Kansas (+23.5) over okie st
A lovely spot if you like situational value. After a big road Texas win and before the last big home game against Oklahoma stands a trip to the jayhawks. Let's just look at the last two years for okie st, before the Oklahoma game they faced Colorado (not a good team) and both times they spotted them 17 and both times they did not cover the number. Kansas is 1-5 against okie state of late, they have lost their last two home season closing games AND they are 4-20 against big 12 south. Those are not very good facts but I really see value with the points at home against a team off a big win looking forward to a big game. I can't lie about the teams. Oklahoma state is by far the better team. Weeden has looked great and no one on Kansas can remotely stay with Blackmon. The Oklahoma state line has gotten better as the season has gone on and hunter is becoming very hard to control. Webb has not looked good and the Kansas line is just not getting any push however this is the last home game and with a poor season behind them a big win would help smooth over some of the issues. Yes the jayhawks have mizzou on deck but Kansas can't look ahead. Now mizzou has been the last game of the season for Kansas for the last four years so having okie state is a bit of a curve because they have not seen them in the past two years. I mean if the situation was different the okie st should roll Kansas but three plus TD's at home with okie st looking at the spinets gives me a good reason to pull the trigger on a jayhawk.
Miami/VT UNDER (50.5)
Looking at the trend that these two have not gone over this total in the past four years. VT grinds the clock and Miami is poor in the redzone which means three not seven plus the QB might be a little rusty or the QB might be a little experienced.
San Jose st (+30) over Hawaii
Well the Spartans will not fear the warriors. Over the past five meetings Hawaii has only won one of these games by more than this number. The visitor has won four of the last five. I would love this even more if SJS was home where they have taken the warrior to over time the last two meetings in SJ. Last three decided by a td or less makes the thirty a nice play.
VT (-2.5) over Miami
True freshman QB against a bud foster defense. A good VT rushing attack against a poor Miami run defense. A must win fame for both but VT has the better defense, and veteran QB. They should get to the young QB, get a short field and Taylor who has gotten better as the season has gone on is a big difference. Should be a good game but I'll back the team with the better QB in a matchup where the two teams match up well. The hooks hammered Miami last year 31-7 and VT returns a lot of that same offense. Visitor in the series is 6-1, however VT is 10-1 in games in novemeber. Love the freshman QB angle. Considering Miami has score 16 only once in the last seven games where they are 2-5 overall. Now looking at the numbers Miami plays VT much better at home but tech has won both by an average of 4.5.
Friday night small play
Fresno (+31) over Boise
Game on deck against Nevada in Nevada has a look ahead situation. Boise is 8-1 against ferns lately. In Boise the average win is 35 points which is not good, even worse is the last game was 61-10. But it still is appealing with away at Nevada next. The key is not to get behind by a lot early. If they can do it then they should stay within the number. If Boise starts rolling it might get ugly but pat hill is a fighter and when Boise gears down to save for Nevada the dogs could keep scraping and get a back door. Good angles and value for a small Friday night play.
Cheers
Irish
A lovely spot if you like situational value. After a big road Texas win and before the last big home game against Oklahoma stands a trip to the jayhawks. Let's just look at the last two years for okie st, before the Oklahoma game they faced Colorado (not a good team) and both times they spotted them 17 and both times they did not cover the number. Kansas is 1-5 against okie state of late, they have lost their last two home season closing games AND they are 4-20 against big 12 south. Those are not very good facts but I really see value with the points at home against a team off a big win looking forward to a big game. I can't lie about the teams. Oklahoma state is by far the better team. Weeden has looked great and no one on Kansas can remotely stay with Blackmon. The Oklahoma state line has gotten better as the season has gone on and hunter is becoming very hard to control. Webb has not looked good and the Kansas line is just not getting any push however this is the last home game and with a poor season behind them a big win would help smooth over some of the issues. Yes the jayhawks have mizzou on deck but Kansas can't look ahead. Now mizzou has been the last game of the season for Kansas for the last four years so having okie state is a bit of a curve because they have not seen them in the past two years. I mean if the situation was different the okie st should roll Kansas but three plus TD's at home with okie st looking at the spinets gives me a good reason to pull the trigger on a jayhawk.
Miami/VT UNDER (50.5)
Looking at the trend that these two have not gone over this total in the past four years. VT grinds the clock and Miami is poor in the redzone which means three not seven plus the QB might be a little rusty or the QB might be a little experienced.
San Jose st (+30) over Hawaii
Well the Spartans will not fear the warriors. Over the past five meetings Hawaii has only won one of these games by more than this number. The visitor has won four of the last five. I would love this even more if SJS was home where they have taken the warrior to over time the last two meetings in SJ. Last three decided by a td or less makes the thirty a nice play.
VT (-2.5) over Miami
True freshman QB against a bud foster defense. A good VT rushing attack against a poor Miami run defense. A must win fame for both but VT has the better defense, and veteran QB. They should get to the young QB, get a short field and Taylor who has gotten better as the season has gone on is a big difference. Should be a good game but I'll back the team with the better QB in a matchup where the two teams match up well. The hooks hammered Miami last year 31-7 and VT returns a lot of that same offense. Visitor in the series is 6-1, however VT is 10-1 in games in novemeber. Love the freshman QB angle. Considering Miami has score 16 only once in the last seven games where they are 2-5 overall. Now looking at the numbers Miami plays VT much better at home but tech has won both by an average of 4.5.
Friday night small play
Fresno (+31) over Boise
Game on deck against Nevada in Nevada has a look ahead situation. Boise is 8-1 against ferns lately. In Boise the average win is 35 points which is not good, even worse is the last game was 61-10. But it still is appealing with away at Nevada next. The key is not to get behind by a lot early. If they can do it then they should stay within the number. If Boise starts rolling it might get ugly but pat hill is a fighter and when Boise gears down to save for Nevada the dogs could keep scraping and get a back door. Good angles and value for a small Friday night play.
Cheers
Irish
