really like this play. grabbed it now, as i see it continue going down.
gb/balt under 43.5 3*
baltimore gave up an ave of 20 points over their first 4 games of the year, at the same time scoring an ave of 31 points. in their last 7 games they have given up an ave of 15 points per game while scoring an ave of 19. over their last 5, they have given up an ave. of 11.6 points per game. throw in the fact that they have played the toughest schedule in the nfl to date, with their 5 losses against teams with a combined record of 44-11 (indy, ne, minny and cinncy(2)) and all by a total of 23 points.
green bay has put up some big numbers, averaging almost 27 points per game - but those points and all of their wins, have come against detroit (twice), cleveland, st louis, chicago and san fran. an ave of 30 points per game. but all of these teams are in the bottom half of the league in total defense. their only other W was a 17-7 win at dallas.
bad weather is also in the forecast for monday night. temps in the low 20's and a chance of snow with 20 mph winds. not the reason for this play, but certainly helps.
all this being said, sounds like balt + may be the stronger play, but at GB against a team with 11 days rest and i'll just stick with the under.
good luck to all.
posted plays 3-0 +820
3* 2-0 +600
1* ML dog - 1-0 +220
gb/balt under 43.5 3*
baltimore gave up an ave of 20 points over their first 4 games of the year, at the same time scoring an ave of 31 points. in their last 7 games they have given up an ave of 15 points per game while scoring an ave of 19. over their last 5, they have given up an ave. of 11.6 points per game. throw in the fact that they have played the toughest schedule in the nfl to date, with their 5 losses against teams with a combined record of 44-11 (indy, ne, minny and cinncy(2)) and all by a total of 23 points.
green bay has put up some big numbers, averaging almost 27 points per game - but those points and all of their wins, have come against detroit (twice), cleveland, st louis, chicago and san fran. an ave of 30 points per game. but all of these teams are in the bottom half of the league in total defense. their only other W was a 17-7 win at dallas.
bad weather is also in the forecast for monday night. temps in the low 20's and a chance of snow with 20 mph winds. not the reason for this play, but certainly helps.
all this being said, sounds like balt + may be the stronger play, but at GB against a team with 11 days rest and i'll just stick with the under.
good luck to all.
posted plays 3-0 +820
3* 2-0 +600
1* ML dog - 1-0 +220
