Week 12 Plays and a Turkey Day Gobbler

FirstnGoal

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Oct 15, 2004
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One play sticks out for me this week and will hopefully bring home the bacon.



:mj09:



I will also take a shot at a Small Thanksgiving Day Play with a chance to hedge the wager and win 'em both.




2007 Plays record:

Big Plays
1-2

Medium Size Plays
6-5-1

Small Size Plays
18-16

Leans
7-1-3

Teasers
10-9-1


Thanksgiving Day Gobbler:

I bought the 1/2 and took the Packers -3 for a Small Play and I played this Teaser with a chance to win em both.

Small Play:
Green Bay Packers -3
Bought the 1/2 WINNER!


Small Play:
3 game 10 point Teaser: WINNER!

Detroit Lions +13.5...I know the Packers are the better team but I also believe that the Lions will lay it all out on the line to defend their house on Thanksgiving Day...Green Bay has a ton of trends going their way while the Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 following a SU loss...4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 at Home and the Home team (Lions) are 15-4-1 ATS in the last 20 meetings between the two.
Green Bay 30 Detroit 24

Dallas Cowboys -4...The Jets are coming off of an upset win over the over-looking Steelers and face a Cowboys team that they will struggle to match-up with...the Jets are horrible against the run so I expect a heavy dose of Barber and Jones to gash the Jets heavily and a sprinkle of Witten and Owens to finish off the Jets who will be without the services of Laverneus Coles.
Dallas 31 NY Jets 16

Indianapolis Colts -1.5 over Falcons...The Colts are banged up while the Falcons are just plain bad...with that said...I expect a big effort from the Falcons playing at home but they should fall short in the end to a focused Colts team...I could have also played this teaser and taken the Falcons +21.5 and still felt confident to cash this ticket.
Indianapolis 24 Atlanta 17


I will be posting my favorite play of the week in a bit.
 
Last edited:

FirstnGoal

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 15, 2004
1,803
2
0
One play sticks out for me this week and will hopefully bring home the bacon.



:mj09:



I will also take a shot at a Small Thanksgiving Day Play with a chance to hedge the wager and win 'em both.




2007 Plays record:

Big Plays
1-2

Medium Size Plays
6-5-1

Small Size Plays
18-16

Leans
7-1-3

Teasers
10-9-1


Thanksgiving Day Gobbler:

I bought the 1/2 and took the Packers -3 for a Small Play and I played this Teaser with a chance to win em both.

Small Play:
Green Bay Packers -3
Bought the 1/2


Small Play:
3 game 10 point Teaser:

Detroit Lions +13.5...I know the Packers are the better team but I also believe that the Lions will lay it all out on the line to defend their house on Thanksgiving Day...Green Bay has a ton of trends going their way while the Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 following a SU loss...4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 at Home and the Home team (Lions) are 15-4-1 ATS in the last 20 meetings between the two.
Green Bay 30 Detroit 24

Dallas Cowboys -4...The Jets are coming off of an upset win over the over-looking Steelers and face a Cowboys team that they will struggle to match-up with...the Jets are horrible against the run so I expect a heavy dose of Barber and Jones to gash the Jets heavily and a sprinkle of Witten and Owens to finish off the Jets who will be without the services of Laverneus Coles.
Dallas 31 NY Jets 16

Indianapolis Colts -1.5 over Falcons...The Colts are banged up while the Falcons are just plain bad...with that said...I expect a big effort from the Falcons playing at home but they should fall short in the end to a focused Colts team...I could have also played this teaser and taken the Falcons +21.5 and still felt confident to cash this ticket.
Indianapolis 24 Atlanta 17


I will be posting my favorite play of the week in a bit.

If the Packers win by at least three I believe I will take them both with only risky some vig.

Happy Thanksgiving!
 

FirstnGoal

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 15, 2004
1,803
2
0
One play sticks out for me this week and will hopefully bring home the bacon.



:mj09:



I will also take a shot at a Small Thanksgiving Day Play with a chance to hedge the wager and win 'em both.




2007 Plays record:

Big Plays
1-2

Medium Size Plays
6-5-1

Small Size Plays
18-16

Leans
7-1-3

Teasers
10-9-1


Thanksgiving Day Gobbler:

I bought the 1/2 and took the Packers -3 for a Small Play and I played this Teaser with a chance to win em both.

Small Play:
Green Bay Packers -3
Bought the 1/2


Small Play:
3 game 10 point Teaser:

Detroit Lions +13.5...I know the Packers are the better team but I also believe that the Lions will lay it all out on the line to defend their house on Thanksgiving Day...Green Bay has a ton of trends going their way while the Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 following a SU loss...4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 at Home and the Home team (Lions) are 15-4-1 ATS in the last 20 meetings between the two.
Green Bay 30 Detroit 24

Dallas Cowboys -4...The Jets are coming off of an upset win over the over-looking Steelers and face a Cowboys team that they will struggle to match-up with...the Jets are horrible against the run so I expect a heavy dose of Barber and Jones to gash the Jets heavily and a sprinkle of Witten and Owens to finish off the Jets who will be without the services of Laverneus Coles.
Dallas 31 NY Jets 16

Indianapolis Colts -1.5 over Falcons...The Colts are banged up while the Falcons are just plain bad...with that said...I expect a big effort from the Falcons playing at home but they should fall short in the end to a focused Colts team...I could have also played this teaser and taken the Falcons +21.5 and still felt confident to cash this ticket.
Indianapolis 24 Atlanta 17


I will be posting my favorite play of the week in a bit.

Green Bay -3.5 CASH! Winner

Detroit +13.5 Winner!
One Down two two go!
 

FirstnGoal

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 15, 2004
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2-0 yesterday on Thanksgiving!


Waiting for todays practice reports to pull the trigger on My Favorite (2 unit) Play for the week.
 

FirstnGoal

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 15, 2004
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2-0 for the week as both of my Small Plays won.

My Favorite Play for the week but playing it Small:

Not much time for a big writeup:

2 Game 6 point Teaser:

Jacksonville Jags -2.5 over Bills...Jags have the Colts next week but they won't overlook this one...the Bills aren't the same without Hb Lynch and how badly was their pshcye damaged by the Pats blowout last week?
Jacksonville 27 Buffalo 17

&

Tennessee Titans +7.5 over Bungles...Titans are coming off of MNF but are catching a Bengals team that plain and simply isn't very good...I doubt if I'll need the 7.5 but they could come in handy because this is the NFL.
Tennessee 27 Cincinnati 24
 
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