Week 13 plays

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YTD 196-179-7 +13.72 Units

Clemson -4 for 5 Units
Tigers will roll over a one dimensional SC team. Homefield, at night, an offense that nobody can stop spells trouble for the Gamecocks. QB Boyd is just the type of QB that will cause the Gamecocks because he can extend broken plays. The Gamecocks D loves pocket QB's in terms of not allowing the pocket to be moved up field a bit. Give me the Tigers all night long in a convincing win!!
 
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Texas Tech +2 for 3 Units
Letdown mode here in a big way for BU. It happens every year and this week will be no different, their win over KSU was their bowl game x 5! They left it all out there. BU needs to win one of their final two games to become bowl eligible.
 
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Oregon St. +10.5 for 3 Units
The Beavers can put up points with the best of them and they are at home in this huge rivalry too boot! They can stop the run and control the game on the ground, both recipes for success against the Ducks. When a team loses its first game after being undefeated for awhile, they usually have a hard time rebounding, now Oregon gets to go on the road to face a team that I think can win outright but I will take the points.
 
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Definitely waiting to hit ND when the line is released. I wont be betting against them like I did last week lol! Brutal call.

Interesting tidbit I found on the USC/ND game.

USC, at No. 20 nationally in pass-efficiency defense, will be the eighth top 40 pass defense the Irish QBs have faced this season. By comparison, Alabama will see just three in its 12-game regular-season schedule.
 
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in the black said:
GL this week.Always look forward to reading your thoughts.
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Thanks for the kind words, much appreciated!

I have a few that I am researching as I speak and will post by mid week as I dont see the lines moving on them at all, if I start to see a negative move, then I will post for sure ahead of time. Always busy like it is for everyone during Thanksgiving week.....want to have any other big plays up by Thursday morning! GL this week!:0074
 
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Stanford -1 for 4 Units
Both teams off huge emotional games and Stanford has to go on the road for the 2nd straight week. If Oregon wins over Oregon St, which is played before the UCLA game on Saturday, then UCLA definitely doesnt want to beat Stanford in my eyes. Why? A UCLA win would mean they have to go to Autzen for the Pac-12 title game on a Fri. night. If Stanford beats UCLA, they win the North and UCLA matches up better heading to Palo Alto then going to Oregon. Now if Oregon loses and UCLA wins, UCLA hosts the Pac-12 title game........man just crazy......but love Stanford here!!
 
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capping-guru said:
Stanford -1 for 4 Units
Both teams off huge emotional games and Stanford has to go on the road for the 2nd straight week. If Oregon wins over Oregon St, which is played before the UCLA game on Saturday, then UCLA definitely doesnt want to beat Stanford in my eyes. Why? A UCLA win would mean they have to go to Autzen for the Pac-12 title game on a Fri. night. If Stanford beats UCLA, they win the North and UCLA matches up better heading to Palo Alto then going to Oregon. Now if Oregon loses and UCLA wins, UCLA hosts the Pac-12 title game........man just crazy......but love Stanford here!!
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so you're telling me there's a chance :142smilie
 
A

azbob

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Not a big fan of rivalry week as it adds some intangibles that you can't really cap. Here goes:

I'm taking Houston -12.5. The last eight years, Houston has beaten Tulane by 56, 19, 28, 28, 24, 38, 21 and 21. Houston is not as good as in the past but, Tulane is the same...I think we can cover.

Duke has regressed and Miami (-6) has improved. The more athletic team should be able to win and cover...you can find some 5's and 5.5's as of today.

I'm going to stick with two teams that have been undervalued all year...Vandy -12 versus WF and Oklahoma State +8 versus OK. Vandy is particularly strong in the 2H...Wake is not as bad as they looked last week but, I think they were beaten up a bit and Vandy is also a physical team. Oklahoma has lost twice at home already and if you look at the common opponents, I think this number is twice as high as it should be strictly on reputation. Stoops may have to fire his brother as D-coordiator after one year.

I'm going to roll with Washington -11 versus WSU. Even emotional motivation doesn't go very far when you don't have the players. Wash QB has a big, big day.

On Virginia getting 10.5 versus Virginia Tech. Nothing that has happened thus far this year that warrants VT as a big fav.

I also love Rutgers +2 versus Pitt. Rutgers has proven being on the road is not a problem, Pitt has proven that they show up about a third of the time. Rutgers has the potential to be in the BCS and they will be aware that those bowl scouts are watching. Take away Pitt's running game and you are left with 3-4 turnovers.

Next tier of games include LSU -12 at Arkansas..this would be a higer rated play but, the Tigers have lost in their last two visits to Ark. I think their offense is rolling and The Hat will want some style points.

Also will be waiting for numbers to be posted on ND and FSU. Florida's starting QB situation really makes no difference as Driskel has not been a strong contributor to the offense. (will also be on both of these teams in the 1H)

I'm going to take ASU +3 over Arizona and N Illinois (-20) too.

Good luck on your plays this week.
 
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azbob said:
Not a big fan of rivalry week as it adds some intangibles that you can't really cap. Here goes:

I'm taking Houston -12.5. The last eight years, Houston has beaten Tulane by 56, 19, 28, 28, 24, 38, 21 and 21. Houston is not as good as in the past but, Tulane is the same...I think we can cover.

Duke has regressed and Miami (-6) has improved. The more athletic team should be able to win and cover...you can find some 5's and 5.5's as of today.

I'm going to stick with two teams that have been undervalued all year...Vandy -12 versus WF and Oklahoma State +8 versus OK. Vandy is particularly strong in the 2H...Wake is not as bad as they looked last week but, I think they were beaten up a bit and Vandy is also a physical team. Oklahoma has lost twice at home already and if you look at the common opponents, I think this number is twice as high as it should be strictly on reputation. Stoops may have to fire his brother as D-coordiator after one year.

I'm going to roll with Washington -11 versus WSU. Even emotional motivation doesn't go very far when you don't have the players. Wash QB has a big, big day.

On Virginia getting 10.5 versus Virginia Tech. Nothing that has happened thus far this year that warrants VT as a big fav.

I also love Rutgers +2 versus Pitt. Rutgers has proven being on the road is not a problem, Pitt has proven that they show up about a third of the time. Rutgers has the potential to be in the BCS and they will be aware that those bowl scouts are watching. Take away Pitt's running game and you are left with 3-4 turnovers.

Next tier of games include LSU -12 at Arkansas..this would be a higer rated play but, the Tigers have lost in their last two visits to Ark. I think their offense is rolling and The Hat will want some style points.

Also will be waiting for numbers to be posted on ND and FSU. Florida's starting QB situation really makes no difference as Driskel has not been a strong contributor to the offense. (will also be on both of these teams in the 1H)

I'm going to take ASU +3 over Arizona and N Illinois (-20) too.

Good luck on your plays this week.
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azbob - Extremely busy with work the last 24 hours, get back to you tmrw my friend!! Thanks.
 
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azbob said:
Not a big fan of rivalry week as it adds some intangibles that you can't really cap. Here goes:

I'm taking Houston -12.5. The last eight years, Houston has beaten Tulane by 56, 19, 28, 28, 24, 38, 21 and 21. Houston is not as good as in the past but, Tulane is the same...I think we can cover.

Duke has regressed and Miami (-6) has improved. The more athletic team should be able to win and cover...you can find some 5's and 5.5's as of today.

I'm going to stick with two teams that have been undervalued all year...Vandy -12 versus WF and Oklahoma State +8 versus OK. Vandy is particularly strong in the 2H...Wake is not as bad as they looked last week but, I think they were beaten up a bit and Vandy is also a physical team. Oklahoma has lost twice at home already and if you look at the common opponents, I think this number is twice as high as it should be strictly on reputation. Stoops may have to fire his brother as D-coordiator after one year.

I'm going to roll with Washington -11 versus WSU. Even emotional motivation doesn't go very far when you don't have the players. Wash QB has a big, big day.

On Virginia getting 10.5 versus Virginia Tech. Nothing that has happened thus far this year that warrants VT as a big fav.

I also love Rutgers +2 versus Pitt. Rutgers has proven being on the road is not a problem, Pitt has proven that they show up about a third of the time. Rutgers has the potential to be in the BCS and they will be aware that those bowl scouts are watching. Take away Pitt's running game and you are left with 3-4 turnovers.

Next tier of games include LSU -12 at Arkansas..this would be a higer rated play but, the Tigers have lost in their last two visits to Ark. I think their offense is rolling and The Hat will want some style points.

Also will be waiting for numbers to be posted on ND and FSU. Florida's starting QB situation really makes no difference as Driskel has not been a strong contributor to the offense. (will also be on both of these teams in the 1H)

I'm going to take ASU +3 over Arizona and N Illinois (-20) too.

Good luck on your plays this week.
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Great take on Houston, nice one uncovering that one. Too many times we look past the small schools where there is alot of value, I might have to tail you on that!

I love ASU over AZ, ASU has a ton of seniors in key positions on defense and ASU has by far the better defense!

UW for me will be a play.....WSU seems so deflated, that ASU game last week showed that and I agree with you they roll WSU!

I cant lay double digits on the road with LSU, just cant. The over will be a stronger play for me as Mettenberger has really shown that the offense can up points.

Rutgers.....not sure of them. Like you said Pitt is awful and hard to figure. They almost never show up to play. There is no way I play Pitt this year but if anything with the Rutgers D, I might be on them.

As for ND and FSU, UF has a very misleading record in my mind. Too long to say but I agree with you, FSU rolls them! I will be on ND if its under at TD. GL this week!!
 
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azbob- I will be on ND -6 and FSU -8.......more capping to do to see how much will be placed on both!:0074
 
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Oh and for those who have emailed me, sorry with family and the holiday......havent been online much at all but will be on Saturday. I guarantee you all I will post like I normally do on Saturday in regards to plays and 2nd half plays!:0074
 
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