Week 12

[Mr Rattler]

This one stands out right away.


Cleveland +3 W

The Browns have responded very well (with a win) after each loss this year. They go into Atlanta where the Falcons have won 2 straight, against 2 of the worse teams in the NFL. The Browns have way too much speed for the Falcons plus get Gordon back as another weapon. Like the Brownies outright here, but will jump on the +3 now before it comes down.


** Spoiler Alert: Monday night might be my Ravens Game of the Year.

 

[Mr Rattler]

One more I want to jump on early before the line goes down.


Tampa +5 L
The Bears, in winning their 1st home game of the year last week, COMPLETELY dominated the Vikings in yards gained, 468 to 243, almost doubling them up. They dominated the time of possession 39 minutes to 21. Yet, somehow, the Bears managed to keep the Viking in the game. It was 14-10 Chicago until 8:40 left in the game.

The Bears simply do not know how to win this year. That should have been a 20+ point blow out. Chicago continues to self inflict damage with ill timed penalties and turnovers. When I see a team that dominates a game this badly and yet cannot pull away, I see a team ready to implode (as if they haven't already)

The Bucs with McCown are moving the ball much better. He threw 2 picks in his first start vs Atlanta, but he eliminated those mistakes last week. He has thrown for close to 600 yards combined in his 1st two starts. This will be his 3rd week starting. The Bears simply do not have an answer for Mike Evans and I see another huge day for the duo. Tampa is on a 4-0 road ATS winning streak, going 2-2 straight up.

I think Tampa has a great chance to win outright, but I really love the 5 points here as Chicago will find a way to keep Tampa close.

Both teams are 2-5 in their last 7 straight up.

 

[BigGaycapper]

Lovie going back to Chicago, gotta like Tampa's chances here. Great writeup, will tail for sure

 

[gjn23]

while I agree that the bears cant get out of their way with penalties and turnovers, one thing they have done is clean up the garbage on their schedule (jets, falcons, queens.....all wins/covers)......cutler stinks at home as a fav but usually feasts on bad teams......I'd put tampa in that bad team category

I'd save up, hope the bears play well and roll tampa while det gets destroyed at ne.......then hammer det on thanksgiving laying anything vs the bears.

 

[Statman02]

Tampa is a bad team but one thing they are good at is following up a win with a cover........the first game they won this year on 9/28 at Pittsburgh they followed up with a cover at New Orleans........in fact since 2009 they are 13/2 ats away off a win........they won last week at Washington.........Chicago is the shit team here

 

[Mr Rattler]

Colts -13.5 W

The Colts with Andrew Luck under center are an amazing 12-1 Straight up AND 12-1 ATS in their next game following a loss.

Colts have won last four against Jacksonville by 17 points or more.

 

[lostinamerica]

Cheers and Good Luck, Mr. Rattler and family.

Tampa is a bad team but one thing they are good at is following up a win with a cover........the first game they won this year on 9/28 at Pittsburgh they followed up with a cover at New Orleans........in fact since 2009 they are 13/2 ats away off a win........they won last week at Washington.........Chicago is the shit team here.

Valuable information and perspective to consider, slipped in and laid out nicely. Good Luck.

GL

 

[Mr Rattler]

2 Team 7 point Teaser Win
New Eng pk
SF -2.5


Patriots 7-1 ATS and SU last 8 as a favorite of 3 to 7 points at home
Matt Stafford is 1-8 SU on the road after week 10 in his career. (lone win at Raiders)
Lions 3-10 SU last 13 as dog, only 1-6 SU when getting more than 3 pts

Absolute MUST win for the Niners with Seahawks on deck 2 of next 3 weeks. At 6-4, they are 1 game out of a wild card birth, 3 back of Arizona.
RG3 is NOT a competent QB. Colt McCoy is their best hope, but Redskins are a mess right now. 1-4 on the road this year.
Skins 0-5 ATS and SU last 5 vs NFC West
Niners 7-1 last 8 vs losing teams after week 10

 

[Ollie212121]

Morning chief,

Ready to kill em today!! Just wanted to get your thoughts on Seahawks today. Seems a lot of cappers on here are really pounding then today. Also see a lot of teases involving the Seahawks, broncos and packers to basically pick'ems? Would you advise against playing any of those?

 

[barmeezee]

like em except cleveland .. atlanta fightin for#1 for division

 

[Mr Rattler]

Morning chief,

Ready to kill em today!! Just wanted to get your thoughts on Seahawks today. Seems a lot of cappers on here are really pounding then today. Also see a lot of teases involving the Seahawks, broncos and packers to basically pick'ems? Would you advise against playing any of those?

I look for "good spots" when I pull the trigger on a game. Seattle is in a GREAT SPOT. They are desperate, at home and the Cards have a cushy 3 game lead, 2nd string QB on the road and Fitzgerald playing, but not 100%. Arizona is only 2-12 SU last 14 games they are an underdog of over 3 points.

With all that being said, I am finding myself having a hard time laying 7 points to a 9-1 squad with the 3 rd best rushing defense in the NFL.

All the tell tale signs are there to pound Seattle. I will probably have them teased. Seahawks will probably win by 14+, but my gut is holding me back for some reason.

Of the Packers, Seahawks and Broncos, the Broncos scare me the most because of Miami's defense. If Manning is pressured, he can be had but then again he is so damn good at home. Denver is still a high percentage play on a teaser.

Vikings line move has me a little concerned, coming down to 7 here on game day. Again, Green Bay still a very high percentage on a teaser.

Hope that helps.

 

[Mr Rattler]

like em except cleveland .. atlanta fightin for#1 for division

Atlanta has a lot to play for, then again so does Cleveland. For me, it boiled down to (1) I do not believe in the Falcons and (2) The Browns have been stellar after a loss this year.

G/L today bro.

 

[Ollie212121]

Awsome thanks for the insight man. Let's get em today!

 

[Mr Rattler]

Texans M/L -150 L

Bengals 1-3 when rushing for under 100 yards. Houston has the capability to do just that, keep the Bengals in check. Back to back road games for Bengals. Dalton played his best game of the year (IMO) last week. Can he duplicate that performance with JJ Watt in his face? I so hell no!

Houston #3 rushing team in NFL vs Cincinnati #28 defensive rushing team in NFL

 

[Mr Rattler]

Opinions on rest of 1pm board (NOT PICKS)

Tenn +11 Zack M getting better every week. sandwich game for Philly
New Eng -7 Love the Pats to win game, Lions Defense could keep it close
Packers -7.5 Simply Rodgers over Bridgewater. Vikings need to win turnovers by +3 to have a shot


***Will post any additional picks for afternoon by 3:45pm est***

 

[Mr Rattler]

4pm Plays


2 team 7 Pt Teaser WIN
SF -3
Sea -.0.5

See above for reasons for SF

Seattle in a great spot and now Fitzgerald just ruled OUT for today


***Back by 7:30p for SNF***

 

[barmeezee]

Atlanta has a lot to play for, then again so does Cleveland. For me, it boiled down to (1) I do not believe in the Falcons and (2) The Browns have been stellar after a loss this year.

G/L today bro.

u were right i was wrong.. ur smart im stupid.. ur very good looking .. im not attractive. congrats!

 

[Mr Rattler]

u were right i was wrong.. ur smart im stupid.. ur very good looking .. im not attractive. congrats!

Trust me, I'm the one that looks stupid after Houst and Tampa shit the bed. Just drop a couple of those things from your avatar picture, and life will be good. :0074

 

[Mr Rattler]

4-2 so far today.


SNF

Dallas -4.5 L

I really tried to find a reason to take the Giants. I just can't.
Dallas 5-1 SU and ATS last 6 vs Giants
Giants 1-6 this year SU and ATS as a dog
Giants 0-4 ATS as a dog of over 3 points
Giants 0-5 ATS and SU against teams with winning records this year
Dallas 3-0 ATS on the road this year

 

[LonghornMM]

Trust me, I'm the one that looks stupid after Houst and Tampa shit the bed. Just drop a couple of those things from your avatar picture, and life will be good. :0074

Good day today, Rattler. I always like to see who you're on. One comment on Houston though. They didn't shit the bed. They're just not a good team. I live in Houston and Texans fans are the whiniest, most fair weather bandwagon fans in the NFL, and the team just doesn't have "it". Houston is just flat out a sad-sack organization with a losing culture.

Go Cowboys tonight!! :00hour