WEEK 2

tig3rs

swing away!
Forum Member
Jan 17, 2007
3,020
6
0
42
Chicago
feeling confident after 5 days of steady game watching and line making and line picking, i doubled my unit for the weekend, making last week worth a 26.5% increase in my bankroll. sticking with the unit size for a while (2.14% of original bankroll for accounting purposes); will share when i increase as i did saturday.


cubs over 9 +105 $1.5 w+$1.58

cubs -118 $1.18

royals -138 $1.38 w+$1
5inn -140 $1.40
KC RL +145 $.5 w+$.73

NYY@CLE u8.5 even $1
5inn u5 -135 $1


cincy +103 $1 w+$1.03
5inn u4,3.5 -105 $1.05 L-$.5
(notating this like a soccer bet. took u4 -120 and u3.5 +110)

mets +110 $.80 w+$.88
5in un 4,3.5 -107 $1.07

rox -1.5 +265 $.5
col 5in +160 $.8
rockies +172 $1
love that this line move is ignorant of the giants putrid offense to date. one team is 1st in wOBA, the other is 26th!


astros +152 $.8
hou 5in +145 $.8
didn't get this line when it opened, still love it a few points lower. Humber is a good pitcher. these are two of the worst offenses in the league. i'll take who i think is the better pitcher at a fat number.

tex 5in -153 $1.53 w+$1
tex -1.5 +135 $.5

atlanta / texas +170 $1.1 w+$1.87

atl 5in -160 $1.60 w+$1
atl -1.5 even $.5 w+$.50
half the time with these numbers on this atlanta/miami series i'd play the miami series as a hedge looking at getting MIA +185 on Sunday possibly (Minor wouldn't be a -195 fave i dont think), but i don't see Miami winning more than one here. they're just not a good team right now. dropping the hammer.

pirates +133 $.75 w+$1
over 8.5 -105 $1.26


10-13 -1.22
23.02 / 23

[series]
Orioles +150 $1 0-1
Rockies +180 $1 0-1



fav 1-1 -.18 / 2.56
dog 3-2 +1.11 / 4.35
5inn 2-6 -3.67 / 9.25 :shrug:
und 0-1
ovr 1-1
par 1-0 1.87 / 1.1
RLs 2-2 +.23 / 2
srs 0-0 0 / 0
prp 0-0 0 / 0
atl 3-0 +$3.37
cws 0-0 +$0

through MONDAY
10-13 -$1.22
$23.02 risked / 23 plays

wk2...0-0-0 +$0.00 (avg $0.00, +0.0%)
wk1...54-43-2 +$19.62 (avg $1.07, +26.5%)


13
mlb...54-43-2 +$19.62
avg play (105.83/99)=$1.069
ROI +18.54%
_
srs 2-1-0 66.67% +$2.2 / 2.94
fav 14-9 60.87% (-155b/e) +$4.32 / 37.45
dog 12-10 54.55% (-120b/e) +$4.7 / 18.49
5in 11-7-2 +3.01 / 19.48
und 2-1-0 66.67%
ovr 6-5-0 54.55%
par 4-3 +$3.58 / 6.75
RLs 3-6 33.33% -$0.83 / 4.6
prp 0-1 -$.20 / 0.20
atl 5-2 +$1.48
cws 3-3 +$0.19
......
12mlb 656-575-42 (53.29%) ...profitable every year
11mlb 1232-1110-69 (52.61%)
10mlb 1015-826-75 (55.13%)

09mlb 496-454-31 (52.16%)
08mlb 574-385-11 (59.85%) ...played too many favorites
07mlb 586-392-16 (59.92%)
bodog|5dimes
go braves!
tomachop.gif

go white sox! :toast:
 
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tig3rs

swing away!
Forum Member
Jan 17, 2007
3,020
6
0
42
Chicago
cincy +103 $1

5inn u4,3.5 -105 $1.05 (notating this like a soccer bet. took u4 -120 and u3.5 +110)
 

tig3rs

swing away!
Forum Member
Jan 17, 2007
3,020
6
0
42
Chicago
mets +110 $.8
5in un 4,3.5 -107 $1.07

rox -1.5 +265 $.5 :bigun:
col 5in +160 $.8
rockies +172 $1
love that this line move is ignorant of the giants putrid offense to date. one team is 1st in wOBA, the other is 26th!
 

tig3rs

swing away!
Forum Member
Jan 17, 2007
3,020
6
0
42
Chicago
astros +152 $.8
hou 5in +145 $.8

didn't get this line when it opened, still love it a few points lower. Humber is a good pitcher. these are two of the worst offenses in the league. i'll take who i think is the better pitcher at a fat number.
 

tig3rs

swing away!
Forum Member
Jan 17, 2007
3,020
6
0
42
Chicago
rockies 3-game series +180 $1

atlanta / texas +170 $1.1

atl 5in -160 $1.60
atl -1.5 even $.5

tex 5in -153 $1.53

half the time with these numbers on this atlanta/miami series i'd play the miami series as a hedge looking at getting MIA +185 on Sunday possibly (Minor wouldn't be a -195 fave i dont think), but i don't see Miami winning more than one here. they're just not a good team right now. dropping the hammer.
 

tig3rs

swing away!
Forum Member
Jan 17, 2007
3,020
6
0
42
Chicago
cubs was just the wrong side.

astros out-hit seattle but couldn't score.

colorado had bases loaded in the 2nd. E.Y. picked off right before CarGo's HR. 11 Ks.

not sure what to take away from Ubaldo getting shelled.


tuesday first look:

cincy and over

yanks

phi / atl / tex

bucs

rockies

tigers

dodgers

chisox/nats 5in un

a's
 

tig3rs

swing away!
Forum Member
Jan 17, 2007
3,020
6
0
42
Chicago
tiger -165 v rory for the tournament. $1.65

tiger v rory 1st rd -160 $.80 w+$.50


futures bets... i'll bet every night on the updated odds.

12% of 1 unit
Schwartzel +2350
Oosthuizen +2350
Dufner +7500

10%
Bradley +2350

7%
Kuchar +3700
Snedeker +4000
Watson +4000
McDowell +6500
P. Hanson +8000

5%
Westwood +2625
P Harrington +8500

2.5%
Fowler +6000
Stricker +6500
Furyk +9000
Simpson +9000
F Jacobson +11500
Z Johnson +18500
Henley +31500
Immelman +49500
Glover +69000
 
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tig3rs

swing away!
Forum Member
Jan 17, 2007
3,020
6
0
42
Chicago
rox +123... $.6 (have the series bet too, anticipate getting +180 v zito tomorrow)
under 7 -105 $1.05
col 5in +.5 -125 $1.25
5in u4,3.5 -120 $1.20

again... the giants offense blows. lincecum did not have a good time facing this rockies lineup last year.
 

tig3rs

swing away!
Forum Member
Jan 17, 2007
3,020
6
0
42
Chicago
braves / rangers +186 $1.1

ATL 5in -165 $.825, -.5 -115 $.575

TEX 5in -130 $.65, -.5 even $.5

rangers over10.5 -105 $1.05
 

tig3rs

swing away!
Forum Member
Jan 17, 2007
3,020
6
0
42
Chicago
reds 5in -115 $1.15
cincy -117 $1.17

jays +119 $1 w+$1.19

texas over8.5 -115 $1.15
rays +111 $.91 w+$1

pit 5in +170 $.6
pirates +171 $.6


gavin 5in +145 $.75
chi sox +151 $.75

rox +123 $1
col 5in +122 $1
u8 -125 $1.25
5in u4.5 -135 $.81



yanks +102 $.6 SP change, cancelled. played...
NYY 5in -115 $1.15ppd:sadwave:
brewers 5in -118 $.89ppd:sadwave:


astros +151 $1 w+$1.51
over 7.5 -104 $1.56 w+$1.5

royals -142 $1 w+$.70
kc 5in -145 $1 w+$.69:0074:toast::00hour

braves -153 $1.53 w+$1
atl 5in -162 $.81 w+$.5
actually doubled these last minute and added RL :0074

ATL / OAK +249 $.75 w+$1.87 :shrug:couldn't get ATL/LAA in... works out: have +250 one side, -130 the other

a's +112 $1
5in -.5 +145 $.5, +.5 -125 $.625

angels -125 $3.00:firing:L-$1.88
LAA 5in -121 $3.00:firing:L-$1.78
LAA-1.5 +160 $.70

some surprising matchup #s in this one. this line seemed like another easy buy, but after questioning how easy, i have to go the other way and large.


9-14 -4.63
24.15 / 23

[series]
Rockies +180 $1 0-3
Orioles +150 $1 1-1...40-cent advantage Thursday:0074



fav 5-3 +1.47 / 10.4
dog 7-7 +2.26 / 12.39
5inn 8-14 -7.17 / 24.24 :shrug:
und 0-3
ovr 5-4
par 3-0 5.79 / 2.95
RLs 2-3 -.47 / 2.7
srs 0-1 -1 / 1
prp 0-0 0 / 0
atl 8-0 +$9.79
cws 0-3 -$2.5

through WEDNESDAY
30-35 -$.94
$69.14 risked / 65 plays

wk2...0-0-0 +$0.00 (avg $0.00, +0.0%)
wk1...54-43-2 +$19.62 (avg $1.07, +26.5%)


13
mlb...54-43-2 +$19.62
avg play (105.83/99)=$1.069
ROI +18.54%
_
srs 2-1-0 66.67% +$2.2 / 2.94
fav 14-9 60.87% (-155b/e) +$4.32 / 37.45
dog 12-10 54.55% (-120b/e) +$4.7 / 18.49
5in 11-7-2 +3.01 / 19.48
und 2-1-0 66.67%
ovr 6-5-0 54.55%
par 4-3 +$3.58 / 6.75
RLs 3-6 33.33% -$0.83 / 4.6
prp 0-1 -$.20 / 0.20
atl 5-2 +$1.48
cws 3-3 +$0.19
......
12mlb 656-575-42 (53.29%) ...profitable every year
11mlb 1232-1110-69 (52.61%)
10mlb 1015-826-75 (55.13%)

09mlb 496-454-31 (52.16%)
08mlb 574-385-11 (59.85%) ...played too many favorites
07mlb 586-392-16 (59.92%)
bodog|5dimes
go braves!
tomachop.gif

go white sox! :toast:
 
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tig3rs

swing away!
Forum Member
Jan 17, 2007
3,020
6
0
42
Chicago
reds 5in + game to win $1 each

jays +119 $1

texas over8.5 -115 $1.15

pit 5in +170 $.6
pirates +171 $.6
 

tig3rs

swing away!
Forum Member
Jan 17, 2007
3,020
6
0
42
Chicago
rays +111 $.91

gavin 5in +145 $.75
chi sox +151 $.75

rox +123 $1
col 5in +122 $1
u8 -125 $1.25
5in u4.5 -135 $.81
 

tig3rs

swing away!
Forum Member
Jan 17, 2007
3,020
6
0
42
Chicago
buying back my oakland bets. playing the other side. surprised at some numbers in this matchup
 

yanno

Registered User
Forum Member
Sep 8, 2001
3,683
186
63
Ontario
You are a terrific capper. Wish I had more time to contribute. But this change of mind is interesting!

Can you shed any light on why you are buying out of Oakland? And going to the other side? Thank you and good luck! :0008

buying back my oakland bets. playing the other side. surprised at some numbers in this matchup
 

tig3rs

swing away!
Forum Member
Jan 17, 2007
3,020
6
0
42
Chicago
chc 5in +138 $.75:0002
cubbies +140 $.75


jays +127 $.80:director:is toronto that cold?!
5in +120 $.6

cleveland -105 $2.63:sadwave:
tribe 5in -107 $1.07


chisox +137 $1
ax 5in +133 $1
CWS-1.5 +205 $.3:s1:

BOS -125 $3.5 :firing::facepalm:
confused.gif
:shrug:
under9 even $1, 9.5 -130 $.65 w+$1.5


felix 5in-.5 -115 $1.15 :firing:
mariners -156 $1.56

SEA / LAD +166 $1

greinke 5in -160 $1.60 w+$1
dodgers over7 -105 $2.10
don't like the 5inn #, increasing the full game play.


oak/laa ov8 -105 $1.05 w+$1



:bigun: :bigun:
angels -126 $2.84
laa 5in -129 $1.29 push:00hour
LAA-1.5 +163 $.50



4-14-1 -13.35
24.44 / 19


[series]
Rockies +180 $1 0-3
Orioles +150 $1 2-1 w+$1



fav 5-6 -6.43 / 18.3
dog 7-10 -.29 / 14.94
5inn 9-18-1 -9.67 / 29.34 :shrug:
und 1-3
ovr 6-5
par 3-1 +4.79 / 3.95
RLs 2-5 -1.27 / 3.5
srs 1-1 +.5 / 2
prp 0-0 0 / 0
atl 8-0 +$9.79
cws 0-6 -$4.8

through THURSDAY
34-49-1 -$14.29
$93.48 risked / 84 plays

wk2...0-0-0 +$0.00 (avg $0.00, +0.0%)
wk1...54-43-2 +$19.62 (avg $1.07, +26.5%)


13
mlb...54-43-2 +$19.62
avg play (105.83/99)=$1.069
ROI +18.54%
_
srs 2-1-0 66.67% +$2.2 / 2.94
fav 14-9 60.87% (-155b/e) +$4.32 / 37.45
dog 12-10 54.55% (-120b/e) +$4.7 / 18.49
5in 11-7-2 +3.01 / 19.48
und 2-1-0 66.67%
ovr 6-5-0 54.55%
par 4-3 +$3.58 / 6.75
RLs 3-6 33.33% -$0.83 / 4.6
prp 0-1 -$.20 / 0.20
atl 5-2 +$1.48
cws 3-3 +$0.19
......
12mlb 656-575-42 (53.29%) ...profitable every year
11mlb 1232-1110-69 (52.61%)
10mlb 1015-826-75 (55.13%)

09mlb 496-454-31 (52.16%)
08mlb 574-385-11 (59.85%) ...played too many favorites
07mlb 586-392-16 (59.92%)
bodog|5dimes
go braves!
tomachop.gif

go white sox! :toast:
 
Last edited:
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