Week 14 Plays

capping-guru

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YTD 143-109-2 +87.15 Units

Texas +6.5 for 3 Units - Thursday night play
Line is far too low, Vegas looking for TCU money here. Wouldnt be surprised if Texas wins outright. Horns are playing great D and finally get balance on offense.

Been going all day with coaching and our oldest birthday so not much time to post detailed write-ups but will get a few of my plays up.
 

capping-guru

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Miss St. -1 for 4 Units
Two teams going in different directions. Bulldogs have far more balance on both sides of the ball and are clearly playing with more confidence! Ole Miss cant do a thing on offense, especially without WR Treadwell.
 

capping-guru

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Notre Dame +7 for 3 Units
Finally some value with the Irish. People remember the horrible losses at home their last 2 games, but lets face it, USC D is swiss cheese......after watching that debacle with UCLA. ND has had their troubles on D but man some of the freshman that got snaps the last 2 games out have showed a ton of progress. Both teams 7-4......I see ND winning outright if they can just focus on running the ball more!!
 

capping-guru

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Got a few more but need to look deeper. Like far too many dogs this week but some great spots for some home dogs.
 

Kramer

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Miss St. -1 for 4 Units
Two teams going in different directions. Bulldogs have far more balance on both sides of the ball and are clearly playing with more confidence! Ole Miss cant do a thing on offense, especially without WR Treadwell.

I can't believe this line, Ole Miss got beat twice in a row, beat a cupcake, week off, got drilled by the HOGS, and only getting 1 from the Bulldogs, man I'm going to have to digest this line for a while, it doesn't make sense, I just don't get it :shrug:
 

capping-guru

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I can't believe this line, Ole Miss got beat twice in a row, beat a cupcake, week off, got drilled by the HOGS, and only getting 1 from the Bulldogs, man I'm going to have to digest this line for a while, it doesn't make sense, I just don't get it :shrug:

I hear ya my friend. The more I look at this game, the more I wonder if Vegas is begging for Bulldog money. GL!
 

Kramer

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CG, how did the books fair on Ole Miss/Arky last week, lost big on OM, Ark, or break even. If they lost big on Ole Miss and came out with this line something is very fishy.
 

Kramer

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I hear ya my friend. The more I look at this game, the more I wonder if Vegas is begging for Bulldog money. GL!

Dude, hang on to that wager, you may have one hell of a middle opportunity after joe public drives this line into orbit :toast:
 

capping-guru

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CG, how did the books fair on Ole Miss/Arky last week, lost big on OM, Ark, or break even. If they lost big on Ole Miss and came out with this line something is very fishy.

The few consensus sites I follow had more money on Ole Miss. That FG line was a gold mine last week.......man cant believe I passed on that game. Same scenario in that game as is this week, two teams going in different directions. Everyone is bowl eligible in the SEC West, wild!
 

capping-guru

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GT +13 for 3 Units
This game will be tight all game long. Jackets have a solid D and for once they are throwing the ball a little more than in seasons past under PJ. I just dont see the Dawgs blowing out their in-state rival for this one.
 

bjfinste

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Sagarin's power rating sets (excluding ELO) have the game at a pk, Ole Miss -1 and Ole Miss -1 on a neutral field. Obviously those ratings don't realize that Treadwell and Nkemdiche are out as both players contributed heavily to Mississippi's success early in the season. Treadwell in particular was the proverbial straw that stirs the drink of Rebel offense.
 

capping-guru

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Sagarin's power rating sets (excluding ELO) have the game at a pk, Ole Miss -1 and Ole Miss -1 on a neutral field. Obviously those ratings don't realize that Treadwell and Nkemdiche are out as both players contributed heavily to Mississippi's success early in the season. Treadwell in particular was the proverbial straw that stirs the drink of Rebel offense.

Interesting, thanks for posting. Sagarin has FSU No. 16 and has 10 SEC teams ranked in the top 20. 5 in the top 10.
 

Kramer

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Interesting, thanks for posting. Sagarin has FSU No. 16 and has 10 SEC teams ranked in the top 20. 5 in the top 10.

I hope FSU gets to the final 4 and has to play an SEC team, or Oregon for that matter, they will be exposed. Remember how many times Ohio State got drilled by the SEC, welcome FSU. Auburn should have never been in that National Championship last year. FSU got lucky. Aint happening this year.
 

capping-guru

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I hope FSU gets to the final 4 and has to play an SEC team, or Oregon for that matter, they will be exposed. Remember how many times Ohio State got drilled by the SEC, welcome FSU. Auburn should have never been in that National Championship last year. FSU got lucky. Aint happening this year.

No doubt they will be exposed by anyone in the top 4, they are doing it with smoke and mirrors.
 
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