Week 14 including Bears/Skins and possible Biggie!

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FirstnGoal

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1-1 last week losing my 2 unit medium size play but cashing in on my 1 unit small play....it should have been the other way around... but it is what it is!



:shrug:



I've got my eye on one play this week that I might make a 3 unit Big Play but will wait for the final Friday practice reports etc. because I'm not really concerned with the spread moving too much.


For tonights game I played it Small.

Small Play:

Chicago Bears +3 over Skins

The Redskins must deal with playing on a very short week because the entire team attended the funeral of Sean Taylor on Monday and the face the Bears with a very thin secondary tonight...I'm not a big Bears fan but I like what I saw from Adrian Peterson last week and he should have success against a poor Skins run defense...I also feel that Rex Grossman has a chance to take advantage of the Skins thin secondary...the Skins moved the ball real well last week against a poor Bills defense but were unable to finish their drives with "6" in the redzone...with the lack of practice work this week, I don't see the Skins offense clicking on all cylinders tonight...plus the Redskins coaching staff isn't on the same page and a ton of trends favor the Bears tonight...plus...IF...they kick to Hester :scared ...this one could be a laugher! Bears Outright!
Chicago 23 Washington 16


The Trends for tonight's game are lopsided in favor of the Bears.

Bears:
4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after a S.U. loss.

4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.

4-0 ATS in their last 4 as a road dog of 0.5-3.0.

5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.

5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a dog of 0.5-3.0.

Skins:

1-4 ATS in their last 5 following a S.U. loss.

1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games in December.

1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.

1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

1-6-2 ATS in their last 9 home games.

1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite.

0-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.

0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
 
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FirstnGoal

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0-1 for the week as my Small Play lost last night.


However...I'm making this one a BIG 3 Unit Play for Sunday.


San Diego Chargers - even over Titans
The Chargers pounded the Titans 40-7 last year in San Diego and come into this game having won 6 of the last 8 SU and covering 6 of the last 8 as well...the Chargers marched into Arrowhead last week and came out with a win and I expect them to do the same again this week against a Titans team that was up last week to face a Texans team that Vince Young held a grudge against but is also a team that had lost 3 straight before last weekend...the Chargers were considered to be one of the best teams in the AFC before the season began and are now starting to play their way back into the thick of things...Bottom Line -the Chargers are the better team plain and simple and will prove that come this Sunday.
San Diego 27 Tennessee 20
 
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FirstnGoal

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I really like this weeks card, so I layed some cash on the line this week.

Medium Size Plays On:

Cleveland Browns -3 over Jets...The Browns beat the Jets in Cleveland last season when the Jets were perceived to be a much better team...the Browns are heads and shoulders better than the Jets and with a playoff berth on the line they won't be stopped by a Jets team that could be peaking ahead to the Patriots next week.
Cleveland Browns 26 NewYork Jets 17

Dallas Cowboys -10 (bought the 1/2) over Lions
The Lions shocked the 'Boys in Dallas last season and ran their mouths after the game...need I say anymore?...this is a battle of 2 teams headed in the opposite direction!
Dallas 37 Detroit 17
 
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FirstnGoal

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Added this Small Play:

2 game 6 point Teaser:

Cincy Bengals -3 over Lambs...The Rams are down to Brock Berlin at QB with recently signed Todd Bouman as the #2 today :scared ...the Check goes to Carson Palmer and the Home troops in this one!

&

Seattle Seahawks -1...The Cards offense is too banged up at the WR position for my liking and the Seahawks are sneakingly climbing the ladder in the NFC
 
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FirstnGoal

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One for the road:

Small

2 game 6 point teaser:

Denver -1 over KC...Broncos running game is back together while the Chiefs are starting to head South for the winter!

&

Seahawks/Cardinals Under 51...I feel the line is a bit too high in this one especially since both of the Cards WR's are banged up and questionable to play.
 
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FirstnGoal

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FirstnGoal said:
0-1 for the week as my Small Play lost last night.


However...I'm making this one a BIG 3 Unit Play for Sunday.


San Diego Chargers - even over Titans
The Chargers pounded the Titans 40-7 last year in San Diego and come into this game having won 6 of the last 8 SU and covering 6 of the last 8 as well...the Chargers marched into Arrowhead last week and came out with a win and I expect them to do the same again this week against a Titans team that was up last week to face a Texans team that Vince Young held a grudge against but is also a team that had lost 3 straight before last weekend...the Chargers were considered to be one of the best teams in the AFC before the season began and are now starting to play their way back into the thick of things...Bottom Line -the Chargers are the better team plain and simple and will prove that come this Sunday.
San Diego 27 Tennessee 20
Click to expand...

Now that's what I'm talking about an easy Blowout Winner!! :mj07: ...well maybe it wasn't thaaat easy but I still cashed My Big Play Ticket!

CASH!! $$$$
 
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FirstnGoal

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FirstnGoal said:
Added this Small Play:

2 game 6 point Teaser:

Cincy Bengals -3 over Lambs...The Rams are down to Brock Berlin at QB with recently signed Todd Bouman as the #2 today :scared ...the Check goes to Carson Palmer and the Home troops in this one!

&

Seattle Seahawks -1...The Cards offense is too banged up at the WR position for my liking and the Seahawks are sneakingly climbing the ladder in the NFC
Click to expand...

Winner!
 
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FirstnGoal

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On the plus side for the week hitting My Big Play of the Chargers and going 3-3 on the week overall with the net result of almost a two unit profit.

:00hour


MNF

Small Play

New Orleans Saints -3 (bought the 1/2)
over Falcons
 
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FirstnGoal

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Oct 15, 2004
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FirstnGoal said:
On the plus side for the week hitting My Big Play of the Chargers and going 3-3 on the week overall with the net result of almost a two unit profit.

:00hour


MNF

Small Play

New Orleans Saints -3 (bought the 1/2)
over Falcons
Click to expand...

Easy Winner!

4-3 on the week...plus 2.8 units!
 
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FirstnGoal

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2007 Record:

Small Size Plays
23-19

Medium Size Plays
7-7-1

Big Plays
2-2

Leans
7-3-3
 
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