265 pounds. Defensively, the Cougars? front three average 6-feet-3, 278 pounds, while the Air Force offensive line tips the scales at an average 6-feet-3, 273 pounds per man. The BYU running game should wear this team out going into the second half, once the emotion wears off or if BYU is getting on top of them the AF players might not have enough to hold BYU out of the endzone. The Cougars have held their opponent to seven or fewer points in the opening half six times in 10 games this season. A good first half for the BYU offense and defense should take the steam out of AF in the second and they just need to carry the play over and they should have this one even with big games coming up.
Small play
Fresno (-17) over New Mexico St
Lot of chalk but home field needs to get the dogs up for this game. NMS just not playing well this season and the bulldogs and be more efficent on the poor aggie defense.
Cheers
Irish
Griffin has rushed for 688 yards and 11 touchdowns on the year going over 100 yards in two of the last three games. He will be a huge Key for this game as he becomes too hard for A&M to stop. The Aggies are going to get points but the spread offense and the Baylor WR are too fast for the secondary of Texas A&M. As Griffin becomes the threat he can go deep because in a foot race A&M does not have the speed to match up with Baylors WR's. Baylor has a ton to play for at home against a team that has dominated them over the past few years. This should be a good game for both offenses but in the end I like the Baylor speed, coaching staff and home field.
New Mexico (-2.5) over Colorado State
Said senior safety Blake Ligon: "There is not a single quitter in our locker room and out there on the field. If someone shows that mentality that they're quitting and giving up, they will not be out there. That's just the way it's going to work." The Rams have a stronger motivation. They are still playing for a postseason bid, but that might be the New Mexico bowl so the lobos would not want to allow that to happen against them. CSU has a decent rusher in Gartrell Johnson, who averages 4.7 yards per carry and 92.9 yards per game. Ram quarterback Billy Farris throws for 220.5 yards per game and has 13 touchdowns on the year. The Lobos average 334.8 yards per game and CSU averages 371.6 yards. The UNM defense allows 330.5 yards per game, 119.1 yards rushing. CSU gives up 410.9 yards a game with 185.9 coming on the ground. New Mexico's Defense will help slow up the rams, the lobos allow only 15 points against them and they should establish the run against a poor Ram defensive front.
La Laff (-2) over Florida Atlantic
The Cajuns offense is among the national leaders in rushing and total offense. In both categories the team ranks in the Top 10 nationally, third and eighth respectively. Too much offense for a bad FAU defense to stop and on the other side of the ball Rusty is not good enough this season to keep pace here. Yes this is a home game but no advantage, the Owl fans have to hope buses and find ways to the stadium and not too many do down there so the Cajuns should not be too impressed.
Nebraska (-6) over Kansas State
return of the blackshirts at practice should spark the defense. Ganz completed 30-of-40 passes for 510 yards and seven touchdowns with no picks in the 73-31 win. In 13 games since he has become the starter, Ganz has averaged 328 passing yards per game with 35 touchdowns. KSt is bad on defense against the run and pass and the Nebraska offense is a good team aginst bad squads.
BYU (-4) over Air Force
AF have the No. 10 pass defense in the country. The Cougars boast the top offense in the Mountain West, averaging 444 yards and 36 points a game. They?ve scored more than 40 points in each of the last three games. AF is in a very big game leaning on a freshman QB (who is good) but BYU should be a tough test for him. The Cougars hold an all-time record of 22-6 against the Falcons, most recently taking a 31-6 victory at LaVell Edwards Stadium in 2007. Bronco Mendenhall is 3-0 all-time against Air Force, winning those games by an average of 21 points per game. The Cougars last lost a game in Falcon Stadium back in 2002. BYU?s starting five offensive linemen weigh in at an average 326.4 pounds and average 6-feet-6. The front five will be going up against an Air Force defensive front that measures an average 6-feet-5, 265 pounds. Defensively, the Cougars? front three average 6-feet-3, 278 pounds, while the Air Force offensive line tips the scales at an average 6-feet-3, 273 pounds per man. The BYU running game should wear this team out going into the second half, once the emotion wears off or if BYU is getting on top of them the AF players might not have enough to hold BYU out of the endzone. The Cougars have held their opponent to seven or fewer points in the opening half six times in 10 games this season. A good first half for the BYU offense and defense should take the steam out of AF in the second and they just need to carry the play over and they should have this one even with big games coming up.
Small play
Fresno (-17) over New Mexico St
Lot of chalk but home field needs to get the dogs up for this game. NMS just not playing well this season and the bulldogs and be more efficent on the poor aggie defense.
Cheers
Irish
